Archive for October, 2011

So this week’s post will be a little more abbreviated than the last three. In the process of buying a house so that is taking up a lot more time than I anticipated. Cardinals with their backs against the walls tonight for about the 15 time this season. If we win than a game 7 will happen(with a possible Carpenter start looming), if we lose than it has been a wonderful year, and much more than I expected when we were 10 1/2 out at the start of September. Cowboys vs. Eagles this week has me very interested to see if the Eagles have cleaned up some of their problems during the bye. Reid is 12-0 after a bye, and has a winning percentage of over .600 once November and December hit. So if the Eagles manage  a win this week than 3-4 might be a really good spot going into their final 9 games! Enough of me talking about things that aren’t fantasy relevant.

TEBOW Nation Assemble!!!

W Tim Tebow Pre: 23 pts Act: 22 pts
W Joe Flacco Pre: 12 pts Act: 7 pts
L Earnest Graham Pre: 20 pts Act: 1 pt
W Beanie Wells Pre: 6 pts Act: 4 pts
L Sidney Rice Pre: 13 pts Act: 4 pts
L Brandon Llyod Pre: 14 pts Act: 7 pts
W Dustin Keller Pre: 3 pts Act: 3 pts
L Peyton Hillis Pre: 22 pts Act: 0 DNP
W Cowboys Defense Pre: 13 Pts alw, 7 sacks, 1 Fum, 1 TD
Act: 7 pts alw, 1 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT
Overall Record: 14-12-1

So after a bad first week, I have had two straight winning weeks. This week I am just doing one player per position.

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

QB-Ben Roethlisberger (Pit) All-In Spelled Big Ben’s name right on the first try, NBD. I like Ben this week because of the weak defense he must face. In his first 3 or 4 starts against the Patriots Ben looked lost most games, but the last three times he has faced them he has put up good fantasy numbers (13 pts, 15 pts, and 22 pts last year). Even after a bye week to polish the defense up a little, I think Ben will put up some pretty good numbers. I expect this one to be a first to 30 points type of a game so expect both teams to score at least 4 TDs

Week 8 prediction: 276 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 15 rushing yards (22 points)

RB- Ryan Matthews (SD) Fold Kansas City isn’t the best team in the league, but the last three games they have played good games overall. In the last three games they haven’t allowed a rushing TD or a 100 yard rusher. Matthews had a good game against the Chiefs earlier in the year, but this time around they will be able to contain him much better. They were able to stop the likes of Run DMC, and Adrian AD Peterson, I think they can do it to Matthews too.

Week 8 prediction: 84 rushing yards, 0 TD, 18 receiving, 1 fumble (7 points)

WR-AJ Green (Cin) All-In Green has had a great rookie campaign and it has helped that his rookie QB is performing at a better level than the experts thought he was capable of doing. The Bengals will be without Cedric Benson so the Defense may be looking at Green even more than usual. I think he will find the endzone to make owners happy they put him in their starting lineup. Plus Seattle has shown they are vulnerable to the pass (20th in passing yards allowed)

Week 8 prediction: 84 receiving, 1 TD (14 points)

TE-Antonio Gates (SD) Fold Gates is finally back from a foot injury, but he probably won’t be full strength for a couple of weeks. He did catch a TD pass last week making owners either glad they hung on to him or upset because they didn’t put him in their lineup. I think he will have a rough week against the Chiefs in KC. He has typically fared well against KC (scoring against them 4 times in his last 5 games against them). I just think the foot thing will creep up again this week and cause an early exit.

Week 8 prediction: 41 receiving, 0 TD (4 points)

Flex-Knowshon Moreno (Den) All-In Moreno is going to have that big week that everyone expects of him at the beginning of the season, but since he has had so many disappointments no one is going to think about playing him this week. The Lions have been bad against the run (especially the last several weeks). This is purely a hunch so it will probably come back to bite me in the butt!

Week 8 prediction: 102 rushing, 1 TD, 23 receiving (18 points)

Def-San Francisco All-In San Fran has had one of the better defenses in football all year. In fact they are 11th in total yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed, tied for 2nd in 3rd down percentage (meaning they get the opposing off the field more often than not), and 2nd in yards per carry (don’t worry I know I looked up stats that reinforce my claim that they have a good defense and didn’t show any of their weaknesses). To go along with that they play a pretty bad offensive team in the Browns. With those two things mixed together it usually means good things for the D. San Fran all-in!

Week 8 prediction: 6 points allowed, 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 fumble

Well that is all I have time for this week. I hope you will follow the blog so you can stay updated as soon as my next post goes up. Or go to my facebook page and “like” H2H Hombre. Thanks for reading and leave any all-in or fold candidates you have for week 8!


