Posts Tagged ‘fantasy football’

This past weekend was a great sports weekend for me, well besides the NBA not ending the lockout. My St. Louis Cardinals won their 11th title and did it by playing in maybe the most exciting World Series and at least the most exciting WS game (game 6). Tony always kept the Cardinals competitive even when they didn’t have the best talent, and I will miss seeing him do some of his bizarre things from game to game. He was a great manager. That alone would make any sport fan happy, but my Eagles tore apart their division rival Cowboys on Sunday night. They look like they may be hitting some sort of stride and play some winnable games the next couple of weeks. The Eagles are still only 3-4 on the year so we will need to finish the year at about 6-3 or 7-2 to get in the playoffs. Enough about my teams and on to the thing you came here to see, fantasy football stuff.

W Ben Roethlisberger Pre: 22 pts Act: 20 pts
W Ryan Matthews Pre: 7 pts Act: 8 pts
W AJ Green Pre: 14 pts Act: 12 pts
T Antonio Gates Pre: 4 pts Act: 7 pts
L Knowshon Moreno Pre: 18 pts Act: 7 pts
W San Francisco Defense Pre: 6 Pts alw, 3 sacks, 1 Fum, 2 INT
Act: 10 pts alw, 4 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT
Overall Record:

18-13-2

I’m starting to get a pretty good record, I need to stay on top of my game because one bad week can put me at .500.

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

QB-Sam Bradford (STL) All-In-This is obviously dependent on if he starts or not. I have good faith that after missing the last two games he will be out there trying to help his team get their 2nd win of the season. If S Jax can do this week what he did last week he will open up the field for Bradford. Bradford and the Rams have faced one of the tougher schedules to open the year and now things begin to get easier. Arizona is 30 in passing yards allowed, so they are a vulnerable pass defense. If Bradford is a go I’m all-in!

Week 9 prediction: 278 passing yards, 2 TD, 12 rushing yards (20 fantasy points)

QB-Ben Roethlisberger (Pit) Fold-Big Ben has been great the last 3 weeks, but it is divsion rivalry time. And when Pitt and Bal play they usually beat up on each other. Week 1’s game was an anomaly in the last 3 1/2 years. Baltimore also has the third best passing defense, and the 2nd defense in points allowed. So don’t expect a high scoring shootout in Pittsburg this week. As a result I would say look for a different QB option if you have one.

Week 9 prediction: 168 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT (8 fantasy points)

RB-Jackie Battle (KC) All-In-I watched some of the MNF game this last week and Battle is a beast of person. 6’2 238 lbs. He is a big dude and also has some pretty good burst through the hole. Which makes him a great back for the offense KC runs. He hasn’t put up spectacular numbers, but he hasn’t been a fantasy letdown, or real life one at that. Miami’s rush defense has been in the middle of the pack, but they have allowed 23.7 points a contest. Battle will be a factor on a goaline play or two which will make him a great fantasy play.

Week 9 prediction: 81 rushing, 2 TD, 11 receiving (21 fantasy points)

RB-Fred Jackson (Buf) Fold-Jackson has been explosive and a fantasy steal this year. NO one thought he was going to be among the top 5 fantasy RB’s to start the year, and it appears he isn’t showing any signs of wear or tear. However this week I think will be the first week he will let fantasy owners down. He is facing what I think will be a stingy Jets defense this week coming off of their bye (I hate the Jets right now just so everyone knows). I see the Jets making Fitzpatrick beat them and eliminating Jackson from the equation. I would say Fold Jackson this week.

Week 9 prediction: 67 rushing, 21 receiving, 1 fum (6 fantasy points)

WR-Preston Parker (TB) All-In-Parker hasn’t been flashy or spectacular at any point this season, but he has been dependable for Josh Freeman. His last time he faced the Saints he scored a TD making him a playable option. I think he will score another one this week and add some decent yardage. He will make a great WR3 or Flex play this week. I’m going all-In with Parker.

