Posts Tagged ‘Fox’

I took a few too many gambles in week 5 and it ended up resulting in a close week. My EU picks were the ones that really hurt, went 0-4 on them. I still ended up with a record just above .500. So just over the halfway mark, my current record stands at 26W-20L-1T (Liquid was a tie this week), which means I’m currently at a 55% winning percentage. That should be a manageable percentage to pull up to 60% in the final 4 weeks of the split. Here are the standings from last week which will be followed by the picks for this week.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Gamsu 31 45.75 W
Kikis 34 24.78 L
Innox 33 34.47 W
Apollo 41 66.64 W
BunnyFuFu 26 41.7 W
Gravity 20 30 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Huni 35 42.95 L
Meteos 27 32.63 L
Nukeduck 39 46.77 L
Sneaky 39 23.96 W
Vander 36 41.72 L
Liquid 27 27 T
This Week W-L 6W-5L-1T Total W-L 26W-20L-1T

 

All-In (players that will score more than their projections)

Top – Odoamne (proj: 35pts) H2K had its first rough week last week, but it is more than likely just a blip on the radar. They get to rebound this week against Elements and UoL. Even if H2K plays poorly they will probably pull off a 2-0 week. Odoamne has been a consistent scorer so far this split. He has finished top 5 among all top laners in 3 weeks, and scored 34+ points every week but last week.

Jung – Amazing (proj: 34pts) Origen is primed for another big week; they face off against Elements and UoL. Amazing has been consistently good this split. He is the 2nd highest scoring jungler so far, averaging just shy of 23 points a game. All Origen players are a must start this week.

Mid – Fox (proj: 32pts) Something about SK’s last 2 weeks of play and their match ups against Roccat and Giants this week, make it seem like they could be primed to have a big week. Fox has performed well the last 2 weeks breaking 50+ in both weeks. With the opponents he faces this week it should result in another big week for Fox.

ADC – Forg1ven (proj: 30pts) Gambit is an interesting team. They have the players to be a top 4 team in EU, but they seem to play with little to no in-game strategy. They rely on their players ability to try and get them leads in games, and so far this split it hasn’t resulted in many wins. However, it isn’t wise to sleep on players that are good enough to break out especially given weaker opponents (CW and Roccat). Forg1ven has only broken the 30 point mark once this season, and this is going to be the 2nd time.

Supp – Smoothie (proj: 21pts) TDK finally got their Korean players back to NA, and they outplayed Dignitas. As a result, it would seem like they could be a team that makes a late run to get out of that bottom spot. Cloud9, Team8, and NME should be put on notice. TDK faces off against NME and TSM. They might go 1-1 or 0-2, but whatever their result Smoothie should get close to the 26-28 point range.

Team – SK (proj: 18pts) As said earlier, the recent play of SK should be encouraging for anyone willing to gamble on SK players. SK is averaging just under 11 points a game, and neither Giants or Roccat have shut down opposing teams of scoring fantasy points. SK will put up right around 24pts unless they go 2-0, which will put them right around the 30 mark.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top – Steve (proj: 33pts) Roccat looked pretty good last week going 2-0 and they face two teams they could beat this week (SK and Gambit). Last time Roccat had a week they were supposed to destroy the competition, they laid a bunch of abysmal fantasy performances. Roccat won’t fall on their face like they did week 4, but they also won’t destroy both SK and Gambit. Look for Steve to get right around the 30 point mark when the week is over.

Jung – Shook (proj: 26pts) CW have been a train wreck after their first week. They are losing new players every day it seems, and the team didn’t have good enough players to overcome this much change and discord. Shook is a good jungler, but there is no way he gets close to 20 points this week.

Mid – PowerofEvil (proj: 30pts) UoL used to be a team you could count on to make games go 45+ min and result in a fantasy scoring bloodbath, but they haven’t had that same magic this split. PowerofEvil is one of the better midlaners from a mechanical perspective, but that doesn’t always result in fantasy points (see Pobelter the 3 splits prior to this one). On top of UoL’s recent poor performances, they get to face off against Origen and H2K, and neither of those teams allow more than 15 pts a game to the enemy midlaner.

ADC – Piglet (proj: 42pts) Piglet has performed much better this split than last split, but his last two weeks he has put up 30 and 37 points. It seems like Liquid will continue their mild slump and as a result Piglet won’t be able to quite reach the 40 points mark.

Supp – Xpecial (proj: 42pts) Facing Cloud9 and Dig is neither a great week for match ups or an awful week. However, Liquid has been playing a little more up and down than they were to start the year. Xpecial and Piglet are both great players, but this week they will fall just short of their projections.

