Posts Tagged ‘Jason Motte’

People that play fantasy baseball with me probably know my stance on RP. For those of you who don’t let me tell you what my view is on them. “I think they are a complete crapshoot, and I really don’t like having to draft them.” I’m doing this ranking post more out of obligation that standard leagues record saves, than I truly enjoy trying to predict which closer is going to do what. Because closers are like the weather in the plains region of the US, one day it is sunny and beautiful, the next it is cold and winds blowing from the north at 50 mph, the next it is 105 degrees with a hot dry wind, then the next day there is a chance of snow (I’m sure those reading that are from the plains are nodding fervently at this). So as you can see I don’t like closers because the position seems to be so random, one season a guy can’t be hit and has like 45 saves, and the next season everything he throws gets crushed and he can’t seem to throw strikes. Closers are the one thing that change the most in fantasy baseball. I bet if you looked at a list of the top 10 1B from 5 years ago. You would see some similar names on the list, or top 10 3B, but you look at the top 10 closers and there are at least 4 names different every year. With all that said RP can be very beneficial to your fantasy team. They can do more than just save games, so look for the guys who have good k/9 and k/bb rates, they will be the guys who will help turn the tide in K’s and Whip throughout the season. Now here are my top 20 RP for the season.

1. Craig Kimbrel (Atl-RP) Dude can flat out pitch struck out 127 batters in just 77 innings. That alone is worth drafting.

2012 projection: 5 W, 48 sv, 115 K, 1.89 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

2. Jonathan Papelbon (Phi-RP) Pap seemed to be losing some of his mojo in the Boston area, but still has elite stuff…I feel like that happened with another closer and it seemed to work out pretty good for the Phillies (here’s looking at you Brad Lidge!)

2012 projection: 4 W, 43 sv, 88 K, 2.24 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

3. Drew Storen (Was-RP) Another young hurler who could potentially be atop of the list for a couple of years! Can walk hitters at times, but posts a decent K rate (8.84 per 9) to make up for it.

2012 projection: 5 W, 44 sv, 82 K, 2.86 ERA, 1.04 WHIP

4. Mariano Rivera (NYY-RP) He is getting old (that is the understatement of the year) but he still gets people out with his cutter. He won’t get as many opportunities because the Yanks will want a strong Mo for a postseason run, but he still puts up great numbers in a “smaller” role.

2012 projection: 2 W, 39 sv, 62 K, 1.99 ERA, 1.01 WHIP

5. Ryan Madson (Cin-RP) Madson’s only problem is that he can give up some hits from time to time, but with a strong lineup and a great strikeout rate (9.2 per 9) he should produce a great season.

2012 projection: 5 W, 40 sv, 69 K, 2.45 ERA, 1.11 WHIP

6. John Axford (Mil-RP) Axford has been great for the Brewers since taking over full time as their closer. He is a high strikeout guy, but also can give too many free passes. Still a top flight closer in the league.

2012 projection: 4 W, 41 sv, 78 K, 2.27 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

7. Rafael Betancourt (Col-RP) Betancourt has top 10 stuff for sure, and he finished the season strong last year at the closer spot. If he can continue what he started last Aug (sub .3 WHIP) then he will easily be a top 3 RP at season’s end.

2012 projection: 3 W, 37 sv, 79 K, 2.67 ERA, 0.97 WHIP

8. Joel Hanrahan (Pit-RP) Hanrahan was a solid closer last season for the Pirates, and I don’t see that changing that much. He will put up decent K numbers, but probably won’t dominate like some of the other guy’s on this list.

2012 projection: 2 W, 41 sv, 83 K, 2.45 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

9. Brian Wilson (SF-RP) Wilson has been a top flight closer for his short career, until last year when he had some elbow issues. Even though there was no ligament tears, that doesn’t mean that the elbow won’t give him problems this year. A pitcher is only as good as his shoulder and elbow. So I would say tread lightly when getting Wilson.

2012 projection: 4 W, 36 sv, 63 K, 3.11 ERA, 1.27 WHIP 

10. Jason Motte (StL-RP) Motte will be in his first full season as “the guy” in St. Louis. He was nearly perfect from September through October only blowing 1 save. He has a dynamic fastball, and has started to harness a secondary pitch. Expect a fairly up and down season from Motte since he is still learning how to be a pitcher.

2012 projection: 3 W, 38 SV, 65 K, 2.46 ERA, 1.03 WHIP

11. Joakim Soria (KC-RP) Soria used to be the guy who was always a top 5 closer, but then his numbers were a little low last year and he seems to be forgotten. He is still young (age 27), has great control (17 bb in 60 innings, and still can strike people out. He is the guy who you could get cheap that might easily be a top 5 at season’s end.