Week 9 prediction: 57 receiving, 1 TD, 12 rushing (12 fantasy points)

WR-Mario Manningham (NYG) All-In-The Giants passing attack has been great this year, and Eli is loving that he has 4 or 5 options to look at in the passing game. Mario has 5 plus catches and 56 plus yards in his last three games. So you know you are going to at least get something from him. Last year he had a couple of big games, and even though Cruz is the hot hand right now I like Manningham this week more.

Week 9 prediction: 76 receiving, 2 TD (19 fantasy points)

TE-Fred Davis (Was) All-In-The Redskins have been terrible the last 5 weeks, but Davis has been great. He has a three game stretch of at least 80 yards. He did suffer an ankle sprain at the end of the game against the Bills and faces a stingy 49ers D. I think he will play with the sprain because he is one of the only options the Redskins have in the passing game, if he plays he will play well.

Week 9 prediction: 88 receiving, 1 TD (14 fantasy points)

Flex-Darren Sproles (NO) Fold-Last time out against Tampa Sproles was held to 62 total yards (his lowest output of the season). I think the NO offense will be a little better than they were last week, but since it is a division game I don’t think it will be more than 30 points from the Saints. The Saints backfield is one crazy situation every game, so this is really a crapshoot, but since he played poorly last time against TB I’m predicting a similar game.

Week 9 prediction: 25 rushing, 38 receiving (5 fantasy points)

DEF-Buffalo Fold– The Bills have done a great job of being opportunistic this year. They have allowed 18 TD this year and are giving up 21 points a game (aided by their shutout of the Redskins and week 1 Chiefs). They have scored 4 Defensive TD which have made them a good fantasy D to start. But this week against the Jets I don’t see them getting that lucky bounce to get them a score. They have been in 5 games where both teams have scored 20 or more and I can see that being the fact in this game.

Week 9 prediction: 27 points allowed, 2 sacks, 1 INT

Hope you are enjoying the blog, and I would love to hear/see who you think is due for a big performance or a bad game this week. Let me know by leaving a comment with your prediction. If you want to get notified the moment a new post goes up follow the blog, or “like” H2H Hombre on facebook. Thanks again for checking out the site and hope you come back.

So this week’s post will be a little more abbreviated than the last three. In the process of buying a house so that is taking up a lot more time than I anticipated. Cardinals with their backs against the walls tonight for about the 15 time this season. If we win than a game 7 will happen(with a possible Carpenter start looming), if we lose than it has been a wonderful year, and much more than I expected when we were 10 1/2 out at the start of September. Cowboys vs. Eagles this week has me very interested to see if the Eagles have cleaned up some of their problems during the bye. Reid is 12-0 after a bye, and has a winning percentage of over .600 once November and December hit. So if the Eagles manage  a win this week than 3-4 might be a really good spot going into their final 9 games! Enough of me talking about things that aren’t fantasy relevant.

TEBOW Nation Assemble!!!

W Tim Tebow Pre: 23 pts Act: 22 pts
W Joe Flacco Pre: 12 pts Act: 7 pts
L Earnest Graham Pre: 20 pts Act: 1 pt
W Beanie Wells Pre: 6 pts Act: 4 pts
L Sidney Rice Pre: 13 pts Act: 4 pts
L Brandon Llyod Pre: 14 pts Act: 7 pts
W Dustin Keller Pre: 3 pts Act: 3 pts
L Peyton Hillis Pre: 22 pts Act: 0 DNP
W Cowboys Defense Pre: 13 Pts alw, 7 sacks, 1 Fum, 1 TD
Act: 7 pts alw, 1 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT
Overall Record: 14-12-1

So after a bad first week, I have had two straight winning weeks. This week I am just doing one player per position.

