Archive for January, 2011

All-In (These are the players that have been playing well the last 2 weeks and could benefit your team)

Ryan Anderson (Orl-PF, C) Ryan Anderson has been on a tear for the last several weeks, and in Yahoo formats he is only 52% owned. Look at his line the last two weeks. FG% .484, FT% .824, 3’s 3.5, Pts 16.8. Reb 7.1, ast 0.5, stl 0.4 Blk 1.1, TO 0.9. So at first glance he offers help in every category except ast and stl, but offers huge benefits in both 3’s and has a great turnover rate. Come on people he needs to be owned by 75% or more.

Rudy Fernadez (Por-SG) Rudy has been playing well for his 27 minutes a game. However he is owned by only 21% of leagues. So if you need a slight boost in 3’s, 1.5 a game, FT%, .882 a game, and Stl, 1.8 a game, then Rudy is your guy. However he will hurt your FG% considering he is shooting under .400 and only getting you 10 pts a game.

Mario will have plenty of chances at wide open 3's as the new starting PG

 

Mario Chalmers (Mia-PG) Mario was just named the starting PG again for Miami so his value gets a slight boost considering his Minutes per game are at 32 and might go up some. His value comes from his 3’s 2.8 a game, ast, 3.8 a game, and stl, 1.4. He doesn’t cripple you in any category considering he is a PG. You may be thinking 3.8 ast isn’t that good for a PG, and you are right, but he will probably get into the 4.5-5 range since he is the full time starter now. And ast is a difficult category to get help in at this point in the season, so every little bit helps.

Greg Monroe (Det-PF, C) Monroe has been playing really well since the middle of December. It seems like this rookie is getting used to the pro game, and he is finding his role on the Pistons. He will be a good addition to your team if you have no depth at your C position and will boost your FG%, .643 a game, your rebounds, 8 a game, and is averaging less than a turnover a game. His FT% and low blocks are the only thing holding him back from being a must add in every league. But he is getting playing time 32 min per game, and the Pistons have been playing pretty well as of late.

Fold (These are players who haven’t been doing so well lately and should be moved off of your team)

Roy Hibbert (Ind-C) Hibbert hasn’t even been close to averaging a double-double over the last month, and he is shooting a terrible .363 from the field. He is a center and is shooting under .400 and isn’t even shooting 3’s! He is only helping in Blks and he is only getting 1.2 a game. It is time to kiss Hibbert goodbye or at least try to see if someone else is willing to take him.

Gilbert Arenas (Orl-PG, SG) & Mo Williams (Cle-PG, SG) They both are still widely owned! For reasons to drop these guys see the post “first fantasy session.”

O.J. Mayo (Mem-SG) Mayo is having a tough year his minutes have dropped since last year. He is shooting under .400 and is only at 1.2 3’s a game. This is low for a shooter, but then again his ppg is at 11.6. If he is on your team you can find those stats on the waiver wire. It’s time to say goodbye to Mayo. Unless Memphis trades him he isn’t worth much right now on your team.

Check (these are guys who haven’t been playing that well, but shouldn’t be dropped yet. You should monitor their status over the next 4-5 games)

Green keep your eyes open so you will start hitting your shot.

Jason Terry (Dal-PG, SG) Terry is someone who always has his ups and downs so I’m not going to say drop him right now, but if he continues to play as poorly the next 10 days as he has the last month, then you should drop him. He is shooting under .400 and under .620 from the FT line, and is offering little to no help in the D stats. So he is more of a wait and see but he should be the next to go unless he picks up his game the next couple of games.

Jeff Green (OKC-SF, PF) Green was off to a career year for the first two months, but then something happened, he wasn’t making his shot. His minutes have actually decreased 3 min a game since November. This isn’t a huge decrease, but it could mean his minutes could continue to dip if he doesn’t find his shot. He is shooting poorly from both the field and the line. His 3’s are down and he isn’t even getting 5 reb a game anymore. It hurts me as a Thunder fan to say this, but Green is playing bad and watching him live you can tell he isn’t comfortable right now.

Leave a comment if you agree, disagree, or would like some help with another player not listed here. Enjoy and don’t forget to answer the poll offered under the poll page. Good luck to you fellow fantasy players!


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In my 4 years of fantasy sports experience I have come to learn that those willing to make moves, either through the waiver process or by trades, usually finish in the top half of their league. Sometimes the guy scoring the most points or getting the most rebounds may not be the best addition to your team. The key in making wise fantasy moves is simply evaluating what your team’s strengths and weaknesses are. If you are unable to evaluate your team with honesty then you won’t win your league. With all that said I am going to address what I think are the 3 various ways of going about making fantasy trades.

