Posts Tagged ‘Kikis’

This week will mark the halfway point of the season. Since each team has played 8 games there is a better picture of what each team does well and what each team does poorly. EU has a logjam at the middle and bottom of the standings, 6 teams at .500 or less, and NA is packed at the top of the standings, 5 teams at 5-3 or better. The rest of the season should have lots of entertaining games since so many teams will be fighting for a spot in the playoffs. Here is last weeks results (TSM would have been a win for me if Liquid didn’t throw that final fight, and Roccat let everyone down so don’t feel to bad about that pick) followed by my week 5 picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Odoamne 34 44.94 W
Diamond 28 5.42 L
Betsy 28  20.4 L
Altec 37 49.84 W
Mithy 30 32.9 W
Roccat 26 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Vizicsacsi 43 40.82 W
Airwaks 26 8.4 W
Ninja 35 NA NA
Adryh 37 15.93 W
Aphromoo 44 49.21 L
TSM 30 32 L
This Week W-L 6W-5L Total W-L 20W-15L

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Gamsu (proj: 31 points)  Gamsu had a monster week 4 and because of that and Dignitas’ easier schedule this week, he is a great option to beat out his projected total. He only had 85 points in the first 3 weeks which comes out to 28 points a week so the projection is fair. However, momentum is also a real thing and his near perfect performance in week 4 shows that he can be a fantasy monster. TDK and NME are on the docket for Dig so if you are a believer in the Dig magic, pick up any Dig players you can.

Jung- Kikis (proj: 34 points) Kikis is currently averaging 30 points a week. Based on that this is already an “easy” pick, but to take a deeper look into Kikis week we can see that he should beat that projection by 3-5 points. Giants are giving up roughly 19 points a game to enemy junlgers and Roccat is giving up 18 points a game to enemy junglers (this data is misisng week 3 so might be off a point or two). If we take those numbers we see that he should score around 37 points this week. UoL will have their first 2-0 week of the split.

Mid- Innox (proj: 33 points) Innox has played surprisingly well so far to start the season. This week he has two favorable match-ups against Dig, even though Dig has won a lot of games they are giving  up a decent chunk of fantasy points to their opponents, and Team 8. Innox has helped NME remain close in most of their games, and in a few has done just enough carrying to win them some games.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 41 points) Apollo has been the most consistent scorer for TiP so far this split. He scores 21.5 points a game and his two match-ups (Gravity and Cloud 9) haven’t been shutting down the enemy ADCs. So even with a high projection of 40, Apollo should get closer to the 42 point range because Gravity has allowed around 20 points a game and C9 has allowed around 22 points a game.

Supp- BunnyFuFu (proj: 26 points) All of the Gravity players have done better than most thought going into the split. In fact every player is averaging over 38 points a week. The match-ups are tough for Gravity this week (TiP and Liquid), but I don’t foresee either of them being blowouts in the enemy teams favor. If each game goes over 35 minutes Bunny should get closer to his average 38 points a week than his projection of 25. Go all-in on Bunny this week if you can.

Team- Elements (proj: 25 points) This could be a trap pick mid range point projection, easy match-ups, and a team that seems to be playing better. This should be the week that Elements goes 2-0 and potentially break the 30 point threshold since they face SK (allowing 15 points a game to enemy teams) and Giants ( allowing 13 points a game to enemy teams). Elements strategy is always get Froggen to late game carry mode and they have been performing a little better in the early game to help allow that to happen.

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top – Huni (proj: 35 points) You should never pick against FNC players, but its happening this week for Huni. Huni hasn’t been nearly as dominant this split as last, in fact if you take out his week 3 performance he would be averaging 18 points a game. FNC vs H2K is going to be a great game, it will most likely end up in a similar way that the Origen FNC game ended, in a blowout for either team. If H2K pulls off the win, and FNC rebounds and crushes GMB then Huni won’t have the chance to get a huge week. This is the big gamble of the week, look for Huni to end up with 32-34 points at the end.

Jung – Meteos (proj: 28 points) Meteos hasn’t found his groove just yet as shot-caller, and it has been taking his game performance down a bit too. He has only broken 30 points once this season (week 1), and it doesn’t appear this will be the week he does it again. C9 faces TDK and TiP, both games are winnable for C9, but just because C9 wins both doesn’t mean that Meteos will be a big scorer.

