Couple things that struck me from the past weekend in sports. First, Go Cardinals! I’m really glad they beat the Phillies and hopefully they will beat the Brew Crew to advance to their 3rd world series in 8 years. Second, my Eagles aren’t good! They have a lot of good players and are putting up some good fantasy numbers, but they are sloppy, undisciplined, and giving up way too many points. They need to figure things out quick or they will be 1-5 and done for the year! Third, I HATE the NBA Lockout. Really NBA owners and players you are going to put this season in jeopardy. Your ratings were climbing the last three years, you have tons of great stars (Dwight Howard, Lebron James, Dwayne Wade, Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, CP3, Kobe Bryant, I can name about 7 or 8 more too) and a lot of good teams, but because you can’t decide on a “fair” split of revenue you are going to keep the fans from seeing those guys play. Really?! Figure it out and get on the court. Players and owners are out of line when games are cancelled! SO ANGRY about this.
Ok now that I have had my chance to rant a little bit let’s move on to week 6 fantasy football stuff. I will be showing the results of how I did the last week for you. Keep myself accountable for dumb things I say like Kevin Kolb will do good (I should know better than that and I apologize). So those results will be in a box on the side, with a Win (means I led you in the right direction by saying fold or all-in and was close in points), Loss (means I led you astray by saying all-in or fold), or Tie (means I wasn’t way off, but I wasn’t right either). Here are my week 6 players to Fold or go All-In on.
(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)
| L | Kevin Kolb | Pre: 24 pts | Act: 4 pts |
| W | Josh Freeman | Pre: 10 pts | Act: 3 pts |
| L | Mark Ingram | Pre: 22 pts | Act: 10 pts |
| W | Jahvid Best | Pre: 21 pts | Act: 22 pts |
| W | Eric Decker | Pre: 5 pts | Act: 0 pts |
| T | Marques Colston | Pre: 14 pts | Act: 7 pts |
| L | Jermaine Gresham | Pre: 21 pts | Act: 8 pts |
| L | Scott Chandler | Pre: 15 pts | Act: 0 pts |
| L | Titans D | Pre: 13 pts allowed, 4 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT | |
| Act: 38 pts allowed, 1 sack, 1 INT | |||
| Overall Record:
3-5-1 |
QB-Mark Sanchez (NYJ) All-In: If there is a week where Mark Sanchez is going to thrive this better be the week. He is facing the 31st pass defense in the Miami Dolphins (302 ypg, 8.6 ypc, and a 9:2 TD:INT ratio). The dolphins have been a pretty bad team this year. They are coming off a bye so some of their problems might be fixed defensively, but I expect Sanchez to put up some pretty good numbers. Over the last 4 games Sanchez is averaging 234 ypg, 2 TD, and 1 INT so if he can just put up those numbers he will have had a successful day. I see him doing just a bit better which is why I’m all-in with Sanchez.
Week 6 predictions: 278 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 19 rushing yards (20 fantasy points)
QB-Andy Dalton (Cin) All-In: Dalton has had some pretty good games so far as a rookie QB. He seems to be gaining some good trust with AJ Green, and Gresham in the passing game. And since he and Green are rookies the more snaps they get the better they will be together. Dalton doesn’t have the best arm in the world, but he did win a lot of games in college and has helped lead the Bengals to a 3-2 record so far. They will rely on Benson, Bernard, and Leonard to carry the ball probably 35-40 times since they are facing a weak Colts D. As a result I think Dalton will be able to have a couple of chances down field off of Play Action. I don’t see huge numbers from him but good numbers for a bye week replacement.
Week 6 predictions: 234 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 fumble, 11 rushing yards (17 fantasy points)
RB-Ryan Torain (Was) All-In: Yes I’m saying go all-in on a Shanahan RB. Hightower was pretty useful the first three weeks and Torain exploded week 4. They will probably share carries the next couple of weeks, but Torain’s running style will probably do really well against a soft Eagles’ run D (3rd worst in the NFL, 5 ypc, 140 ypg). Even if Torain only gets about 15 carries if he just gets 5 ypc, he will end up with 75 yards put a TD on that and you have yourself a good fantasy day.