1) The “love/hate” trade. This trade is defined by your feelings for the players you are getting rid of or trying to obtain. For example, I love Rondo’s game, both on the court and in the fantasy world, so if someone was to offer me Manu, whom I hate on the court, I am 10 times less likely to accept that trade. Sometimes this can be a bad method to base your fantasy decisions, but I would rather have a team full of players I want to root for, than a team full of guys I don’t really want to succeed. The best way to balance this method of trading is to recognize whom you really like and really dislike. That way if you want someone, whom you really like, you can go into the trade talks aware of what is driving you. This will help you keep your feelings in check, and help you more realistically evaluate the trade being proposed. But if someone is asking for a player you love and you are only getting equal value I would say don’t pull the trigger. But if someone were to offer me a Manu/Frye for Rondo I would have to consider it because that is a lot of value I would be getting back. (Don’t worry I know that those trade scenarios are probably very unlikely to happen).

2) The “equal value” trade. This is the one trade that people get caught up on a little too much in my opinion, because no trade is truly fair. You will always be losing something or gaining something when you make a trade. But this trade thought simply says if I give up a Chris Paul then I want a LeBron James. This trade can be useful if you know how to use it the right way. For example Dorell Wright is having a monster year averaging 2 3’s, 16.6 pts, 5.6 reb, 3 ast, almost 2 stl, a blk, and less than 2 to. Now to start the year most places had him ranked in the 120+ range and he is performing in the top 30. Now he could continue to play that well for the remainder of the year, but if you had him and had your doubts why not flip him for someone like Ray Allen or Derrick Rose. Both of these guys have a more proven fantasy track record and are more likely to stay in the top 30 range. This is where the equal value trade can really work to your advantage.

3) The “8 cents for a dime” trade (My personal favorite even though it is a frustrating experience). I think we have all either tried this tactic or had someone try it on us. It may be referred to in some areas as a “low ball offer.” Basically what this trade strategy employs is offering someone who is of value for someone who is of more value. For example if someone wanted Eric Gordon from you, who is having an excellent year as of now, they would offer you someone like Trevor Ariza. Now both were expected to finish between 65-80 in the three preseason rankings I looked at so they have similar values, they make threes, get steals, and offer a boost in one other category, but Gordon is putting up much better % in both fg and ft, as well as getting more ast. So even though Ariza is not a terrible player to have, he is worth about 8 cents, he isn’t worth the dime Eric Gordon is. The reason why this trade path can be both fun and frustrating is because you can use others love/hate of players as leverage. So if you know they like your 8-cent player and either hate or are indifferent towards their dime then you can propose it and see what happens. You can never know where a person stands on a player until you offer a trade and ask him.

Buy Low (these are guys who have been struggling, but I think will most likely play well the remainder of the year)

Joakim will be suiting up soon to give you "2 points!"

Joakim Noah (Chi-PF, C) Joakim has missed the last 5-6 weeks, but he will be returning in less than 3 weeks. If your team needs FG%, Reb, and blks he is a great guy for those stats. Since he has been injured for so long an owner may be willing to ship him for cheap.

Tyreke Evans (Sac-PG, SG) & Darren Collison (Ind-PG)– Both are off to slow starts but have started to play well their last 5 or 6 games. I think Evans is finally getting healthy and played well after the all-star break last year. Collison will play better than he has to start the year. He is finally getting used to the new system, I’m not saying he will be a top 6 PG like he was for a 5 week stretch last year but top 12 from here on out wouldn’t surprise me. Both are worth going for if you need ast or stl.

Sell High (these are guys who have been playing out of their minds and you could use that to acquire a more proven commodity)

Kevin Garnett (Bos-PF) – KG is playing awesome right now, and it isn’t that I don’t think he will continue to play well, but I don’t. The reason is because A) he is old and will either get a small injury that will make him miss games, or a major injury. B) His team will have a high seed locked up pretty early in the season, and they will rest their key guys down the stretch. C) I just don’t think he can continue his efficiency. Trade him to some huge Celtics fan for one of there top 2 or 3 guys.

Dorell Wright (GS-SG, SF)– I talked about him earlier in the post. I think he will continue to play well but I am willing to bet there will be a decline in his numbers the 2nd half of the season. So get some good value from him now.

Crying about it won't stop you from losing minutes.

Lamar Odom (LAL-SF, PF)– He is having a career year right now, but most of that was spent as a starter. He is coming off the bench now so naturally with less min come less opportunities. He won’t be a top 40 player when the year is over.

