Posts Tagged ‘evan longoria’

Here they are everyone the 3B rankings, from the H2H Amigo!

1. Jose Bautista (Tor-3B, OF) I was hesitant to draft Bautista in the 3rd round last year, and quick to trade him early in the season.  The mistakes we make… This year I expect some regression for Bautista, especially average-wise.  Bautista is a career .254 hitter, and I find it hard that he’ll be able to put together back-to-back .300 seasons.  Otherwise, Bautista is a pretty safe bet for some monster numbers from the hot corner.  And get him now… he probably won’t be 3rd base eligible next year.

2012 projection: .281 avg – 99 runs, 41 HR, 108 rbi, 8 sb

2. Evan Longoria (TB-3B) My instinct with Longoria was that “Man, he had a terrible year last year.”  His line for 2011 looked like this:  .244 avg – 78 runs, 31 HR, 99 RBI and 3 SB in 133 games.  Not great. But certainly not terrible.  If his .244 average was removed from his career numbers (this will only be his 5th year in the League) he is a career .282 hitter.  If he can hit his average, he’s got a chance to be the number one fantasy 3b this year.

2012 projection: .285 avg – 91 runs, 38 HR, 103 rbi, 10 sb

3. Adrian Beltre (Tex-3B) When you look at last year’s numbers for Beltre, two things stick out:  1)  He only played 124 games.  2)  His numbers at 124 games (approximately 75% of 162) were still 100% draftable.  If anyone had told you last year that your 3b was going to hit .296 with 82 runs, 32 HR and 105 RBI, I don’t think you would have complained.  It’s a risky pick, but one that could pay dividends.

2012 projection: .288 avg – 88 runs, 35 HR, 110 rbi, 1 sb

4. Ryan Zimmerman (Was-3B) Zimmerman, who played only 101 games last year, presents another higher risk/higher reward opportunity.  Despite struggling through an injury plagued 2011, I think Zimmerman will post extremely solid numbers this season.

2012 projection: .294 avg – 87 runs, 30 HR, 102 rbi, 5 sb

5. Pablo Sandoval (SF-1B, 3B) I have a great idea!  Instead of having an All-Star game to determine home field advantage in the World Series, Sandoval and Prince Fielder will Sumo wrestle…  At least it would get some decent TV ratings.

2012 projection: .317 avg – 76 runs, 25 HR, 84 rbi, 3 sb

6. Brett Lawrie (Tor-3B) An unknown quantity, Lawrie saw only 150 Major League AB’s last year.  He’s got some pop in the bat, and was very successful in the Minor’s.  Now let’s see if it can translate to a full Major Leagues season.  I’m predicting a roller coaster ride that results in some serviceable numbers:

2012 projection: .271 avg – 79 runs, 19 HR, 84 rbi, 21 sb

7. Michael Young (Tex-1B, 2B, 3B) Since 2002, Young has played less than 155 games only one time!  The best way to put numbers on the board in fantasy is to have players that are actually on the field.  His multi-position eligibility also gives him some extra value.  He’s getting older, but I would love to have Young as my starting 3b this year.  Or 2b.  Maybe 1b.

2012 projection: .303 avg – 76 runs, 20 HR, 81 rbi, 5 sb

8. Aramis Ramirez (Mil-3B) He’ll probably replace Fielder in the lineup for the Brewer’s, so I guess the Brew-crew is worse this year.  Regardless, Ramiriez has been a pillar of consistency in the fantasy 3b world.  I think he’s a bit under-valued and wouldn’t hesitate to grab him in the early-mid rounds.

2012 projection: .270 avg – 80 runs, 25 HR, 84 rbi, 5 sb

9. Alex Rodriguez (NYY-3B) He’s getting old, folks.  At the ripe age of 36 (he’s no Jamie Moyer) A-Rod is halfway down the sled-hill called “retirement”.  Now, his projected line below won’t reflect it, but I have a slight inkling that  A-Rod might be one of those “steal-of-the-draft” if he comes even close to returning to form.   Again, that inkling is slight

2012 projection: .290 avg – 75 runs, 15 HR, 66 rbi, 15 sb

10. David Wright (NYM-3B) Listen, I’m rooting for David Wright.  I’ve always loved his well-rounded game.  But when I hear “back injury” I hear “STAY AWAY FROM ME IN FANTASY DRAFTS!”  If Wright stays healthy this year, he could be deserving of his high rankings on other popular fantasy sites.  Unfortunately, I am thinking that Wright owner’s will be lucky to get 120 games out of him.   I guess if he was Adrian Beltre, that might  be alright.