Week 6 predictions: 96 rushing yards, 2 TD, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards (23 fantasy points)
RB-BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE) Fold: The Law Firm had a really great day against the Jets, but if we have seen anything from the Patriots the last several years, it is that no RB seems to have 2 good games in a row. Ellis runs hard and is having a decent season so far (67 ypg and 1 TD a game), but he is facing a really good Dallas run D (#1 on the year only allowing 62 ypg). The D coordinator Bob Ryan was the same man who baffled the Patriots last year when the Browns pulled off an upset and in that game Ellis only had 14 yards on 9 carries, and he has had a full extra week to prepare for the Pats. So it seems as though all things are going against the law firm this week so just fold him.
Week 6 predictions: 34 rushing yards, 0 TD, 16 receiving yards (4 fantasy points)
WR-DeSean Jackson (Phi) Fold: Jackson can be a headache to fantasy owners because he has the speed and ability to put up huge numbers like 210 yards and a TD(against Dallas last year), but then he will give you a game like he did against the Falcons earlier this year (21 yards, 0 TD). So he is a real hit or miss kind of guy. He has had two pretty nice games the last two weeks (17 pts, and 14 pts) so I think that means we are going to get one of his games where he does nothing. Plus he will be facing a pretty good Redskins D. They are allowing just 212 ypg in the air and have averaged about 4 sacks a game. If they are hitting Vick play after play then he won’t have a chance to use Jackson’s speed. I hope this pick comes back to bite me in the butt because I would really like my Eagles to win, but I’m trying to be real in evaluating.
Week 6 predictions: 4 catches, 64 yards, 0 TD, 1 fumble (4 fantasy points)
WR-Brandon Marshall (Mia) Fold: Two things are going against Marshall this week. The first is his starting QB Henne won’t be playing, and second he is facing the 5th best passing defense in the league only surrendering 203 ypg. Those two things could spell disaster for Brandon Marshall. Marshall has only 1 TD on the year and is only averaging 78 ypg (it is only 58 ypg the last three games). He is a great WR, but he hasn’t always been able to put up big numbers with Miami. I expect Revis to be able to take him out of the game for most of the night and the Matt Moore era to start off pretty ugly for the Dolphins.
Week 6 predictions: 5 catches, 54 yards, 0 TD (5 fantasy points)
TE-Greg Olsen (Car) Fold: ATL’s D hasn’t allowed big plays to TE or allowed many yards. In their first 5 games Jermichael Finley had the best game against the Falcons with 67 yards. So Olsen might see 6 or 7 targets, since Cam has looked his way throughout the year, but those catches won’t result in a whole lot of yards or any TDs. He has also seen a decline in receptions each of the last two weeks(7 to 5 to 3), he has scored a TD in each of those three games I see that streak coming to an end this Sunday. So I would stay away from Olsen this week.
Week 6 prediction: 3 catches, 38 yards, 0 TD (3 fantasy points)
Flex-Miles Austin (Dal) All-In: First off let me tell you that I think Miles is very overrated in very many ways, but he is facing the worst pass defense in the NFL this week (NE). As a result and a couple of weeks of rest for him to get healthy I think he will be very productive against the Patriots soft D. Dating back to last year Austin has 17.75 fantasy points in his last four games. So I think we could see a similar number this week.
Week 6 prediction: 7 catches, 122 yards, 1 TD (18 fantasy points)
Defense-Bengals (Cin) All-In: I’m very high on most of the Bengals players this week since they are facing the winless Colts. Even though the Colts offense has looked better the last two weeks they will be facing a pretty good defense in the Bengals. I’ll just let the numbers do the talking for me. They are only allowing 18 pts a game (tied for 6th best), 88.6 rushing ypg (7th best), 191 passing ypg (3rd best), 13 sacks (8th best), 6 TO and 1 Defensive TD. So they have been a top 10 defense this year easy. Put that against a bottom 10 offense on the year and good things should happen.
Week 6 prediction: 10 pts allowed, 5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 blocked kick
Let me know who you think will be notable All-In or Fold candidates in the comment section below. Don’t forget to “like” the Hombre on facebook, or follow the blog and you will receive daily/weekly reminders about the posts that have gone up. Last but not least thanks for reading and hope you enjoy! Good luck to you all this week unless of course I am facing you in one of my leagues!
H2H Hombre 