Posts Tagged ‘derek jeter’

So a month of baseball has been played and your fantasy team has gotten enough AB’s and Innings pitched to see a picture of what your team might look like for the year. I know that there are some players who have been horrible that will turn it around some, but you know what those players are probably going to give you. So early May is a good time to evaluate your strengths and weaknesses of your fantasy team. A good way to do that is just go look at the stats of your players (sometimes we can let our hearts get in the way of our heads when it comes to our fantasy team). The stats will tell the story of what your team is and is probably going to be. Once you have identified one or two of the key strengths you have and one or two of the weaknesses you must determine if you are going to try and make the weaknesses less of one or completely give up on those categories and make your strengths and other categories stronger. I tend to lean towards “punting” (giving up) the one or two category that I my team is already bad at and imposing my will in the two or three my team is good at.  With all that said here is some players that you should go for, players you should drop, or just players who should be on your radar.

All-In(players that are performing well and need to be added to your fantasy team)

Melky Cabrera (KC-OF)-Cabrera, like the Royals, has been a surprise this season. Melky has always had his moments where he looked like a quality ball player, but he never could put it together for long periods of time. This season he has been very consistent at the plate, he can give you help in every category right now. His numbers so far for the season are 20 r, 3 hr, 20 rbi, 3 sb, .293 avg. I don’t know if Melky can keep it up over the entire season, but sometimes riding someone’s hot streak is the key to building big leads during the season.

Brennan Boesch (Det-OF)-Boesch has been a bright spot in the Tigers offense so far. He is in a good spot in the order (he has been in the 3 or 5 hole for most of the last 10 games) so he will get lots of good opportunities to drive in runs. In the first month he has produced well in every category. He won’t get you a ton of SBs for the season, but might drive in a lot of runs and score a lot of runs too. This is what Boesch has been able to do so far this season, 19 r, 2 hr, 16 rbi, 3 sb, .318 avg.

Josh Tomlin & Justin Masterson (Cle-SP)-These two guys have been one of the main reasons the Indians are tied for the best team in the majors. Neither guy is going to get you high K numbers, but they have the look of Cliff Lee’s breakout season. They both pound the strikezone and trust their above average defense behind them. They both have pitched 40 innings, have 4+ Wins this year, and neither have above a 1.15 WHIP or a 3 ERA. They can really help your team sustain low WHIP numbers.

Fold(players that are underperforming and you need to just let them live on the waivers)

Ryan Dempster (Chi-SP)-Dempster might turn it around, but sometimes you can’t wait if he is literally helping you in no categories. He always puts up decent K numbers but this season he just can’t get people out, and he keeps giving up crooked innings (aka more than 2 runs an inning). This is what Dempster has done this year, 38 IN, 1 W, 34 K, 8.04 ERA, 1.74 WHIP. I would just let him go to the wayside and grab one of the Indian boys.

Derek Jeter (NYY-SS)-The Captain just isn’t getting the job done anymore. Granted I am biased because I have never liked Jeter. So he may not be a drop now candidate, but his numbers may tell you that he is. His season’s numbers have looked like this in 108 ABs so he has a .250 avg, 0 hr, 0 sb, 14 r, 6 rbi. He got a day off yesterday, and if he continues to not hit he will see those days more frequent.

Clay Bucholz (Bos-SP)-Bucholz has been similar to Dempster this year…bad! He also has the pedigree to turn it around during the season, but like I said earlier don’t let your team fall to far behind early in the year. Bucholz’s numbers have been 33.2 IN, 2 W, 17 K, 4.81 ERA, 1.71 WHIP. Clay’s ERA won’t drop much because he was really lucky last year in terms of his ERA. He isn’t a high K guy so he relies on guys hitting the ball for outs. He has had trouble with his command this year. He should also be dropped for an Indian boy.

