Posts Tagged ‘Froggen’

We are 2/3 of the way through the split, and it has been an entertaining split. I have had mixed results in my fantasy leagues. Top 3 in 2 and bottom 4 in the other 2 (1 is a 6 man league so 4th in both). G2 and UoL have been a huge surprise throughout the entire split and NRG and FNC have been rather disappointing. Week 7 and 8 will have huge impacts on seeding for playoffs and who gets to go into the relegation tournament. Here are week 6’s results followed by week 7 picks.

Allin

All-in (players that will over perform their projections)

Top- KFO (17pts) Echo Fox has two really strong opponents this week (IMT and TSM), but they have shown they can play with their full roster. IMT has shown vulnerabilities in their last 3 games, and TSM still isn’t at their peak. For this reason I think KFO will far surpass his projection and could be worth a start if you are weak at top lane in an 8 team league.

Jungle- Svenskeren (24pts) Svens has played really well this entire split. His 24 points is way to low and when it is all said and done will end up right around the 30 point mark. So he is any easy all-in for me even facing off against Liquid and Echo Fox.

Mid- Froggen (26pts) Froggen is the 3rd highest scoring person in fantasy LCS right now (per game average) even though in his 6 games he has faced weaker competition that is still a good sign. I don’t think he will have a monster week, unless Echo Fox continues to sweep through the LCS with their full roster. You should expect in the low to mid 30’s for Froggen

ADC- Sneaky (36pts) Sneaky and Cloud9 have been on a pretty good run the last 3 weeks. Sneaky has been the highest scoring ADC in that time. With CLG and Dig on the rift this week, I expect continued dominance from C9 or at least some of their key players.

Support- Hylissang (31pts) Hylissang has been one of the main reasons UoL has looked so good. He is a great play making support, who is unafraid to initiate for his team even if it means him dying. As a result UoL has won many fights with great follow up from the rest of their team. He averages just over 32 points a week and I would expect him to get just above that this week with match-ups against Roc and SPY.

-Team- Fnatic (23pts) Fnatic has been exceptionally mediocre this split. They look great one game, awful the next, then middle of the pack the next three games. Overall they are still to inconsistent to be seen as a good team. With all that said they average 24 points a week and they face off against H2k and Roc which should allow them to get to that point total again.

 

Fold (players that will under perform their projections)

Top- Huni (39 pts) Huni and Reignover are the catalyst that allow IMT to dominate their opponents, but he still has a tendency to play a little overly reckless when he doesn’t have his teammates backing him up. Since IMT has shown some weaknesses the last 3 games, and face off against CLG and Echo Fox this week. I’m going to say Huni plays a little more safely and doesn’t quite get to his 39. He is still a must start in every league (except maybe a 4 team league)

Jungle-Trick (43 pts) This is my wildcard pick. G2 has had a great split so far, and I think this will be another good week for them. They play Elements and Origen, neither of those teams have shown they can really threaten the top tier teams. It is evident that G2 isn’t quite as dominant as they were their first 8 games. Also, Trick averages 40 points a week and has only scored more than 43 twice.

Mid- Nukeduck (46pts) Vitality will go 2-0 this week, but most of their players won’t be fantasy monsters because of the style of their play. Nukeduck averages 28 points a week. They play such a low kill map pressure game, that none of their players ever get to have monster fantasy weeks. The same will be true this week as they face off against Giants and Elements.

ADC- Hjarnan (44pts) Hjarnan averages 30 points a week, and see Nukeduck if you want more details on how I feel about Vitality this week.

Support-KonKwon (36pts) NRG has been riding the “struggle bus” the last few weeks, even though they will most likely bounce back this week against TiP and Ren. KonKwon has surpassed 36 points once this split (37 week 1), and I don’t think that will change this week against easier opponents.

Team- Liquid (29pts) Liquid started off slow, then blitz people for 5 games, and the last 4 have returned to earth. They are averaging just 10 points a game, and with the match-up against TSM they won’t go 2-0 which means they won’t be able to get over the 29 point threshold.

 

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. I also set up a Patreon page for anyone interested. Good luck to everyone week 6.

 

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Week 1 of the LCS is in the past, and it was surprisingly anti-climatic. There were many lopsided games, and some games went way longer than many anticipated without great fantasy lines. This usually happens in week 1 as all the players and teams are getting used to playing with each other again, playing on the stage, and just getting used to the new patch and play styles. Don’t have major reactions to players and teams after one week, give the players and teams three weeks before making real judgments about what they will be this split. I had lots of success in week 1 going 3-1 in my fantasy leagues, making $5 in a daily league and going 9-3 on my picks, but that is in the past and we are on to week 2!

week 1 allin fold

All-in (players that will over perform their projections)

Top – IMT Huni (30 pts) Huni scored under 30 last week, but the beat down of TiP didn’t allow for many points for anyone on the team. I expect Huni to score in the high 30’s this week as IMT faces TSM and NRG.

Jungle – REN Crumbz (26 pts) Usually Crumbz isn’t going to be a great pick in fantasy since his play style is more controlled and calculated, but he had a good week last week and this week Renegades faces Dig and TiP because of those match=ups I see another 30 point performance from the seasoned veteran.

Mid – Fox Froggen (32 pts) Froggen only mustered 23 points last week, but he had a tough game 2. This week he faces NRG and Liquid. I don’t think he will blow this projection out of the water, but I see him finishing the week around the 35 point mark.

ADC – NRG Altec (37 pts) I’m still skeptical on how good NRG will actually be this split, but one thing is for sure at this point, Altec is the most consistent ADC out there. Altec only has 2 weeks of under 37 points in his last 10 weeks of the LCS. Even though I think NRG will go 1-1 this week I expect Altec to end the week with his usual 44 point week.