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

QB-Ben Roethlisberger (Pit) All-In Spelled Big Ben’s name right on the first try, NBD. I like Ben this week because of the weak defense he must face. In his first 3 or 4 starts against the Patriots Ben looked lost most games, but the last three times he has faced them he has put up good fantasy numbers (13 pts, 15 pts, and 22 pts last year). Even after a bye week to polish the defense up a little, I think Ben will put up some pretty good numbers. I expect this one to be a first to 30 points type of a game so expect both teams to score at least 4 TDs

Week 8 prediction: 276 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 15 rushing yards (22 points)

RB- Ryan Matthews (SD) Fold Kansas City isn’t the best team in the league, but the last three games they have played good games overall. In the last three games they haven’t allowed a rushing TD or a 100 yard rusher. Matthews had a good game against the Chiefs earlier in the year, but this time around they will be able to contain him much better. They were able to stop the likes of Run DMC, and Adrian AD Peterson, I think they can do it to Matthews too.

Week 8 prediction: 84 rushing yards, 0 TD, 18 receiving, 1 fumble (7 points)

WR-AJ Green (Cin) All-In Green has had a great rookie campaign and it has helped that his rookie QB is performing at a better level than the experts thought he was capable of doing. The Bengals will be without Cedric Benson so the Defense may be looking at Green even more than usual. I think he will find the endzone to make owners happy they put him in their starting lineup. Plus Seattle has shown they are vulnerable to the pass (20th in passing yards allowed)

Week 8 prediction: 84 receiving, 1 TD (14 points)

TE-Antonio Gates (SD) Fold Gates is finally back from a foot injury, but he probably won’t be full strength for a couple of weeks. He did catch a TD pass last week making owners either glad they hung on to him or upset because they didn’t put him in their lineup. I think he will have a rough week against the Chiefs in KC. He has typically fared well against KC (scoring against them 4 times in his last 5 games against them). I just think the foot thing will creep up again this week and cause an early exit.

Week 8 prediction: 41 receiving, 0 TD (4 points)

Flex-Knowshon Moreno (Den) All-In Moreno is going to have that big week that everyone expects of him at the beginning of the season, but since he has had so many disappointments no one is going to think about playing him this week. The Lions have been bad against the run (especially the last several weeks). This is purely a hunch so it will probably come back to bite me in the butt!

Week 8 prediction: 102 rushing, 1 TD, 23 receiving (18 points)

Def-San Francisco All-In San Fran has had one of the better defenses in football all year. In fact they are 11th in total yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed, tied for 2nd in 3rd down percentage (meaning they get the opposing off the field more often than not), and 2nd in yards per carry (don’t worry I know I looked up stats that reinforce my claim that they have a good defense and didn’t show any of their weaknesses). To go along with that they play a pretty bad offensive team in the Browns. With those two things mixed together it usually means good things for the D. San Fran all-in!

Week 8 prediction: 6 points allowed, 3 sacks, 2 INT, 1 fumble

Well that is all I have time for this week. I hope you will follow the blog so you can stay updated as soon as my next post goes up. Or go to my facebook page and “like” H2H Hombre. Thanks for reading and leave any all-in or fold candidates you have for week 8!


Couple things that struck me from the past weekend in sports. First, Go Cardinals! I’m really glad they beat the Phillies and hopefully they will beat the Brew Crew to advance to their 3rd world series in 8 years. Second, my Eagles aren’t good! They have a lot of good players and are putting up some good fantasy numbers, but they are sloppy, undisciplined, and giving up way too many points. They need to figure things out quick or they will be 1-5 and done for the year! Third, I HATE the NBA Lockout. Really NBA owners and players you are going to put this season in jeopardy. Your ratings were climbing the last three years, you have tons of great stars (Dwight Howard, Lebron James, Dwayne Wade, Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, CP3, Kobe Bryant, I can name about 7 or 8 more too) and a lot of good teams, but because you can’t decide on a “fair” split of revenue you are going to keep the fans from seeing those guys play. Really?! Figure it out and get on the court. Players and owners are out of line when games are cancelled! SO ANGRY about this.

