Posts Tagged ‘Apollo’

Week 2 had lots of surprises both in the games and some of the player switches and roster issues. It looks like those situations will continue into week 3 with more visa issues on some of the EU rosters, and a few more roster changes in NA. The echo fox NRG game getting cancelled cost me 2 players in my week 2 picks, but still ended with a good week. I look to continue my success in my week 3 picks.

allin

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projection)

Top – Vit CaboChard (30pts) Cabo hasn’t had the best season so far, but I think week 3 is where he finally puts it together. Vitality has another week of working together and they face Giants and H2k which should give Cabo some opportunities to shine.

Jungle – TSM Svenskeren (29pts) I’m high on TSM and CLG this week. So when I see Svens is under 30 points it was a no-brainer all-in for me. TSM has two tough opponents in NRG and C9 but they are the better team from top to bottom than both and have been able to win some games without playing well yet.

Mid – NRG GBM (30pts) We haven’t gotten to see a lot of GBM so far this season, but in his few games he has shown he can make some plays. His opponents are Bjergsen and Fenix both will challenge him in different ways. I do think that 30 points for him is too low. Even if NRG loses both games this week GBM and Impact will have good weeks.

ADC – CLG Stixxay (34pts) So far in the young season Stixxay has looked good then bad then good again. With matchups against Echo Fox and Renegades I expect the CLG bot lane to shine. I would expect a 2-0 week for them, and 40+ points for the young ADC.

Support – CLG Aphromoo (26pts) Aphromoo has always been a guy who can put up big points, but he also can be overly aggressive leading to tough weeks (last week). I do believe his playmaking will result in huge points for him and CLG.

Team – TSM (25pts) TSM is primed for a 2-0 week, even with tough opponents they have started to look a little better in their team play. I think another week of working together and learning to trust each other in team fights we will see a dominant TSM team. I think week 3 is the beginning of that.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projection)

Top – Odoamne (35pts) H2K has put more focus on their bot lane and mid lane this year than last. As a result Odoamne hasn’t been the fantasy monster we have come to expect. Even though he will still be a good top laner when the season is over I don’t see him having a big week against Vit and Roccat.

Jungle – FNC Spirit (37pts) Fnatic has a slightly easier schedule this week than their last two (Splyce and G2). I think FNC will go 2-0 but Spirit has two weeks of 30 points and until he shows he can be more than that I won’t go all-in on him this week.

Mid – UoL Fox (42pts) UoL has played really well to start the year, but not being able to have Diamond for the forseeable future hurts what they have been doing so far. As a result I don’t love UoL in week 3.

ADC – Dig Apollo (38pts) Dignitas plays Impulse and C9 in week 3 and they have done their usual surprise everyone to start the split. They could surprise us again and pull out a 2-0 week again, but I think C9 will beat them and who knows what will happen when they play TIP. Overall I see Apollo getting in the mid to low 30’s when the week 3 dust settles.

Support – UoL Hylissang (34pts) Hylissang hasn’t scored 32 points in either of the first 2 weeks. With the team being down a player and facing G2 and Elements (both teams have been playing well) Hylissang won’t be able to get that 34 points.

Team – Liquid (31pts) Liquid still hasn’t figured out their issues, but they have been competitive in all 4 games. Teams almost always have to go 2-0 to surpass 30 points. Liquid faces NRG and Impulse. This could be the week they could be 2-0 but I see them finishing 1-1 and around 25 points.

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There are just two weeks remaining in the summer split of the LCS. Some of you may be in a heated battle for first place in your league, maybe you just couldn’t string together enough wins so you are in the middle of the pack, or you are just trying to get out of last place with the final weeks. Either way the season has been an enjoyable one so far. Here are my results from last week (Had some really close calls on my support picks) and then my picks for week 8.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Viz 30 59.49 W
Helios 24 10.99 L
PowerofEvil 37 71.75 W
CandyPanda 42 20.79 L
Kasing 24 23.53 L
UoL 24 36 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Dyrus 35 20.51 W
Amazing 34 28.19 W
Febevin 42 61.53 L
Freeze 36 10.03 W
BunnyFuFu 45 44.26 W
CLG 34 38 L
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 39W-31L-1T

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Cabochard (proj: 25pts) Cabo has scored more than 25 four times this split, and with match-ups against Origen and UoL (both teams are good) he will do just enough to get over the 25 point mark.