Support – REN Remi (26 pts) Remi showed some jitters in week 1 with a few misplays, but overall she performed really well. Since Renegades has an easier week, and they seem to play well together, Remi should have another strong fantasy week.

Team – Immortals (26 pts) Going into the season I though IMT would be a top 3 LCS team, and after week 1 I feel pretty good about that. Even though they face tough competition this week, I still expect them to win both games.

 

Fold (players that will under perform their projections)

Top – H2K Odoamne (37 pts) Odo has been one of my favorite top laners since his first appearance in the LCS. He is consistent and can be a huge threat when given the resources. I think he will have a good week, but not quite 37 points. FNC knows how to alter their tactics to their opponent, and kikis might have some crazy pick that Odo isn’t ready for. These factors make me think a 32 point week is in the works for Odo.

Jungle – C9 Rush (44 pts) We all know that Rush can go off in any given moment, but I don’t think this will be that week. CLG and Impulse are his match-ups, so 1 game will be methodical and low kills (CLG) the other will probably be a 30 minute win (impulse). Because of those factors 44 seems a bit to steep for Rush to get.

Mid – TSM Bjergsen (49 pts) TSM still has to figure out who gets what resources and how they are going to play before I see Bjerg getting 50 point weeks. I wouldn’t say sit him but I 49 is too many points against IMT and Dig.

ADC – C9 Sneaky (48 pts) The main reason I have Sneaky here is the same as Bjerg and Rush, the point projection is just to high to get to. Sneaky will end up in the low 40’s but don’t foresee him getting to the 50 point mark.

Support – TL Smoothie (31 pts) I would imagine this projection will drop since Matt will probably start at least one game. Even if Smoothie does play both I don’t think a 30+ week is in the works. TL played well both games, and they face CLG and Fox which both are winnable games but I’m not ready to go all-in on Team Liquid players that aren’t Piglet.

Team – Liquid (29 pts) Over the last 2 LCS splits teams don’t usually break 28 points unless the go 2-0. Obviously there have been some exceptions, but it is too hard to score big points if you don’t win. Although Liquid has winnable games, I don’t see a 2-0 week for them.

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. I also set up a Patreon page for anyone interested. Good luck to everyone week 2.

 

 

 

For those that have read my work the last two splits know exactly what to expect from these weekly posts, but for those of you who are new, let me explain what an All-in or Fold post will look like. I’m going to be taking one player from every position that I think is going to outscore their projection and one player from every position that I think will score below their projection. I’m using the projections that are used directly from fantasy LCS. The spring split last year I was 54% right on my picks (not good but better than coin toss) and last split I was just under 58%. If I continue on that pattern then this is the split I hit 62%. Let’s  jump into this week’s all-in and fold candidates.

 

All-in (players that will outscore their projections)

Top- OG Soaz (30pts) Origen is going to be the best team this split, because of talent and continuity. Even though they have some tougher matchups week 1 (H2K and FNC) I think they will perform well and Soaz should easily surpass his 30 point projection.

Jungle- TSM Svenskeren (33pts) I think TSM is going to struggle some this split to figure out how all of their pieces are going to work together and who is going to get the resources, but they have too much talent to ignore. Their matchups against TL and CLG should be wins for them, but I think the games will be longer games meaning more points for everyone

Mid- Vit Nukeduck (33pts) Nukeduck has burned me a few times the last two splits, but I think Vit is going to be a pretty solid team this split. If Nukeduck can play as well as he did the final weeks of summer split, then 33 points will be a breeze.

ADC- CLG Stixxay (33pts) I don’t think CLG will fall as much as some others are expecting. They have two new starters, but both have been with the team for over 6 months. I think Aphro will be able to set up Stixxay for plenty of opportunities.

Support- H2K Vander (24pts) Vander has the benefit of getting to play alongside of Forg1vengre, or he gets stuck playing next to him. Either way Forg1vengre is a great player, and Vander will help compliment his aggressive style. 24 should be a breeze for Vander.

Team- H2K (25 pts) H2K plays Giants and Origen. I expect them to beat Giants pretty easily then play Origen close until the end. I think they will be able to surpass their 25 point projection.

 

Fold (players that will underscore their projections)

Top- Roc Freddy122 (29pts) I think Freddy will end up with a good split overall, but I don’t think week 1 is the week he goes off. If he does beat his projection it will be Roccat funneling ganks, and resources to him. Either way I say fold him this week.

Jungle- FNC Spirit (32pts) FNC is giong to end up being a top 4 team in the EU LCS, but I think they will struggle some the first few weeks. With matchups against Origen and Vit I could see Spirit having a difficult start to his EU career.

Mid- Fox Froggen (40pts) I think Froggen will put up consistently strong fantasy numbers in the NA LCS, but 40 points might be a little to high for me. If echo fox can’t close out the game early on TiP this will be a hard one for me to win, but I see it being a stomp by Fox.

ADC- Gia Adryh (33pts) The new Giants face UoL and H2K in week 1 and unfortunately I think that will mean a lower total for the Giants players. The only player I would start week 1 would be Pepii but that is because you never know when he goes off for 40.

Support- IMT Adrian (39pts) Adrian is one of the best fantasy supports and will continue to be, but 39 is to high of a point total for me this week. I believe that top and mid will be a bigger focus for IMT so Turtle and Adrian won’t score quite as much as their projections.

Team- FNC (29pts) Typically teams go 2-0 when the get to the 28+ point range, and I don’t think FNC goes 2-0 this week. Therefore they are my fold candidate.

 

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. Good luck to everyone week 1!