Ok now that I have had my chance to rant a little bit let’s move on to week 6 fantasy football stuff. I will be showing the results of how I did the last week for you. Keep myself accountable for dumb things I say like Kevin Kolb will do good (I should know better than that and I apologize). So those results will be in a box on the side, with a Win (means I led you in the right direction by saying fold or all-in and was close in points), Loss (means I led you astray by saying all-in or fold), or Tie (means I wasn’t way off, but I wasn’t right either). Here are my week 6 players to Fold or go All-In on.

(I will be using 4 pts for passing TDs, 1 pt for 25 passing yards, -2 for INT, -2 for fumbles, 1 for 10 yards rushing and receiving, 6 pts for rushing/receiving TD, and DEF won’t have a projected point total because there are way too many different ways people score them.)

L Kevin Kolb Pre: 24 pts Act: 4 pts
W Josh Freeman Pre: 10 pts Act: 3 pts
L Mark Ingram Pre: 22 pts Act: 10 pts
W Jahvid Best Pre: 21 pts Act: 22 pts
W Eric Decker Pre: 5 pts Act: 0 pts
T Marques Colston Pre: 14 pts Act: 7 pts
L Jermaine Gresham Pre: 21 pts Act: 8 pts
L Scott Chandler Pre: 15 pts Act: 0 pts
L Titans D Pre: 13 pts allowed, 4 sack, 1 fum, 1 INT
Act: 38 pts allowed, 1 sack, 1 INT
Overall Record:

3-5-1

QB-Mark Sanchez (NYJ) All-In: If there is a week where Mark Sanchez is going to thrive this better be the week. He is facing the 31st pass defense in the Miami Dolphins (302 ypg, 8.6 ypc, and a 9:2 TD:INT ratio). The dolphins have been a pretty bad team this year. They are coming off a bye so some of their problems might be fixed defensively, but I expect Sanchez to put up some pretty good numbers. Over the last 4 games Sanchez is averaging 234 ypg, 2 TD, and 1 INT so if he can just put up those numbers he will have had a successful day. I see him doing just a bit better which is why I’m all-in with Sanchez.

Week 6 predictions: 278 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT, 19 rushing yards (20 fantasy points)

QB-Andy Dalton (Cin) All-In: Dalton has had some pretty good games so far as a rookie QB. He seems to be gaining some good trust with AJ Green, and Gresham in the passing game. And since he and Green are rookies the more snaps they get the better they will be together. Dalton doesn’t have the best arm in the world, but he did win a lot of games in college and has helped lead the Bengals to a 3-2 record so far. They will rely on Benson, Bernard, and Leonard to carry the ball probably 35-40 times since they are facing a weak Colts D. As a result I think Dalton will be able to have a couple of chances down field off of Play Action. I don’t see huge numbers from him but good numbers for a bye week replacement.

Week 6 predictions: 234 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 fumble, 11 rushing yards (17 fantasy points)

RB-Ryan Torain (Was) All-In: Yes I’m saying go all-in on a Shanahan RB. Hightower was pretty useful the first three weeks and Torain exploded week 4. They will probably share carries the next couple of weeks, but Torain’s running style will probably do really well against a soft Eagles’ run D (3rd worst in the NFL, 5 ypc, 140 ypg). Even if Torain only gets about 15 carries if he just gets 5 ypc, he will end up with 75 yards put a TD on that and you have yourself a good fantasy day.

Week 6 predictions: 96 rushing yards, 2 TD, 2 catches, 21 receiving yards (23 fantasy points)

RB-BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE) Fold: The Law Firm had a really great day against the Jets, but if we have seen anything from the Patriots the last several years, it is that no RB seems to have 2 good games in a row. Ellis runs hard and is having a decent season so far (67 ypg and 1 TD a game), but he is facing a really good Dallas run D (#1 on the year only allowing 62 ypg). The D coordinator Bob Ryan was the same man who baffled the Patriots last year when the Browns pulled off an upset and in that game Ellis only had 14 yards on 9 carries, and he has had a full extra week to prepare for the Pats. So it seems as though all things are going against the law firm this week so just fold him.