Feel free to post comments about questions you have about your fantasy team, that you want answered. It can be about adding/dropping, a trade that someone offered you, a trade you are considering offering, and even just general disagreements you have with my info. Once a week I will gather all of those comments and address your questions and arguments.

So I had this idea last night that I should start to utilize all the time I spend looking at Fantasy sports stuff. So I decided to create a blog where I will post fantasy sports advice. It will range from practical stuff like who you should add or drop, players that are on the rise, and player injury notes. I will also put up some of my personal take on stuff I will write some stuff on guys that I have fantasy man crushes on (Serge Ibaka, Josh Smith, Rajon Rando, Dwight Howard to name a few), players that I can’t stand even though they might add fantasy value (Manu Ginobili, Dirk Nowitzki, and Lamar Odom), and possibly try to put a little humor in (this will be the thing I probably will be worst at, but always worth trying right?). So if you are viewing this for the first time thanks for the interest. I will start slow probably just one post/article a week, and see where it goes from there. Let the fantasy sports blog begin!

First things first, “why should/would you listen to me on advice for fantasy stuff?” Well you probably shouldn’t because fantasy sports are a gamble. We all know who is doing well and we all know who is doing poorly. But I do spend about 3-4 hours a day watching sports, reading articles, and cultivating my fantasy teams. I will make some bad calls along the way, but I probably will make a lot of good calls too. SO don’t use this as “the whole truth and nothing but the truth so help you God.” But rather as a guide to help you make an educated decision for your fantasy team.
Second, I do about 2-4 teams per major fantasy season (NFL, MLB, NBA sorry NHL not enough time or interest for you) and I finish in the top 3 in about every league I do. Obviously some leagues are more competitive than others, and at times my teams just tank but thats the beauty of fantasy sports. These are just 2 small reasons why I could help you with your fantasy team(s).

Now for the good stuff.
All-in (these are players that are performing very well over the last 14 days and might be worth an add.)

Amir Johnson (Tor-PF) He is back from injury and in his last 8 games is averaging 10 points, 7 boards, with a nice 2 As,t and even a block. The best thing about Amir is his high FG% which is over .700 in those 8 games. So if you need FG%, Blk, or just a decent plug in for a couple of games he could be a good add.

Chris Douglas-Roberts (Mil-SG,SF) Chris is finally starting to get some quality minutes for Mil and he is contributing across the board. His line in his last 7 games; over 25 min a game .518 from the field over .800 from the FT line, 1 3 a game, about 11 pts, 1 stl and 1 blk, all this with under 1 TO a game. He probably isn’t going to win you a fantasy matchup with his values, but could be a huge asset if you just lost a player to injury. Plus the G/F eligibility makes him very versatile.

Manny Harris (Cle-PG,SG) Manny has been running the show for the dreadful Cavs, but he is putting up some decent numbers with Gibson and Mo missing time. He probably won’t be a long term add but he is getting a nice 31 min a game, while putting up a 3, 13 pts, almost 7 reb, and he’ll even get you 2-3 ast. So nothing jumps off the board but he is a good week or two add in my opinion.

Fold (these are players who are still widely owned but need to be dropped because they aren’t doing anything for your fantasy team or you (expect causing you heart burn))

Brandon Roy (Por-SG,SF) He is having knee surgery on both knees he shouldn’t be owned by anyone so drop him NOW!

Mo Williams (Cle-PG) He has been battling injury issues all season, and probably will be the rest of the season. His team has little to play for except for best chance for the number 1 pick. So I expect Mo to shut it down early this year probably won’t be until about early March, but why not just save yourself the hassle and get rid of him. Plus he is barely shooting over .300 and taking nearly 10 shots a game…that is beyond bad!

Gilbert Arenas (Orl-PG,SG) He is having a pretty bad year and the trade to Orl looked promising for “Agent 0” but his minutes are starting to decline because of poor decision making, and just bad shooting. He is a tougher one to drop, but if you are on in the middle of your league and want to make the playoffs then you can pick up someone who is giving you more than Arenas. His numbers are a measly .333 off of 8 shots only getting you 8 points and over 2 turnovers. Stop letting him waste a spot on your roster.

Well thats it for now. Hope you enjoy the first post, and more will come. If you have any particular questions you would like me to address specifically to your fantasy team leave me a comment with your question. Or if you want me to address a particular topic put it in your comment. I want this to be a aid to all those who are in the fantasy sports realm.

Most of my stat acquiring will be coming through Yahoo fantasy sports. They aren’t the best at ranking players but they have an easy to read system. I will be using ESPN, NBA.com, NFL.com, and MLB.com also.