2012 projection: .295 – 47 runs, 11 HR, 55 rbi, 2 sb

Sleeper: Ian Stewart (CHC-3B) Ian Stewart, who has as much potential as his bat does before it swings and misses, has a new shot at life this year.  Stewart had a MISERABLE season for the Rockies last year, and consequently was shown the door.  That said, he is the undisputed starting 3b for a team that will need middle of the lineup hitters.  Even if you don’t draft him, keep an eye on him and be ready to scoop him up.

2012 projection: .249 avg – 79 runs, 28 HR,81 rbi, 8 sb

Bust: David Wright (NYM-3B) see line above

2012 projection: see line above

My Rankings ESPN Yahoo! CBS
Jose Bautista 1 1 1
Evan Longoria 2 2 2
Adrian Beltre 3 3 4
Ryan Zimmerman 6 5 5
Pablo Sandoval 5 6 8
Brett Lawrie 7 7 7
Michael Young 8 11 12
Aramis Ramirez 9 8 10
Alex Rodriguez 10 10 9
David Wright 4 4 3
Sleeper: Ian Stewart 31 26 24
Bust: David Wright 4 4 3

So my 3B rankings were the hardest so far. After the first 4, I felt like it was kinda a crap shoot. But I did my best to put them in order of their potential and real value. Remember this is just the way I see these players should be valued come draft time.

1)    Evan Longoria (TB-3B)-Longoria has been a great fantasy 3B since his rookie year in 2008. His power numbers took a slight dip last year, but his avg and sb numbers went up. So good with the bad. He turns 25 this year and this will be his 3rd year as the full time starter. 2008 counted as a full year for rookie of the year, but he was called up in mid May. I expect Evan to regain some of the power he showed in 2009.

2011 prediction: .290 avg, 99 r, 30 hr, 108 rbi, 15 sb

2)    David Wright (NYM-3B)-David Wright returned to his power hitting ways last season (29 hr), his avg dropped below his career average, but he put up decent numbers across the board. I would imagine his avg to go back to his .300+ days, and hopefully he stays aggressive on the base-paths (46 sb the last 2 years). If you draft Wright hope that Jose Reyes has a good year, because that will only help Wright.

2011 prediction: .303 avg, 92 r, 28 hr, 99 rbi, 18 sb

3)    Ryan Zimmerman (Was-3B)-Zimmerman will be entering his 6th season as the full time 3B for the Nats. So by looking at his numbers you can see the player he is going to be. Lucky for us Zimmerman’s batting avg has risen the last 4 seasons. As a result Zimmerman offers you good avg, r, hr, and rbi. The only category he won’t benefit you is sb. Zimmerman is going around pick 21 so late 2nd round pick on almost equal fantasy value to the 1st 2 guys.

2011 prediction: .304 avg, 90 r, 29 hr, 96 rbi, 3 sb

4)    Alex Rodriguez (NYY-3B)-A-rod’s days as the fantasy elite are over, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be fantasy relevant. A-rod’s avg, r, rbi, and sb have fallen the last 3 years, and he hasn’t played over 140 games the last 3 years. But he has only had 1 season where he didn’t hit 30 bombs, and get to 100+ rbi. So knowing that he will get you 30 hr and 100 rbi his other stats don’t have to be great. I do see his batting avg going up some compared to last season.

2011 prediction: .279 avg, 77 r, 30 hr, 111 rbi, 6 sb

5)    Adrian Beltre (Tex-3B)-Beltre was pretty bad all the seasons he had with Seattle, then he gets to a contract year with the Red Sox and comes back to fantasy relevance. I don’t like Beltre, but he has good hr and rbi numbers even in his bad years, and his career avg is better than Bautista’s. Since Beltre will be playing in one of the best homer hitting parks, he should put up solid power numbers.