Week 6 predictions: 34 rushing yards, 0 TD, 16 receiving yards (4 fantasy points)

WR-DeSean Jackson (Phi) Fold: Jackson can be a headache to fantasy owners because he has the speed and ability to put up huge numbers like 210 yards and a TD(against Dallas last year), but then he will give you a game like he did against the Falcons earlier this year (21 yards, 0 TD). So he is a real hit or miss kind of guy. He has had two pretty nice games the last two weeks (17 pts, and 14 pts) so I think that means we are going to get one of his games where he does nothing. Plus he will be facing a pretty good Redskins D. They are allowing just 212 ypg in the air and have averaged about 4 sacks a game. If they are hitting Vick play after play then he won’t have a chance to use Jackson’s speed. I hope this pick comes back to bite me in the butt because I would really like my Eagles to win, but I’m trying to be real in evaluating.

Week 6 predictions: 4 catches, 64 yards, 0 TD, 1 fumble (4 fantasy points)

WR-Brandon Marshall (Mia) Fold: Two things are going against Marshall this week. The first is his starting QB Henne won’t be playing, and second he is facing the 5th best passing defense in the league only surrendering 203 ypg. Those two things could spell disaster for Brandon Marshall. Marshall has only 1 TD on the year and is only averaging 78 ypg (it is only 58 ypg the last three games). He is a great WR, but he hasn’t always been able to put up big numbers with Miami. I expect Revis to be able to take him out of the game for most of the night and the Matt Moore era to start off pretty ugly for the Dolphins.

Week 6 predictions: 5 catches, 54 yards, 0 TD (5 fantasy points)

TE-Greg Olsen (Car) Fold: ATL’s D hasn’t allowed big plays to TE or allowed many yards. In their first 5 games Jermichael Finley had the best game against the Falcons with 67 yards. So Olsen might see 6 or 7 targets, since Cam has looked his way throughout the year, but those catches won’t result in a whole lot of yards or any TDs. He has also seen a decline in receptions each of the last two weeks(7 to 5 to 3), he has scored a TD in each of those three games I see that streak coming to an end this Sunday. So I would stay away from Olsen this week.

Week 6 prediction: 3 catches, 38 yards, 0 TD (3 fantasy points)

Flex-Miles Austin (Dal) All-In: First off let me tell you that I think Miles is very overrated in very many ways, but he is facing the worst pass defense in the NFL this week (NE). As a result and a couple of weeks of rest for him to get healthy I think he will be very productive against the Patriots soft D. Dating back to last year Austin has 17.75 fantasy points in his last four games. So I think we could see a similar number this week.

Week 6 prediction: 7 catches, 122 yards, 1 TD (18 fantasy points)

Defense-Bengals (Cin) All-In: I’m very high on most of the Bengals players this week since they are facing the winless Colts. Even though the Colts offense has looked better the last two weeks they will be facing a pretty good defense in the Bengals. I’ll just let the numbers do the talking for me. They are only allowing 18 pts a game (tied for 6th best), 88.6 rushing ypg (7th best), 191 passing ypg (3rd best), 13 sacks (8th best), 6 TO and 1 Defensive TD. So they have been a top 10 defense this year easy. Put that against a bottom 10 offense on the year and good things should happen.

Week 6 prediction: 10 pts allowed, 5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 blocked kick

Let me know who you think will be notable All-In or Fold candidates in the comment section below. Don’t forget to “like” the Hombre on facebook, or follow the blog and you will receive daily/weekly reminders about the posts that have gone up. Last but not least thanks for reading and hope you enjoy! Good luck to you all this week unless of course I am facing you in one of my leagues!