It was a good sports weekend for me. The Cardinals beat the Brew Crew to advance to the World Series to face my favorite AL team, the Rangers. The Eagles remembered how to win, and have a bye week (which Andy Reid is practically unbeatable coming off a bye week). I went 2-1 in my 3 football leagues and had a good week of predictions. The only thing that could have made my sports weekend complete was the NBA bullcrap lockout ending. Obviously they don’t care that much about the season, because if they did they would be meeting every day until the “problem” was solved. I have a link to a band that I really like and just figured I would share them with you, my readers. “The Light Parade” Check them out they are duet, acoustic, indie, AWESOME, so if you like any of those categories you will like them! Here is last weeks’ results followed by this week’s All-in and Fold candidates.

W Mark Sanchez Pre: 20 pts Act: 18 pts
W Andy Dalton Pre: 17 pts Act: 14 pts
L Ryan Torain Pre: 23 pts Act: 2 pts
W BenJarvus Green-Ellis Pre: 4 pts Act: 6 pts
W DeSean Jackson Pre: 4 pts Act: 4 pts
L Brandon Marshall Pre: 5 pts Act: 10 pts
W Greg Olsen Pre: 3 pts Act: 4 pts
L Miles Austin Pre: 18 pts Act: 7 pts
W Bengals Defense Pre: 10 Pts alw, 5 sacks, 1 Blk, 1 INT
Act: 17 Pts alw, 1 sack, 1 Blk, 1 INT, 2 fum, 1 TD
Overall Record:9-8-1

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

QB-Tim Tebow(Den): All-In I have a hunch Tebow will put on a good fantasy performance coming off his bye week. In the last three games of last year and the 2nd half of last game his fantasy numbers are like this (22 pts, 22 pts, 27 pts, 16 pts one half). He may not be the “best” QB to ever play the game but he puts on a good show. I expect him to put up quality numbers across the board against a sub-par defense in Miami(28th ypg and 27th ppg).

Week 7 prediction: 237 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 68 rushing, 1 TD (23 fantasy sports)

QB-Joe Flacco(Bal): Fold Jacksonville has been a pretty stout Defense this year. They are ranked 8th in passing yards allowed so far this year. Flacco has had his good games and his bad games this year. He is averaging 255 yards per game, but I think the Jags will get a good dose of Ray Rice. The Ravens defense will put the Ravens in short fields on multiple occasions so Flacco won’t be putting up huge numbers this week.

Week 7 prediction: 197 passing yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 18 rushing, 0 TD (12 fantasy points)

RB-Earnest Graham(TB): All-In Graham filled in nicely for Blount last week and will do the same this week against Chicago. The Bears have shown that they are vulnerable against the run, and Tampa has played really good at home since Freeman has been the starting QB. Chicago allows 121 ypg and 5.4 ypc. If Graham gets to around 20 carries and/or TB gets an early lead Graham will probably break one big run to have a good fantasy performance.

Week 7 prediction: 93 rushing, 1 TD, 4 catches, 57 receiving (20 fantasy points)

RB-Beanie Wells(Ari): Fold Beanie has done better than most expected (95 ypg). He has been known to be injury prone, and is facing a good rush defense in the Steelers. They have had two games where they have allowed some big games, but Arizona isn’t quite the same in comparison to Bal and Hou. I have Beanie on two of my teams so I’m hoping he proves me wrong, but just really think it will be an off week.

Week 7 prediction: 55 rushing, 0 TD, 2 catches, 16 receiving (6 fantasy points)

WR-Sidney Rice(Sea): All-In Cleveland has been pretty good against WR this year, but I think Sidney will get that one TD that will make him fantasy worthy this week. We all know Rice is talented enough to put up huge games, but just hasn’t been able to do much this year. This one is all hunch, in fact most of my picks this week are pure hunch. I say go all-in with Rice.

Week 7 prediction: 4 catches, 75 receiving, 1 TD (13 fantasy points)

WR-Brandon Llyod(STL): All-In Lloyd is reunited with the Coach that made him fantasy relevant, and has a QB that has “a bigger arm” now in Bradford. Believe it or not Lloyd has actually put up some pretty good numbers against the Cowboys for his career (58 ypg, and 0.7 TDpg). I don’t think he will put up huge numbers, but he will get lots of chances which will result in a good fantasy day. Also, the Cowboys have been known to be a vulnerable pass defense.

Week 7 prediction: 8 catches, 82 receiving, 1 TD (14 fantasy points)

TE-Dustin Keller(NYJ): Fold San Diego has the 2nd best pass defense in this young year. And if you have watched the Jets at all this year then you will know they aren’t too good at the whole offense thing. Keller is averaging just over 3 catches a game, and facing a good defense means those 3 or 4 catches will be for very little yards. I don’t think he will get into the endzone this week either since he hasn’t the last 4 games.

