Posts Tagged ‘Freeze’

First off here are my final results from my week 9 all-in and fold picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Quas 33 31.71 L
Airwaks 30 49.02 W
Fenix 37 41.8 W
Woolite 34 32.3 L
Unlimited 31 46.81 W
CW 32 25 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Avalon 32 49.99 L
Kikis 31 10.36 W
Slooshi8 35 13.79 W
Doulbelift 40 45 L
Lustboy 41 18.96 W
CLG 28 20 W
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 41W-35L

Overall, I would give myself a B grade on my all-in and fold picks. I had a really good week 1, and then was right around .500% on my picks from there. Overall finished with a 41-35 record which is 54% correct. I plan on improving on that next split and I’m going to try and get a 60% win-rate next time. This was my first year participating in Fantasy LCS and I wanted to share my observations that I learned from this split. So without further a due, here…we…go!

One Team Gambles

I noticed throughout the split that it is OK to gamble on 1 team’s players if they have very favorable match-ups. Most sports don’t always give you 4-5 high scoring fantasy options. However, League of Legends relies so much on team fighting and when a team is doing well all the players benefit. So don’t be afraid to have 4-5 players/team from one team if you see they have two weak opponents for the week. Also, if a team shows they are at a higher level than their opponents (this split it was FNC, SK, and TSM) it is safe to have multiple players from their roster because they consistently scored at a high rate. This is something that I will be more comfortable doing during the Summer Split of Fantasy LCS and you should too.

Consistency Matters

This one should be a no-brainer for most, but it is worth noting. Some players score lots of points one week, but then don’t score as many the next (feast or famine as some would call them, Odoamne is an example). Some players always score below the average (Mancloud). And others always seem to put up above average points every single week. (Forg1venre, Yellowstar, Huni to name a few). The guys that win you the league are going to be the guys who can score slightly above their counterparts average every single week. For example, Wildturtle who I think was going in the 2nd-3rd round in most drafts to start the year never fell out of the top 10 in any week. As far as I can see he was the only ADC who can say that, even godgiven himself was out of the top 10 two weeks (Keith also pulled this off, but only played 3 weeks so doesn’t count). WildTurtle only finished top 3 in 3 weeks (still really good considering how good some ADCs played this split), but as I said before never fell out of the top 10. This is what you want out of your fantasy players someone who will consistently be in or around the top scorers at their position. This causes less dilemma when deciding on who you need to play week to week.

Ride the “Hot Hands”

This mantra can be true in almost all fantasy sports the person who is playing well should continue to be started until they come back down to earth. For example, in weeks 3-5 both Soren and Freeze for CW were in the top 5 scorers at their position for that stretch. If you picked them up after their first big week (week 3) and rode them the next 3 weeks, you probably won week 4 and 5 because of the points they put up. Or perhaps you jumped on the Impact bandwagon during week 6 and rode him to victories the next two weeks (50 points each week). This is something I didn’t do much this year, because I was afraid to drop a “bigger” name for someone who had a good week, but next split I think it is worth it to gamble on a guy who has a big week, and good match-ups the next week because you might get to ride their hot streak for a week or 2. Or you get super lucky and you grab Huni, or Steelback after week 1 and have a force practically every week from there on out.

Overall Fantasy LCS is a lot like other fantasy sports the people that pay attention and are willing to make moves are probably going to do well, but you also have those that just get a few “lucky” or “calculated” picks that work out perfectly for them. I was a feast or famine player my first year finishing 1st in 2 leagues and 7th in my other 2 (21-15 was my overall record in the 4 leagues). I am looking forward to the next split and know that I will do better because of the things I learned from this split. What is something you learned from this split that you would like to share with the community?

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. I will post a few times during the playoffs with some Legendary and Shut Down posts. Have a wonderful day and see you next split!

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Week 5 has come and gone, and what a great week of games. The powerhouse teams looked vulnerable, and the middle teams looked good. The final weeks of the season are going to be fun to watch to see what the final standings are going to be. It was hard to pick the games of the week this week, because at least 6 or 7 were worth watching from the competitive/upset nature of those games. So I ended up picking the ones that I enjoyed most. Also, I went 3-1 in my leagues this week first week not to go 2-2 (GO ME)!

Legendary

(Players that played well or scored much better than their fantasy projections)

Freeze, Airwaks, and Soren – These guys are carrying hard right now. They have now put together three straight really good weeks. If you happen to own them in Fantasy you have also been very happy with their performances. Great work by these three. I would assume going forward these are guys to own if they are available in your league.

WildTurtle – Just watch the TSM game in the games of the week below, and you will see why he was Legendary this week. Had 65 points and lost me one of my matches by 5 points because of his back to back Pentakill to Quadra kill. He had great positioning and aggressiveness when needed.