Team – Gambit (proj: 31pts) Gambit has the talent to make a late season run, but they have looked so drastically different from game to game it is to hard to see them as anything close to a safe bet. Use caution starting any of their players. Teams that go 2-0 get 30+ points, and Gambit plays too inconsistent to pull off a 2-0 week even with an easier schedule.

 

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Week 4 is in the books! The match-up that we were all waiting for (FNC vs Origen) wasn’t quite as exciting as most were hoping, but for the most part the week was still entertaining. Here is a quick fantasy recap of Week 4 of the EU LCS.

 

Legendary (players and teams that had impressive fantasy totals or just impressive games)


SK, specifically Svens and Fox
– SK got their much needed 1st win in a game that they honestly should have lost, but they showed resolve and won a key team-fight on their inhibitor to turn the tides of the game. In their 2nd game they played a little more confidently and they controlled Roccat the entire game which led to a fairly easy win for them. Svens did a great job in both games putting pressure on the enemy junglers and in game 2 made Jankos irrelevant. Overall, Svens put up 47.44 points. Fox was the big winner of SK’s games with 51.38 points. GG WP SK.

 

H2k-Gaming.pngH2K – They had an absolutely dominant week. They seem to be on a different level right now than any other EU team. Their last 4 games they have had impressive leads at 10 mins (over 1k gold in each of the last 4). They always make the other team play to their style, which is be everywhere all the time. Krepo said it best in the game against Giants “They never leave their weakest player alone.” They overload the map to make sure the player that is weakest can get even or stronger than their opponent. This makes their leads grow and then they slowly choke you out of any resources on the map. Their fantasy numbers weren’t as high this week as last, but they are a joy to watch.

 

EL-Rekkles-2015Rekkles – The top scorer in EU in the summer split of season 4 seems to have regained his swagger. Fnatic is now 8-0 and Rekkles has been a fantasy monster so far (over 200 points in 4 weeks). His combined score was 13/0/18. He didn’t die a single time against Origen, who many thought was going to compete with FNC, and CW, who typically can make games sloppy and drawn out. Rekkles and Yellowstar have a great synergy and Rekkles is playing more aggressively than I’ve ever seen him play. I think the comfort of knowing that everyone is going to follow whatever is happening has allowed him to shine so far. Rekkles finished with over 58 points.

 

Shut Down (players and teams that had abysmal fantasy points or were disappointing)

 

ROCCAT.pngRoccat (all players) – Roccat was picked by many including myself as the sleepers of week 4. Their match-ups (SK and Elements) made them seem really attractive, and they did absolutely nothing. They didn’t have a single player break 12 points on the week. They played with very little purpose and they were constantly taking fights when they had disadvantages (flash or ults on cooldown, 4v5, 2v4) Overall it was an extremely disappointing week for Roccat. If you added any of their players (I added at least one in all of my leagues) then they probably cost you your win.

 

Diamond.jpg

Diamondprox – Diamond had a big impact in Gambit’s first game, but didn’t get any fantasy points. He always seemed to not quite have enough damage to finish off an enemy or was creating pressure on another part of the map when a small skirmish would break out. Then in the 2nd game he just got shutdown. He wasn’t able to help any of his lanes, and even with a great 4 man knock up in a late team-fight Gambit didn’t have enough damage to capitalize on it. Overall Diamond’s performance was pitiful he only managed 5.42 points.

 

Games of the week

Ele vs. Origen – This game ended up being the most exciting game of the week. Origen has shown they have some weaknesses and Elements is starting to look like they might be able to make a run to the top 4 with their recent play.

SK vs. UoL – This was a close 2nd on the entertaining scale. It featured some really good team-fights and a nice comeback on SK’s part.

FNC vs. Origen – The game everyone was waiting for ended up being a little anti-climactic, but the first 15 minutes were exciting and featured some crazy plays/skirmishes. FNC ended up taking control fairly early and never looking back.

H2K vs. Giants – This game is on the list because of how awesome H2K played the map. It is League of Legends the way it was meant to be played. H2K creates pressure everywhere and knows how to push a lead so fast.