2012 projection: 3 W, 39 SV, 67 K, 2.44 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

12. JJ Putz (Ari-RP) Putz had a great season as the full time closer for the D-backs. He has always posted good K numbers. If he stays healthy and doesn’t have to long of a rough patch during the season. He should have another solid season.

2012 projection: 2 W, 44 sv, 61 K, 2.88 ERA, 1.09 WHIP

13. Heath Bell (Mia-RP) Bell has had 4 straight 40 save seasons, and is expected to be the 9th inning guy for the Marlins. I have a good feeling about the Marlins this year, so I expect Bell to have another really good season.

2012 projection: 3 W, 41 sv, 67 K, 2.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

14 Jose Valverde (Det-RP) Valverde is one of those guys you hate a little bit if you are facing him, but if you aren’t you love his energy. I think he can be a little out of control at times, and that can be dangerous for closers. I expect a slight down year from Valverde this year.

2012 projection: 3 W, 35 sv, 64 K, 3.03 ERA, 1.17 WHIP

15. Jordan Walden (LAA-RP) Walden performed great in his first full season. Has a tendancy to walk to many hitters, so if he can get that under control he will finish much higher than 15 at the end of the season.

2012 projection: 4 W, 38 sv, 71 K, 2.89 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

16. Carlos Marmol (ChC-RP) Marmol hasn’t quite been what every one hoped him to be. He still has amazing stuff, but he hasn’t always been able to harness all of that potential. If he can finally put it together in the 9th he is a great guy to grab. Oh yea he also borders around 100 k’s a season.

2012 projection: 3 W, 36 sv, 104 K, 3.37 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

17. Andrew Bailey (Bos-RP) Bailey is only 28 so the last two seasons of injuries will hopefully be behind him. If he can be the guy he was in 2009. He will put up great numbers, but for some reason I think he might struggle with all the pressure that comes from a big market.

2012 projection: 3 W, 30 sv, 67 K, 2.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP

18. Joe Nathan (Tex-RP) I’ve always like Nathan, and he is just a few years removed from being a top 5 closer. I think he will do well in Tex, but he is still a closer, so who really knows!

2012 projection: 3 W, 35 sv, 61 K, 2.85 ERA, 1.11 WHIP

19. Huston Street (SD-RP) Last year I made a bold prediction that Street would have a huge season and needless to say he let me down. I guess I can only blame myself for trying to predict closers 😉

2012 projection: 3 W, 33 sv, 59 K, 2.95 ERA, 1.07 WHIP

20. Kyle Fransworth (TB-RP) Fransworth is that sneaky closer who isn’t sexy, or new, but he did a great job closing out games for the Rays. I don’t expect greatness from him, but probably exactly what he did last year.

2012 projection: 4 W, 31 sv, 62 K, 2.25 ERA,  1.09 WHIP

Sleeper: Sergio Santos (Tor-RP) Santos will finally get the shot to be the full time guy, and since he has great stuff and a good strikeout rate. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him finish in the top 15 by the end of the year.

2012 projection: 5 W, 33 sv, 81 K, 3.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP

Bust: ALL Closers! No not really some will do well, but I think Jose Valverde could tank this year. The guy just tends to walk to many batters and puts himself in a lot of bad situations, and having Miggy at 3B in close games isn’t going to help the defense…just saying.

2012 projection: See above line

My Rankings ESPN Yahoo! CBS
Craig Kimbrel 1 1 1
Jonathan Paperlbon 3 3 2
Drew Storen 4 5 6
Mariano Rivera 2 2 4
Ryan Madson 6 12 15
John Axford 5 4 3
Rafael Betancourt 8 20 30
Joel Hanrahan 9 10 11
Brian Wilson 7 11 7
Jason Motte 12 21 19
Joakim Soria 16 16 9
JJ Putz 14 8 5
Heath Bell 15 7 8
Jose Valverde 10 13 13
Jordan Walden 18 14 18
Carlos Marmol 22 17 20
Andrew Bailey 17 9 14
Joe Nathan 24 23 22
Huston Street 20 19 23
Kyle Fransworth 19 23 27
Sleeper: Sergio Santos 28 18 17
Bust:Jose Valverde 10 13 13

If you have any opinions on which RP will be a stud or a bust this year, let me know in the comments. Sorry for the delay on the position rankings some miscommunication and a busy schedule from my new author has delayed the 3B and OF ranks. If you liked what you saw, follow the blog, or “like” H2H Hombre on facebook. The more views I get the better chance I have at making money for writing about sports, and I think we can all agree that that would be pretty awesome. Have a wonderful day everyone and good luck to you fantasy drafters!