2011 prediction: .277 avg, 82 r, 33 hr, 99 rbi, 6 sb

6)    Jose Bautista (Tor-3B, OF) Jose bombed his way into the fantasy scene last year with a league leading 54 hr. I GUARANTEE HE WILL HIT LESS THAN 50 HR THIS YEAR! I know that isn’t much of a guarantee, but it needs to be said. Since his power numbers will go down (law of averages) he needs to step up his eye at the plate (.260 also a career high). I have Bautista at 6 just because I hope he does continue to do well despite a poor career his first 5 seasons. But I don’t know if I truly believe in him.

2011 prediction: .252 avg, 89 r, 41 hr, 102 rbi, 8 sb

7)    Aramis Ramirez (ChC-3B)-I’m a big fan of Ramirez’s fantasy game so last year was painful for me to watch (luckily I only owned him on 1 team). He had a career low year due to injuries, getting into an early slump and pressing to hard to get out of it. He did have about three weeks in July when it looked as though he was going to come around, but it was in vain. I expect a healthy Ramirez to be back for the Cubs this year and for him to return to his old ways. Don’t expect a full return he does turn 33 this season.

2011 prediction: .281 avg, 74 r, 29 hr, 99 rbi, 1 sb

8)    Pedro Alvarez (Pit-3B)-I’m usually not one to overrate unproven players, but with a weak 3B class I decided to roll the dice with a high ranking for Alvarez. He was a power hiter, with a decent eye in his minor league career. So that is probably what he will be as a pro. He did have 16hr, and 64 rbi in 386 plate appearances, but he did strike out over 100 times. So as a full year starter I can see him getting more comfortable at the plate which will mean a slight boost in his batting avg.

2011 prediction: .270 avg, 73 r, 28 hr, 101 rbi, 3 sb

9)    Martin Prado (Atl-2B, 3B)-Prado should be drafted higher than my previous 2 guys because of his dual position eligibility. But he doesn’t offer the power numbers the other 3B offer which is why he is ranked 9th on my 3B rankings (See my 2B rankings for more info on Prado).

2011 prediction: .310 avg, 105 r, 14 hr, 72 rbi, 4 sb

10)  Michael Young (Tex-3B)-Most have Young ranked much higher than me, but with all the stuff going on with him and the Rangers I don’t know if it won’t affect his game this year. Young has been good every year since being plugged in as the starter after the A-rod trade. I see his AB taking a dip thanks to the Beltre and Napoli signings. With less plate appearances comes less production.

2011 prediction: .283 avg, 77 r, 13 hr, 72 rbi, 6 sb

11)  Pablo Sandoval (SF-3B)-The Kung Fu Panda was a huge disappointment last year (both on the field of play and on the scales). Reports have said that the Panda has dropped some lbs and looks in great shape to bounce back after 2010. Pablo was so bad last year (.268, 61, 13, 63, 3) that he has no where to go but up. If he has another bad year this year then he simply was a flash in the pan in 2009. Pablo could be a great high reward low risk gamble at pick 145

2011 prediction: .302 avg, 74 r, 18 hr, 81 rbi, 2 sb

12)  Mark Reynolds (Bal-3B)-Reynolds is your typical swing for the fences player. He can crush the ball, but he is also the league’s best at missing the ball(200+ strike outs the last 3 years). Reynolds is being slightly overlook in drafts this year because of his low avg. If you have wanted to throw avg in your matchup each week for better power numbers, then combine Reynolds, Dunn, and Uggla and you have the perfect mix of high power low avg guys.

2011 prediction: .258 avg, 88 r, 37 hr, 98 rbi, 10 sb

My Rankings ESPN Rankings Yahoo! Rankings CBS Sports
Evan Longoria

1

1

1

David Wright

2

2

2

Ryan Zimmerman

3

4

3

Alex Rodriguez

4

3

4

Jose Bautista

5

5

6

Adrian Beltre

6

6

5

Aramis Ramirez

8

7

9

Pedro Alvarez

12

9

11

Martin Prado

9

11

7

Michael Young

7

8

10

Pablo Sandoval

11

13

13

Mark Reynolds

14

10

8

So the experts can’t really even agree where to put these guys. 3B is a pretty deep position, but there are the 4 top dogs and then the next 10 guys that could be pretty good. So if you don’t get one of the top 4 then it might be better to just wait a couple of rounds and build up your other positions before pulling the trigger on a 3B. If you have any disagreements or questions concerning my rankings leave a comment. Also, if you have any bold predictions for the 2011 season leave a comment. SS are coming tomorrow!