Posts Tagged ‘Fantasy League of Legends’

For those that have read my work the last two splits know exactly what to expect from these weekly posts, but for those of you who are new, let me explain what an All-in or Fold post will look like. I’m going to be taking one player from every position that I think is going to outscore their projection and one player from every position that I think will score below their projection. I’m using the projections that are used directly from fantasy LCS. The spring split last year I was 54% right on my picks (not good but better than coin toss) and last split I was just under 58%. If I continue on that pattern then this is the split I hit 62%. Let’s  jump into this week’s all-in and fold candidates.

 

All-in (players that will outscore their projections)

Top- OG Soaz (30pts) Origen is going to be the best team this split, because of talent and continuity. Even though they have some tougher matchups week 1 (H2K and FNC) I think they will perform well and Soaz should easily surpass his 30 point projection.

Jungle- TSM Svenskeren (33pts) I think TSM is going to struggle some this split to figure out how all of their pieces are going to work together and who is going to get the resources, but they have too much talent to ignore. Their matchups against TL and CLG should be wins for them, but I think the games will be longer games meaning more points for everyone

Mid- Vit Nukeduck (33pts) Nukeduck has burned me a few times the last two splits, but I think Vit is going to be a pretty solid team this split. If Nukeduck can play as well as he did the final weeks of summer split, then 33 points will be a breeze.

ADC- CLG Stixxay (33pts) I don’t think CLG will fall as much as some others are expecting. They have two new starters, but both have been with the team for over 6 months. I think Aphro will be able to set up Stixxay for plenty of opportunities.

Support- H2K Vander (24pts) Vander has the benefit of getting to play alongside of Forg1vengre, or he gets stuck playing next to him. Either way Forg1vengre is a great player, and Vander will help compliment his aggressive style. 24 should be a breeze for Vander.

Team- H2K (25 pts) H2K plays Giants and Origen. I expect them to beat Giants pretty easily then play Origen close until the end. I think they will be able to surpass their 25 point projection.

 

Fold (players that will underscore their projections)

Top- Roc Freddy122 (29pts) I think Freddy will end up with a good split overall, but I don’t think week 1 is the week he goes off. If he does beat his projection it will be Roccat funneling ganks, and resources to him. Either way I say fold him this week.

Jungle- FNC Spirit (32pts) FNC is giong to end up being a top 4 team in the EU LCS, but I think they will struggle some the first few weeks. With matchups against Origen and Vit I could see Spirit having a difficult start to his EU career.

Mid- Fox Froggen (40pts) I think Froggen will put up consistently strong fantasy numbers in the NA LCS, but 40 points might be a little to high for me. If echo fox can’t close out the game early on TiP this will be a hard one for me to win, but I see it being a stomp by Fox.

ADC- Gia Adryh (33pts) The new Giants face UoL and H2K in week 1 and unfortunately I think that will mean a lower total for the Giants players. The only player I would start week 1 would be Pepii but that is because you never know when he goes off for 40.

Support- IMT Adrian (39pts) Adrian is one of the best fantasy supports and will continue to be, but 39 is to high of a point total for me this week. I believe that top and mid will be a bigger focus for IMT so Turtle and Adrian won’t score quite as much as their projections.

Team- FNC (29pts) Typically teams go 2-0 when the get to the 28+ point range, and I don’t think FNC goes 2-0 this week. Therefore they are my fold candidate.

 

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. Good luck to everyone week 1!

 

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Group A plays this Thursday, which means every team plays three games. In your daily league you will get the choice of 4 players at each position. This group was the most competitive group of all the groups the first weekend. Every team got at least one win and no team went undefeated. The choices are smaller each day, but knowing the strengths of the teams helps us decide on whom we should pick. Here is a quick breakdown of each team, and who should be the best bang for their buck (I will be using Alphadraft’s salary for my examples of this post)

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Pain Gaming – Even though they did beat Flash Wolves in a game, they will have the lowest fantasy point total of the 4 teams. The one thing that Pain has done well in their games is group and get picks. They have the highest kill participation of their members of every team (all 5 players are in the top 20 of Kill Participation). However they didn’t have a single person in the top 20 of kills or assists. For that reason I don’t think any of the pain members are worth buying for this group. If you have to buy someone for cheap Kami is your best bet.

 

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Flash Wolves – The Flash Wolves were never out of a game the first weekend. They were upset by Pain, but they were winning most of the game. They didn’t have any huge performances from their players, at least no one player had a 40-50 point game. They did have a few that showed they could be worth getting when the price is right. The ones to look out for are Steak, Karsa, and Swordart. Steak has particularly good value for these match-ups, and played even with Smeb and Zion the opening games.

 

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Counter Logic Gaming – CLG is tied for first, but showed that they are beatable. They had some fantasy studs the first weekend though. If you take away the Koo game Doublelift and Pobelter had 1 death between them. Doublelift had 14 kills in the three games (13 in the two games against FW and PNG) and Pobelter had 27 assists in the three games (he had 2 in the game against Koo). These are the two that I think are worth owning in any lineup you make. If you don’t end up with both of them than Doublelift should be given the edge because he will usually lead the team in kills. Both Zion and Aphro are great pickups too, but I think you can get more value from the other team’s top and support.

 

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Koo Tigers – Even though Koo lost their first match-up against FW it appears that they are the best team out of the four. I would be comfortable with owning any of the Koo players for the three games this Thursday, but if you want to hedge your bet with some other team’s players than these are the three that should perform best. Gorilla had 2 great games and 1 mediocre game, but since he is $400 cheaper than Aphro and the same price as Swordart I think you get the most value with him as your support. Pray is also a great buy. Pray is $600 cheaper than Doublelift and the same price as NL/Kkramer, even though he finished with only 1 less kill, and 3 more assists than Double. The bot lane for Koo could be a steal. The last buy should be Hojin. He is the best jungler of all the group A teams and is only a little more expensive despite putting up much bigger numbers throughout the games.

 

Here is a lineup that I’m running

Top – FW Steak $6900

Jung – Koo Hojin $7600

Mid – CLG Pobelter $7900

ADC – Koo Pray $8000

Support –  Koo Gorilla $7100

Flex – CLG Doublelift $8600

Team – Koo Tigers $3800

 

Who do you think will break out on day 1? let us know in the comments below or tweet us @FANTASYRIFTcom. Good luck to you all this week, and enjoy the games.

Day 1 is finally here of the 2015 League of Legends World Championships. We see if our predictions are right or wrong. We enjoy the games and moments the next month will bring us. Last, we make some money along the way using Alphadraft, Draftkings, or Vulcuun. These match-ups should provide favorable scoring; iG vs FNC, CLG vs FW, C9 vs AHQ (I am a C9 fan so my faith might be misleading for the first game). These match-ups will end up being one sided so won’t offer as many scoring opportunities if you pick players on the rosters; Pain vs Koo, SKT vs H2K, EDG vs BKT. Here is a good day 1 team based on value and match-ups. I’m using alphadraft for this post.

 

Top – Zz1tai iG $7200

Jungle – KaKao iG $7300

Mid – Incarnation C9 $7200

ADC -Sneaky C9 $7500

Support – Yellowstar FNC $7700

Flex – Rekkles FNC $9000

Team – FNC $3600

I went all-in on the iG vs FNC match-up. I think FNC is going to edge out a victory, but if they don’t this game will probably be a longer day 1 game (remember the longer the games the more opportunities the players will score more fantasy points).

 

Who do you think will shine on day 1? Let us know in the comments below or tweet us @fantasyriftcom