I want to apologize to all of you who came to the site during the summer months and saw no new information or advice on players during the fantasy baseball season. I have a job, youth ministry, that makes summers very busy. So I now know that the summer months will be difficult for me to be consistent in posting material as you have seen. I could have written some stuff, but I didn’t want to put up information that would be considered decent at best. So since there are only 2 weeks remaining in the baseball season some of you may be looking for that last pickup that can help you win the ship. I will give you one player per category who I think can boost it for the next 13 days!

AVG- Nick Hundley (C-SD) yes a catcher is a guy who can help boost your batting average the last 2 weeks of your season. He has led the majors in AVG since his return from the DL last month. He is batting over .440. So if you have been searching for a C who can just get a hit. Than look no further.

Others who can help: Jon Jay, Marco Scutaro, Derek Lee

R- Delmon Young (OF-Det) Delmon has played really well since joining the Tigers. He plays in a good offense and has first round pedigree. He has been really rough this season, but the last month has hit over .300 and the last two weeks has crossed the plate 12 times. He could be a good asset for someone looking for a couple more runs a week.

Others who can help: Jon Jay, Cody Ross, Rafael Furcal

HR- Brent Morel (3B-CWS) Bent was a highly touted rookie coming into the year, but struggled to get anything going this year. As the season is coming to an end though he is starting to tear the cover off the ball. He has 5 HR in the last 14 days and 3 extra base hits. So if you need someone who might be able to give you 4-6 HR to close out the year he would be a good candidate.

Others who can help: Shelley Duncan, Chris Heisey, David Murphy

RBI- Marco Scutaro (2B/SS-Bos) Marco has been driving in runs left and right the last 3 weeks. He has 23 rbi since August 23. The Red Sox will be putting plenty of people on base so I don’t see why he wouldn’t continue to get rbi opportunities. He would be a great pickup for RBI help and since he is in a weaker position to get those stats you should grab him!

Others who can help: Josh Willingham, Cliff Pennington, Juan Francisco

SB- Dee Gordon (SS-LAD) There are a lot of guys who can give you a quick boost to SB, but I felt Dee was the best to continue to get chances to acquire SB and won’t kill you too much in other categories. He has a decent success rate 18 of 23 (78%), but since he will be starting every game for the Dodgers, and since he is a young talent, I think he will be the best SB option out on the free agent market.

Others who can help:Alcides Escobar, Alajandro de Aza, Angel Pagan

W- Ivan Nova (SP-NYY) He pitches for the Yankees, so that means he will get run support. He is a pitch to contact type pitcher, so he won’t rack up the K’s for you. But if you need 2 or 3 wins to close out the year he is as good of an option as anyone else out there.

Others who can help: Bruce Chen, Derek Holland, Jeremy Guthrie

K’s- Luke Hochevar (SP-KC) If you have never seen this guy’s name don’t feel bad you probably shouldn’t have up until the last month. He has been getting alot of K’s, he has 56 K’s in his last 9 starts so just over 6 a start. He also has first round pedigree (1st rounder in 2006). So he has the talent needed to get lots of strikeouts in the majors.

Others who can help: Cory Luebke, Derek Holland, Javier Vasquez

SV- Jason Motte (RP-StL) Motte has been practically untouchable the last 2 months or so don’t believe me here is a tweet by Buster Olney earlier today, “Jason Motte’s second-half numbers: 28 innings, 1 earned run, and an opponents’ average of .141. No closer controversy to start 2012 for STL.” Go pick him up now if you are in a battle for saves.

Others who can help: Jim Johnson, Kelsey Jansen, Frank Fransisco

ERA- Eric O’Flaherty (RP-Atl) Eric has been nice in ERA the entire year (1.04 for the season). Sometimes the easiest way to win the % categories (ERA, WHIP, AVG, etc) it is just getting guys who are consistent but don’t put up flashy numbers. Eric is one of those guys, he will give you about a K and inning too, but only pitches 4 or 5 innings a week usually.

Others who can help: Santiago Casilla, David Robertson, Dana Eveland

WHIP-Rafael Betancourt (RP-Col) Betancourt has been pitching well the last month. He has always had good stuff just struggled putting it all together. He has posted a 0.18 WHIP he last 30 days (11 innings). So if he can just continue to do that the last two weeks of the season he may be able to drop your WHIP a couple of points leading you to a win in the category.

Others who can help: Stephen Strasburg, Tom Wilhelmsen, Jim Johnson

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P.S. When the season is over I will be doing two posts that summarize the 2011 season. One post I will be comparing my rankings to the actual rankings of players. This is to see how I hold up to the experts, and to hold myself accountable to the good or bad things I said throughout the season. The second post will be looking back at the fantasy baseball mock draft that me and some other fantasy sports writers had. I will enter in all of the teams and see who would have won our league based on the stats of the players we drafted. So those should be fun!