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We are now over half way through the Spring Split of the LCS. The first half had some great games, big upsets, and some teams we thought would be at the top that have struggled some (Roccat, Elements, C9, Liquid). There have also been a few teams that had big question marks around their teams that have exceeded expectations so far (Winterfox, CW, FNC, Gravity). The next 4 weeks should have lots of great games, and the playoff push will be fun to watch for teams trying to miss relegation tournaments for the summer split. I think with this added pressure some of the teams will play “tighter” than usual, so we could see some lower scoring games the next few weeks. We also could see some of the teams at the bottom play with no pressure and score huge points. So pay attention to some of those lower team guys and keep them on your watch list. Enough of all my talking (or typing whatever you want to call it), here are my week 5 results followed by my week 6 picks.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
ZionSpartan 31 34.91 W
Fenix 28 27.73 L
Nrated 25 25.62 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Dyrus 33 16.41 W
XiaoWeiXiao 38 28.62 W
Liquid 27 40 L
This Week W-L 4W-2L Total W-L 28W-24L

 

All-In (players that I think will exceed their projections)

Top – CaliTrlolz8 (Projected: 22pts) Cali has struggled and put up great points in the first 5 weeks. Team 8 plays Dig and Impulse so I expect both games to be competitive and could potentially be blood baths. I expect Cali to easily suppress his projection this week. So all-in for me.

Jungle- Saintvicious (Projected: 28pts) Saint hasn’t had a “big” week yet, and I don’t think he will have one this week. However I do think he will be able to create some opportunities for his team this week playing against Liquid and Coast. My guess is around the 34-36 point range for Saint.

Mid – Fox (Projected: 33pts) SK had its first bad week last week, and I don’t think that it will be a trend. I fully expect them to bounce back this week and all of their players will score good points this week. Fox has done well all year, and playing against (UoL and Elements) tough competition I don’t think that will stop him from being able to score some points.

ADC – CoreJJ (Projected: 36pts) Dig has been playing much better since Crumbzz stepped down. They are playing more aggressive and you can tell they are enjoying playing together. They still have communication issues and they aren’t really all that good from top to bottom. However, I think they have quite a few options that can score points this week, and as a result I’m all-in on CoreJJ.

Support – Edward (Projected: 26pts) Gambit plays Roccat and CW this week, and they way Gambit has been playing the last 2 weeks, I don’t see them slowing down much. Edward has been back to his old ways of creating options and making plays for his team, and because of that I foresee another 30+ week from him.

Team – H2K (Projected: 31pts) H2K is on a roll, and even when they don’t win they score points. It seems like they know who they are and are trusting each other in the game. With match-ups against Roccat and Giants this week. I can easily see a 2-0 week for them and with 2 wins means likely that they break the 30 point mark.

 

Fold (players that I think will score less than their projections)

Top – Quas (Projected: 31pts) Quas has been a consistent scorer if you remove the week 2 result, scoring about 32 points a week. I think this week will be one of those weeks that he goes below the 30 mark threshold. He faces Hauntzer(gravity) and Zion(CLG) this week so with two tough opponents I think one of those games will force Quas to make a mistake or get starved of resources and limit his ability to help carry Liquid. I’m going to fold Quas this week.

Jungle- IWillDominate (Projected: 32pts) I love the way Dominate plays, but I think this week he will struggle a little. He is aggressive and sometimes reckless and when facing teams that are willing to counter that aggression with map pressure or with traps he will struggle. So because of the match-ups this week I wouldn’t feel comfortable with him being my option at Jungle.

Mid – NukeDuck (Projected: 29pts) I think NukeDuck has been over-hyped and over talked about when Roccat plays. He always seems to be behind, and always tries to pick assassin champs that limit his ability in team fights. All in all I don’t think NukeDuck is worth owning unless Roccat really figures it out, but I don’t foresee that happening this week against Gambit and H2K. I don’t own him in any of my leagues and if I did I would drop him for someone else.

ADC – Altec (Projected: 33pts) Last time I put Altec here he put up 60+ points, but I think with games against C9 and CLG that won’t happen. Winterfox has played better than most expected so far, but CLG and C9 have also played well and are arguably the best team in NA. I think this is the week Winterfox struggles.

Support – Hylissang (Projected: 27pts) Unicorns play Sk and MYM so one game will probably be close (SK) and the other will probably be an easy win for UoL (MYM). Hylissang is a great team fighting support, but outside of his one 40+ week he averages right around 27 points. I think this week he won’t quite get there. I would fold Hylissang if he is your support.

Team – Gravity (Projected: 26pts) Gravity has only put up two weeks of 26 points are more this season. Because of that stat I can’t see them breaking that threshold this week. They are 5-5 which means they will probably go 1-1 again since they are playing Liquid and Coast (the Liquid game is the one I think they will lose). This is a gamble because it could very easily be a 2-0 week for them, but I’m trusting my guy here and folding on Gravity.

 

Let me know who your all-in and fold candidates will be for week 6 in the comments below? As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. Have a wonderful day and good luck fellow fantasy LCS players!