Week 7 prediction: 3 catches, 39 receiving, 0 TD (3 fantasy points)

Flex-Peyton Hillis(Cle): All-In Hillis has been a fantasy dissapointment so far this year. I think the Browns know they need a heavier dose of Hillis in order to at least have a chance to win. Seattle has been really good against the run so far this year (3.3 ypc allowed), but they won’t have their vaunted home field advantage in this contest. This will be the week that Hillis starts the run of a couple of good games.

Week 7 prediction: 82 rushing, 2 TD, 28 receiving, 0 TD (22 fantasy points)

Def-Dallas: All-In The Cowboys have the best rushing defense in the league right now and the 14th best passing defense (which is why Lloyd will do good this week). I think Dallas will be able to join the sacking party of Bradford (he has been sacked the most so far this season). D Ware will have a good game as will all of his other buddies.

Week 7 prediction: 13 pts allowed, 7 sacks, 1 fumble recovery, 1 TD

Hope you enjoy the blog! if you want to stay updated follow or subscribe to the blog, or “like” H2H Hombre on Facebook. Leave any comments of your nominees for All-In or Fold this week. Good luck to all of you this week, unless of course you are facing me!

Couple things that struck me from the past weekend in sports. First, Go Cardinals! I’m really glad they beat the Phillies and hopefully they will beat the Brew Crew to advance to their 3rd world series in 8 years. Second, my Eagles aren’t good! They have a lot of good players and are putting up some good fantasy numbers, but they are sloppy, undisciplined, and giving up way too many points. They need to figure things out quick or they will be 1-5 and done for the year! Third, I HATE the NBA Lockout. Really NBA owners and players you are going to put this season in jeopardy. Your ratings were climbing the last three years, you have tons of great stars (Dwight Howard, Lebron James, Dwayne Wade, Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, CP3, Kobe Bryant, I can name about 7 or 8 more too) and a lot of good teams, but because you can’t decide on a “fair” split of revenue you are going to keep the fans from seeing those guys play. Really?! Figure it out and get on the court. Players and owners are out of line when games are cancelled! SO ANGRY about this.

Ok now that I have had my chance to rant a little bit let’s move on to week 6 fantasy football stuff. I will be showing the results of how I did the last week for you. Keep myself accountable for dumb things I say like Kevin Kolb will do good (I should know better than that and I apologize). So those results will be in a box on the side, with a Win (means I led you in the right direction by saying fold or all-in and was close in points), Loss (means I led you astray by saying all-in or fold), or Tie (means I wasn’t way off, but I wasn’t right either). Here are my week 6 players to Fold or go All-In on.

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

L Kevin Kolb Pre: 24 pts Act: 4 pts
W Josh Freeman Pre: 10 pts Act: 3 pts
L Mark Ingram Pre: 22 pts Act: 10 pts
W Jahvid Best Pre: 21 pts Act: 22 pts
W Eric Decker Pre: 5 pts Act: 0 pts
T Marques Colston Pre: 14 pts Act: 7 pts
L Jermaine Gresham Pre: 21 pts Act: 8 pts
L Scott Chandler Pre: 15 pts Act: 0 pts
L Titans D Pre: 13 pts allowed, 4 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT
Act: 38 pts allowed, 1 sack, 1 INT
Overall Record:


QB-Mark Sanchez (NYJ) All-In: If there is a week where Mark Sanchez is going to thrive this better be the week. He is facing the 31st pass defense in the Miami Dolphins (302 ypg, 8.6 ypc, and a 9:2 TD:INT ratio). The dolphins have been a pretty bad team this year. They are coming off a bye so some of their problems might be fixed defensively, but I expect Sanchez to put up some pretty good numbers. Over the last 4 games Sanchez is averaging 234 ypg, 2 TD, and 1 INT so if he can just put up those numbers he will have had a successful day. I see him doing just a bit better which is why I’m all-in with Sanchez.

Week 6 predictions: 278 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 19 rushing yards (20 fantasy points)

QB-Andy Dalton (Cin) All-In: Dalton has had some pretty good games so far as a rookie QB. He seems to be gaining some good trust with AJ Green, and Gresham in the passing game. And since he and Green are rookies the more snaps they get the better they will be together. Dalton doesn’t have the best arm in the world, but he did win a lot of games in college and has helped lead the Bengals to a 3-2 record so far. They will rely on Benson, Bernard, and Leonard to carry the ball probably 35-40 times since they are facing a weak Colts D. As a result I think Dalton will be able to have a couple of chances down field off of Play Action. I don’t see huge numbers from him but good numbers for a bye week replacement.