Jung- Fr3deric (proj: 25pts) Fr3deric has been neither a fantasy stud or a fantasy dud. He averages right at 28 points a week, and with match-ups against Roccat and H2K that is probably what he will end up with this week.

Mid- Ryu (proj: 36pts) H2K hasn’t been as dominant as of late, but their match-ups this week (giants and CW) are too good to pass up. Ryu will end up with just above his average of 40 points for week 7.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 38pts) Apollo has been one of the best ADC’s this split, his worst week was over 33 points and his best was 71. Match-ups against TSM and TDK don’t scream fantasy points, but he is a consistent scoring machine. Look for him to get in the mid 40’s this week.

Supp- Adrian (proj: 29pts) Who is the 2nd highest scoring support in the summer split? If you guessed Adrian you are right. The bot lane for TiP has quietly been one of the biggest reasons they are winning games, and you should expect that to continue.

Team- Giants (proj: 22pts) Giants average 24 points a week, and they have broken 30 the last two weeks. They won’t go 2-0 this week, but they will do enough to get in the mid 20’s.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top- Flarez (proj: 30pts) Flarez has managed a score of more than 30 only twice this split. If he was an option for you, he shouldn’t be.

Jung- Move (proj: 42pts) Move has been a consistent fantasy producer this split, but only breaking 42 points twice so far means he is a great fold option with that projection. He will probably finish right around his average of 37 points.

Mid- Pobelter (proj:41pts) 37, 19.5, 17.3 those are the last three weeks for Pobelter. He was the highest scoring mid laner after week 4, but he has now fallen to the 5th. He will still have a good week, but won’t quite hit the 40 point barrier.

ADC- Otter (proj: 35pts) When looking at the numbers this is a fair projection for Otter. However, given last week’s results and this weeks opponents it doesn’t look good for Enemy. 28 points is about where Otter will end up.

Supp- Hylissang (proj: 31pts) After 2 big weeks for Hylissang (and UoL), it seems as though he will come back down to the mean. He currently averages 28 points a week, but before the last 2 weeks he was closer to the 24 point mark. UoL probably won’t win both of their games given the jungle switch, therefore Hylissang will not prosper in week 7.

Team- Enemy (proj: 28pts) Enemy has only broken 20 points twice this split (22, 24). Don’t see why that would change this week against C9 and Liquid. Fold enemy if you were considering them.

 

Who are your week 8 All-in or Fold candidates?

This week will mark the halfway point of the season. Since each team has played 8 games there is a better picture of what each team does well and what each team does poorly. EU has a logjam at the middle and bottom of the standings, 6 teams at .500 or less, and NA is packed at the top of the standings, 5 teams at 5-3 or better. The rest of the season should have lots of entertaining games since so many teams will be fighting for a spot in the playoffs. Here is last weeks results (TSM would have been a win for me if Liquid didn’t throw that final fight, and Roccat let everyone down so don’t feel to bad about that pick) followed by my week 5 picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Odoamne 34 44.94 W
Diamond 28 5.42 L
Betsy 28  20.4 L
Altec 37 49.84 W
Mithy 30 32.9 W
Roccat 26 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Vizicsacsi 43 40.82 W
Airwaks 26 8.4 W
Ninja 35 NA NA
Adryh 37 15.93 W
Aphromoo 44 49.21 L
TSM 30 32 L
This Week W-L 6W-5L Total W-L 20W-15L

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Gamsu (proj: 31 points)  Gamsu had a monster week 4 and because of that and Dignitas’ easier schedule this week, he is a great option to beat out his projected total. He only had 85 points in the first 3 weeks which comes out to 28 points a week so the projection is fair. However, momentum is also a real thing and his near perfect performance in week 4 shows that he can be a fantasy monster. TDK and NME are on the docket for Dig so if you are a believer in the Dig magic, pick up any Dig players you can.