Hai – Hai hasn’t had the best few weeks of the LCS, but this week he seemed to be his old self. Playing aggressively, trying to cause havoc in other lanes and the jungle, and initiating team fights. He was allowed to play one of his best and most comfortable champs in both games (Zed) so not surprised C9 went 2-0 this week.

 

Shut Down

(Players that played poorly or scored lower than their fantasy projections)

Nyph – I’m officially saying Nyph isn’t worth owning unless there are absolutely no other supports. This is three weeks now where he has gone less than 25 (2 of them he scored less than 11). Until Elements shows they can get their stuff together I’m willing to sell him. Plus, with how Rekkles plays, I don’t think it allows much play-making for Nyph which hurts his fantasy value.

SK and UoL Teams – The individual players played good from a fantasy perspective, but they were either behind in their games, or got meaningless kills which lead to no towers, objectives, or objective control. They both scored WAY lower than they should of, and I’d imagine they lost some people their matchups.

Coast (all players) – Every Coast player scored in the bottom 6 this week, it would have been bottom 5 if not for Nyph. No one scored more than 16 points on their team this week. They got DESTROYED (surrendered at 23 min) in their first game, and then followed it up by getting Crushed in the 2nd game (32 min game). None of their players are worth owning at this point.

Games of the Week

TSM vs Liquid (This was the game that wouldn’t end. The game should have been over 3 different times. By far the most fun game of the week)

Elements vs Giants (I didn’t know what to think at the end of this one. When the game is over look at Froggen’s face)

C9 vs TiP (Classic C9 game, objective control, getting early leads, and pushing their advantages. The other C9 game is also good, but the first win was how C9 used to dominate the mediocre or bad teams in the LCS)

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog via WordPress, Facebook, or Twitter. How did your team(s) do in week 5? Let me know in the comments below.

Week 4 is over, and it was another fun week in the LCS. I have a knack for going 2-2 in my 4 leagues and it didn’t change this week (lost by 1.6 in one of them…) EU wasn’t as high scoring as I was hoping they would be, and NA was about the same low scoring as it had been, with the exception of a few teams/players. This was the week of the upset, and the TSM CLG hype train, which didn’t disappoint.

Legendary

(Players that played well or scored much better than their fantasy projections)

Winterfox (especially bot lane)- well this is back to back weeks I called out a bot lane, and then they end up dominating in every way. Gleeb and Altec were 2 of the top 6 highest scorers, and Pobelter and Helios put up monster weeks too. If you had the patience to hold on to Pobelter and Altec and played them this week, then congrats on 130 points.

Impact and Rush – The Korean duo for Impulse fought valiantly in game 1 which Impulse lost by a lot to Winterfox, but in game 2 they continued to play well. They ended up both scoring over 48 points, and they were seperated by .01 pts. These two will be a dangerous duo in the NA scene I expect them to have some good weeks going forward. If you can snag either of these guys I think they are worth a roster spot.

Freeze – Freeze is starting to look like a must start now out of the ADC spot. He has had 2 great weeks, and 1 good week so far this split. CW may not end up being a strong team overall when its all said and done, but it looks like Freeze, Soren, and Airwaks might be decent scoring options for them.

Shut Down

(Players that played poorly or scored lower than their fantasy projections)

C9- C9 played great in the first game, but it was so fast, that they were terrible for fantasy. Then game 2 they played poorly, and scored bad again fantasy wise. At this point I would say all C9 players are worth dropping except Sneaky. Their players will be more for week replacements if they have good match-ups for the week.

Elements (especially Nyph)- This week was awful for Elements in every possible way. If you had them in fantasy you probably lost, if you are a fan of them in the LCS you are disappointed, and if by you happened to place any bets on them this week…well you are out of monies too. They played terrible both games, and they should have won both games with relative ease. I think they will be fine, but this week hurt.

Nukeduck and Jankos- These two guys had put up some big numbers early, and have been pretty consistent in their scoring output. But this week ROCCAT did absolutely nothing. NukeDuck buys Mejai’s soulstealer every single game, and honestly it has only worked like twice for him. I think he needs to rethink that buy on every single AP champ. They both got less than 15 points and were disappointing in their play.

Games of the Week

CW vs. FNC (really fun game to watch, some great skirmishes, big team fights and a surprising outcome)

ELE vs. H2K (This game just blew my mind, didn’t expect the outcome at all)

TSM vs. CLG (This game had it all! Great rotations, smart decisions, great team fights, and even a classic throw. Game lasts about 45 minutes so make sure you have time when you sit down to watch it! It lived up to the hype)

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog via WordPress, Facebook, or Twitter. How did your team(s) do in week 4? Let me know in the comments below.