Week 6 predictions: 234 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 fumble, 11 rushing yards (17 fantasy points)

RB-Ryan Torain (Was) All-In: Yes I’m saying go all-in on a Shanahan RB. Hightower was pretty useful the first three weeks and Torain exploded week 4. They will probably share carries the next couple of weeks, but Torain’s running style will probably do really well against a soft Eagles’ run D (3rd worst in the NFL, 5 ypc, 140 ypg). Even if Torain only gets about 15 carries if he just gets 5 ypc, he will end up with 75 yards put a TD on that and you have yourself a good fantasy day.

Week 6 predictions: 96 rushing yards, 2 TD, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards (23 fantasy points)

RB-BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE) Fold: The Law Firm had a really great day against the Jets, but if we have seen anything from the Patriots the last several years, it is that no RB seems to have 2 good games in a row. Ellis runs hard and is having a decent season so far (67 ypg and 1 TD a game), but he is facing a really good Dallas run D (#1 on the year only allowing 62 ypg). The D coordinator Bob Ryan was the same man who baffled the Patriots last year when the Browns pulled off an upset and in that game Ellis only had 14 yards on 9 carries, and he has had a full extra week to prepare for the Pats. So it seems as though all things are going against the law firm this week so just fold him.

Week 6 predictions: 34 rushing yards, 0 TD, 16 receiving yards (4 fantasy points)

WR-DeSean Jackson (Phi) Fold: Jackson can be a headache to fantasy owners because he has the speed and ability to put up huge numbers like 210 yards and a TD(against Dallas last year), but then he will give you a game like he did against the Falcons earlier this year (21 yards, 0 TD). So he is a real hit or miss kind of guy. He has had two pretty nice games the last two weeks (17 pts, and 14 pts) so I think that means we are going to get one of his games where he does nothing. Plus he will be facing a pretty good Redskins D. They are allowing just 212 ypg in the air and have averaged about 4 sacks a game. If they are hitting Vick play after play then he won’t have a chance to use Jackson’s speed. I hope this pick comes back to bite me in the butt because I would really like my Eagles to win, but I’m trying to be real in evaluating.

Week 6 predictions: 4 catches, 64 yards, 0 TD, 1 fumble (4 fantasy points)

WR-Brandon Marshall (Mia) Fold: Two things are going against Marshall this week. The first is his starting QB Henne won’t be playing, and second he is facing the 5th best passing defense in the league only surrendering 203 ypg. Those two things could spell disaster for Brandon Marshall. Marshall has only 1 TD on the year and is only averaging 78 ypg (it is only 58 ypg the last three games). He is a great WR, but he hasn’t always been able to put up big numbers with Miami. I expect Revis to be able to take him out of the game for most of the night and the Matt Moore era to start off pretty ugly for the Dolphins.

Week 6 predictions: 5 catches, 54 yards, 0 TD (5 fantasy points)

TE-Greg Olsen (Car) Fold: ATL’s D hasn’t allowed big plays to TE or allowed many yards. In their first 5 games Jermichael Finley had the best game against the Falcons with 67 yards. So Olsen might see 6 or 7 targets, since Cam has looked his way throughout the year, but those catches won’t result in a whole lot of yards or any TDs. He has also seen a decline in receptions each of the last two weeks(7 to 5 to 3), he has scored a TD in each of those three games I see that streak coming to an end this Sunday. So I would stay away from Olsen this week.

Week 6 prediction: 3 catches, 38 yards, 0 TD (3 fantasy points)

Flex-Miles Austin (Dal) All-In: First off let me tell you that I think Miles is very overrated in very many ways, but he is facing the worst pass defense in the NFL this week (NE). As a result and a couple of weeks of rest for him to get healthy I think he will be very productive against the Patriots soft D. Dating back to last year Austin has 17.75 fantasy points in his last four games. So I think we could see a similar number this week.

Week 6 prediction: 7 catches, 122 yards, 1 TD (18 fantasy points)

Defense-Bengals (Cin) All-In: I’m very high on most of the Bengals players this week since they are facing the winless Colts. Even though the Colts offense has looked better the last two weeks they will be facing a pretty good defense in the Bengals. I’ll just let the numbers do the talking for me. They are only allowing 18 pts a game (tied for 6th best), 88.6 rushing ypg (7th best), 191 passing ypg (3rd best), 13 sacks (8th best), 6 TO and 1 Defensive TD. So they have been a top 10 defense this year easy. Put that against a bottom 10 offense on the year and good things should happen.

Week 6 prediction: 10 pts allowed, 5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 blocked kick

Let me know who you think will be notable All-In or Fold candidates in the comment section below. Don’t forget to “like” the Hombre on facebook, or follow the blog and you will receive daily/weekly reminders about the posts that have gone up. Last but not least thanks for reading and hope you enjoy! Good luck to you all this week unless of course I am facing you in one of my leagues!