You may have heard the old expression April Showers bring May Flowers, and baseball players have experienced a similar phenomenon as that saying. April had a lot of rain delays in the northeast, and many players, who we all hoped would have great 2011 have had poor Aprils. But the good thing (to some the bad thing) about baseball is that there is 6 months in the season, 162 games. April is just 1/6 of the season, so a players poor April can mean very little by season’s end. Baseball is a game of patience, perserverance, and a little luck. Take a look at these players from last year who had terrible April’s but bounced back in May.
David Ortiz (Bos-util) Last April Ortiz looked like he was playing in his final days. This is what his numbers looked like in April; .143 BA, 5 r, 1 HR, 4 rbi, and 0 sb. Ortiz didn’t want his playing days to be finished so he made his presence known in May putting up Big Papi like numbers…if I remember right he even had 3 game winning rbis after the 7th inning in May. Here is what his May looked like; .363 BA, 16 r 10 HR, 27 rbi, and 0 SB.
Matt Cain (SF-SP) Cain’s April wasn’t awful, but it wasn’t what many expected. He was supposed to continue his progression of being the 2nd guy behind Timmy. His April was a medoicre, 0 W, 3.80 era, 1.19 WHIP, and only 16 K’s in 4 games started. His May however made him seem like the person most expected. In 6 May starts he recorded 3 W, 1.8 era, 0.9 WHIP, and 35 K’s.
Hunter Pence (Hou-OF) Pence had early season struggles but all of the Astros did last April. Pence has always had a little bit of a streaky bat, but his April numbers were pretty low, .232 BA, 11 r, 2 HR, 7 rbi, 2 sb. Good thing for Pence is that he turned it on in May and made those who were patient with him rewarded, .302 BA, 15 r, 6 HR, 16 rbi, 3 sb.
So there is a couple of examples of guys whose terrible Aprils turned into huge May numbers. I’m sure if you did a little digging you would find 10-15 more examples of the same thing. The good news is since it happened last year, and the year before, and probably since the start of MLB’s existence you can almost guarantee that it will happen with players this season, and these are the guys I think could easily do the same this season.
Carl Crawford (Bos-OF)Carl is one of many Red Sox I could have put on here, but his April numbers have been hard to look at. He has never had a season in which he, hit under .280, had less than 45 sb, or less than 80 runs (if you don’t count his injury riddled ’08 or his rookie season). I expect Carl to have a great May and if he doesn’t then I honestly don’t know what to tell you.
Dan Uggla (Atl-2B) I expected big things from Uggla this season, but his April is making me look like a fantasy bum instead of a fantasy “expert.” Don’t lose hope Uggla has had 30 HR, 100 RBI seasons for the last 4 seasons, so I expect him to turn it on in April. Plus the whole Atlanta offense hasn’t clicked yet, and I fully expect them to be a potent offense this season. His line as of now is just .176 BA, 7 r, 4 HR, 7 rbi, 1 sb. Uggla should have a much better May so continue to be patient with him.
Yovani Gallardo (Mil-SP) Gallardo’s April has been pretty bad, 2 W, 4.88 era, 1.40 WHIP, 20 k’s. Considering he has been a fairly dependable fantasy asset the last several seasons. He is a double digit win guy with 200 plus K’s and right now his April numbers don’t look like he will get there, but The Brewers staff is starting to get healthy and I have a feeling the will feed off of each other’s success so expect Gallardo’s May to pay big dividends.
Don’t forget to subscribe to the blog, and spread the news to your fellow fantasy mates about the Hombre. If you can think of any 2010 April-May examples let me know in the comment section, or give any players who you think will bounce back after a poor April. Hope you enjoy the post, and I will be trying to do a weekly post now that the season has actually gotten into full swing.