Jung- Kikis (proj: 34 points) Kikis is currently averaging 30 points a week. Based on that this is already an “easy” pick, but to take a deeper look into Kikis week we can see that he should beat that projection by 3-5 points. Giants are giving up roughly 19 points a game to enemy junlgers and Roccat is giving up 18 points a game to enemy junglers (this data is misisng week 3 so might be off a point or two). If we take those numbers we see that he should score around 37 points this week. UoL will have their first 2-0 week of the split.

Mid- Innox (proj: 33 points) Innox has played surprisingly well so far to start the season. This week he has two favorable match-ups against Dig, even though Dig has won a lot of games they are giving  up a decent chunk of fantasy points to their opponents, and Team 8. Innox has helped NME remain close in most of their games, and in a few has done just enough carrying to win them some games.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 41 points) Apollo has been the most consistent scorer for TiP so far this split. He scores 21.5 points a game and his two match-ups (Gravity and Cloud 9) haven’t been shutting down the enemy ADCs. So even with a high projection of 40, Apollo should get closer to the 42 point range because Gravity has allowed around 20 points a game and C9 has allowed around 22 points a game.

Supp- BunnyFuFu (proj: 26 points) All of the Gravity players have done better than most thought going into the split. In fact every player is averaging over 38 points a week. The match-ups are tough for Gravity this week (TiP and Liquid), but I don’t foresee either of them being blowouts in the enemy teams favor. If each game goes over 35 minutes Bunny should get closer to his average 38 points a week than his projection of 25. Go all-in on Bunny this week if you can.

Team- Elements (proj: 25 points) This could be a trap pick mid range point projection, easy match-ups, and a team that seems to be playing better. This should be the week that Elements goes 2-0 and potentially break the 30 point threshold since they face SK (allowing 15 points a game to enemy teams) and Giants ( allowing 13 points a game to enemy teams). Elements strategy is always get Froggen to late game carry mode and they have been performing a little better in the early game to help allow that to happen.

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top – Huni (proj: 35 points) You should never pick against FNC players, but its happening this week for Huni. Huni hasn’t been nearly as dominant this split as last, in fact if you take out his week 3 performance he would be averaging 18 points a game. FNC vs H2K is going to be a great game, it will most likely end up in a similar way that the Origen FNC game ended, in a blowout for either team. If H2K pulls off the win, and FNC rebounds and crushes GMB then Huni won’t have the chance to get a huge week. This is the big gamble of the week, look for Huni to end up with 32-34 points at the end.

Jung – Meteos (proj: 28 points) Meteos hasn’t found his groove just yet as shot-caller, and it has been taking his game performance down a bit too. He has only broken 30 points once this season (week 1), and it doesn’t appear this will be the week he does it again. C9 faces TDK and TiP, both games are winnable for C9, but just because C9 wins both doesn’t mean that Meteos will be a big scorer.

Mid – Nukeduck (proj: 39 points) A lot of Roccat players have big projections and because of what they did to the Fantasy LCS community last week, I have 2 on this list as fold candidates. Ok, so that isn’t the only reason. They face UoL and CW neither of those teams shut down their enemy teams in terms of fantasy points allowed, but UoL has done well keeping the enemy mid laner from getting out of hand (15 points allowed). If CW can keep Nukeduck from going into hard carry mode this should be an easy win.

ADC – Sneaky (proj: 38 points) Sneaky has been the most consistent scorer for C9 so far this split. He is averaging just over 18 points a game and playing TiP (who is always unpredictable) and TDK (who should allow C9 to get a win again). The real reason there are two C9 players on this list is personal. I want to jinx them back into winning ways, so I figure if I put two on this list RNG will prove me wrong. Go C9, but I’m folding your players this week.

Supp – Vander (proj: 36 points) CW have allowed 18 points a game to the enemy support and UoL is allowing 16 points a game. With that information and the fact that Vander has had 2 bad fantasy weeks he should be an easy fold candidate. Not much to say about this one really.

Team – Liquid (proj: 27 points) Liquid has looked really good this split, but it hasn’t resulted in as many wins as they probably hoped. They face off against Gravity and CLG. Both games should be fun to watch and very competitive, but 30 points is the number for teams that go 2-0 and based on their inconsistencies against the better teams in NA 2-0 seems very unlikely for Liquid this week. Expect them to get closer to the 26 point range on the week.

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live. Who are your all-in and fold candidates for week 5 are? Let me know in the comments below!