Check(players that are putting up interesting numbers and need to be on your radar)

Justin Smoak (Sea-1B)-Smoak was always supposed to be a big bat in the pros, but he wasn’t able to reach that potential in his short stints in the majors the last two years. Since he returned from some personal days off he has been drilling everything. His last 14 days his numbers look like this, 4 r, 3 hr, 13 rbi, and a .353 avg. He is young so there will be hiccups, but if you have room on your team than he would be a worthy gamble.

Eric Hosmer (KC-1B)-BIG TIME PROSPECT. If you haven’t heard about Hosmer than you didn’t read any preseason prospect articles. He was a first round pick in 2008 (good pedigree), last year in the minors he hit .338, 20 hr, and 16 sb. He was hitting over .400 in AAA to start the year, so KC couldn’t wait to get another big bat in their already surprising lineup.

Nate McLouth (Atl-OF)-McLouth has been a fantasy darling and a fantasy bum over the last several years. He has the potential to be a 20/20 guy, but he can also fight the mendoza line. He has looked comfortable this season at the plate batting over .275. He scores lots of runs batting at the top of a potent ATL offense (or what will be a potent offense over the entire season) this season he already has 21 r. High r guys are harder to find than you think so get them if you can.

Leave any questions that you might have for your fantasy team and I will address them in my next post. Don’t forget to like the Hombre on facebook. Good luck to all of you this month.

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SS were also a little difficult to rank. There is really only 2 studs, 3 or 4 safe bets, and the rest could be hit or miss. But after looking over some stats from the last couple of years this is my list and I’m sticking to it!

1)  Hanley Ramirez (Fla-SS)-Han-Ram is a stud at the plate, and lucky for us that is all that matters in the fantasy world, 2 years ago he was battling for a batting title, he has had 20/30 seasons 3 of the last 4. So needless to say he does everything. His steals have dropped from his first two full seasons, but still got a solid 32 last year. He will have another good year because that is what he does.

2011 prediction: .311 avg, 106 r, 26 hr, 84 rbi, 31 sb

2)  Troy Tulowitzki (Col-SS)-Tulo has fought early season struggles, and injuries every single year in the league. But he also has had monster 2nd halfs the last three seasons. So be prepared to suffer through a month or two with Tulo, but then you get rewarded with the best bat in the league for about 3 weeks (last September 30,15,40). So Tulo could take the next step if he can bring his bat to the first two months of the season, but don’t expect it to happen.

2011 prediction: .298 avg, 97 r, 31 hr, 102 rbi, 12 sb

3)  Jose Reyes (NYM-SS)-Jose Reyes was a top 5 pick for three years in a row then he got injured in 2009, and last year he battled thyroid problems the whole season. So let’s just assume this offseason he has learn to deal with the thyroid and will be able to gain some of his allure that he once had. If Jose plays 150+ he will be worth the price you pay for him.

2011 prediction: .284 avg, 102 r, 12 hr, 57 rbi, 41 sb

4)  Derek Jeter (NYY-SS)-I thought about dropping Derek on the list but I wasn’t ready to put Alexei, Elvis, and Stephen as the 4th best shortstop. Derek is getting old (turns 37 this season) so his numbers will probably decline some, which they did last year. Jeter is a decent producer in every category which is why he is still at number 4. But if he doesn’t improve his avg from last years numbers then he won’t be worth the 4th SS.

2011 prediction: .286 avg, 109 r, 12 hr, 68 rbi, 17 sb

5)  Alexei Ramirez (ChW-SS)-Alexei is only in his 4th full season, and is turning 29 this year. So Both of those things should tell you that he shouldn’t have any decline from his season last year. Alexei had a rough first two months last year, but came on strong the last three months. He will bring you value in all five categories, but he won’t be a monster in any of them. If he can stay at the top of the batting order then I expect big things from him this year.

2011 prediction: .289 avg, 86 r, 20 hr, 77 rbi, 10 sb

6) Elvis Andrus (Tex-SS)-Elvis had a good year last year in his second full season, but he didn’t shine. Most have him ahead of Ramirez, but he did worse in every category but sb. So I put him one spot lower than Ramirez. He is entering his third full season, and is only 22 so good things could happen for him (could key word there). If he gets his avg up 10-15 points he will be higher than Ramirez, but he never showed improve signs at the end of last season for me to believe that it will happen. He is a high sb guy that you can get in the middle rounds.

2011 prediction: .272 avg, 93 r, 2 hr, 44 rbi, 39 sb

7) Jimmy Rollins (Phi-SS)-Jimmy Rollins was once a fantasy killer, and a MVP candadate. The last two seasons however say something very different. It looks as though his age is starting to show, injuries, drops in his sb, and huge drops in his batting avg. Jimmy no longer is a top five SS, but at 32 there is still a chance he produces much better than he has.

2011 prediction: .265 avg, 94 r, 18 hr, 65 rbi, 27 sb

8)  Stephen Drew (Ari-SS)-Drew has been the full time SS for 4 seasons now so when you take a look at his stats year to year you know what you are going to get. He doesn’t shine in any one category, but he did up his sb total last year. So if Drew can improve that number more this year and be more consitent at the plate he will deliver a good fantasy season. I don’t see him breaking out of his mold though.

2011 prediction: .277 avg, 81 r, 16 hr, 64 rbi, 14 sb

9)  Rafael Furcal (LAD-SS)-Furcal is getting to the latter part of his SS days (33). He has gone good year/bad year the last 5 years, and if that pattern stays true then this year is going to be a bad year. But stats don’t tell the whole story. Furcal was dinged up last year, and put up some good numbers. So if he can stay on the diamond I think he will put up decent numbers again. Remember players with patterns (especially ones that have had a pattern for more than 3 years) usually stay true to it.

2011 prediction: .274 avg, 87 r, 7 hr, 49 rbi, 24 sb

10) Starlin Castro (ChC-SS)-Castro was a highly touted rookie last year and probably did better than most thought he would do, especially at the plate. Hopefully in year two he can begin to either a) drive the ball a little better than last year (only 3 hr and 41 rbi in 2010). Or get more aggressive on the basepaths (only had 10 sb and 53 r) As long as 2 of those 4 numbers improve and his avg stays the same he will be a great SS at a low price.

2011 predicton: .296 avg, 65 r, 5 hr, 48 rbi, 16 sb

11) Alcides Escobar (KC-SS)-Alcides was the main piece in the Grienke deal this offseason. Last year with the Brewers, Escobar struggled at the plate. He looked really bad… hit .235 for the season. His avg should go up, he is a player who puts the ball in play a lot, and has plus speed. He also hit fairly well in the minors so his avg shouldn’t be as low as it was. This was a guy who I rank higher than anyone else, but I have faith that he will come through for  me.

2011 prediction: .279 avg, 69 r, 6 hr, 46 rbi, 27 sb

12) Ian Desmond (Was-SS)-Ian was a great pickup last year considering he had dual position eligibility, but this year he is SS only. With that knowledge and the stats he put up last year I don’t see him getting much higher that 12th. It will be his 3rd full season and his 2nd as a full time starter. So that means there is a chance he could be better than 12. I don’t see the Nats having a great season offensively, so I don’t see his numbers improving that much this year.

2011 prediction: .270 avg, 61 r, 11 hr, 66 rbi, 17 sb

OF will be up tomorrow. Leave any questions, or disagreements with my rankings in the comment section. Also, leave any bold predictions you have for the SS class of 2011.

My Rankings ESPN Rankings Yahoo! Rankings CBS Sports
Hanley Ramirez

1

1

1

Troy Tulowitzki

2

2

2

Jose Reyes

3

3

3

Derek Jeter

4

5

5

Alexei Ramirez

7

6

9

Elvis Andrus

6

9

6

Jimmy Rollins

5

4

4

Stephen Drew

8

7

7

Rafael Furcal

10

10

8

Starlin Castro

11

11

10

Alcides Escobar

13

15

27

Ian Desmond

9

8

14