Mid – Nukeduck (proj: 39 points) A lot of Roccat players have big projections and because of what they did to the Fantasy LCS community last week, I have 2 on this list as fold candidates. Ok, so that isn’t the only reason. They face UoL and CW neither of those teams shut down their enemy teams in terms of fantasy points allowed, but UoL has done well keeping the enemy mid laner from getting out of hand (15 points allowed). If CW can keep Nukeduck from going into hard carry mode this should be an easy win.

ADC – Sneaky (proj: 38 points) Sneaky has been the most consistent scorer for C9 so far this split. He is averaging just over 18 points a game and playing TiP (who is always unpredictable) and TDK (who should allow C9 to get a win again). The real reason there are two C9 players on this list is personal. I want to jinx them back into winning ways, so I figure if I put two on this list RNG will prove me wrong. Go C9, but I’m folding your players this week.

Supp – Vander (proj: 36 points) CW have allowed 18 points a game to the enemy support and UoL is allowing 16 points a game. With that information and the fact that Vander has had 2 bad fantasy weeks he should be an easy fold candidate. Not much to say about this one really.

Team – Liquid (proj: 27 points) Liquid has looked really good this split, but it hasn’t resulted in as many wins as they probably hoped. They face off against Gravity and CLG. Both games should be fun to watch and very competitive, but 30 points is the number for teams that go 2-0 and based on their inconsistencies against the better teams in NA 2-0 seems very unlikely for Liquid this week. Expect them to get closer to the 26 point range on the week.

 

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Hello everyone. Its good to be back and writing about the fantasy LCS. I apologize again for my recent hiatus. Life got busy with work, and family in town as the wife and I prepare for our first baby. I didn’t get to watch all of the last two weeks, but it looked like there were some exciting games, and some teams continued their winning ways. Now onto my all-in and fold picks for the final week of the Spring Split

ALL-IN (These are players I expect to outperform their projections)

Top – TL Quas (Projection: 33pts) Team Liquid has one of the easiest schedules in the LCS this week. They play Dig and Winterfox. Even though they have been inconsistent especially when Piglett is their ADC. I expect them to win both of their games this week, and all of their players to perform well. I know they want to be in the playoffs and they will have to win both if they want to guarantee it.

Jungle – CW Airwaks (Projection: 30 pts) CW also has an easy schedule this week. They face Roccat and Giants in their final matchups. I fully expect them to end their losing skid the last two weeks and regain some of that midseason mojo when they won 5 in a row. I’m all-in on CW and Liquid players this week.

Mid – TL Fenix (Projection: 37 pts) See Quas’ description. Two good lane matchups, but Fenix does a lot for his team, and I like his champion pool.

ADC – Roc Woolite (Projection: 34 pts) Roccat has been very inconsistent this year. Their play has gotten a little better over the last 4 weeks though. I think with Woolite’s matchups against CW and MYM he can put up some good numbers. I think the CW game will be close with Roccat losing, but I think the MYM game could be a shootout with both teams trying to secure a win to ensure they get to stay in the LCS.

Support – CW Unlimited (Projection: 31 pts) See Airwaks description. Two good bot lane matchups for CW and I expect him and freeze to put up BIG numbers.

Team – CW (Projection: 32 pts) My rule for teams has been if they are going to win both games they will most likely break the 30 point mark and if they are going to lose one, they won’t break the 30 point mark. I expect CW to win both games, and perform well in both. I think a 36 point week is in their future.

FOLD (These are players I think will do worse than their projections)

Top – WFX Avalon (Projection: 32 pts) Winterfox has been 0-6 in the last 3 weeks. They face team Liquid in their first game and Team Coast in their 2nd. They should win the 2nd game against Coast, but I don’t think they will do enough for Avalon to break the 30 point barrier. A lot of the Winterfox players have high projections this week and I would say beware of starting any of them because of their inconsistency this split.

Jungle – UOL Kikis (Projection: 31 pts) Kikis has averaged just over 20 points a game this split, but for the most part he has been more of a feast or famine jungler (4 weeks over 40 points 3 weeks under 30 points). The matchups this week make me hesitant to start him (Gambit and SK). If he is your only jungler he won’t drop a sub 15 week, but I really don’t think he will break the 30 point mark this week. SO I’m folding Kikis this week.

Mid – Team8 Slooshi8(Projection: 35 pts) Team 8 has been on a roll as of late, but I think this is the week it comes to a crashing halt. Slooshi’s per game average would put him at 36 points for the week, but again I have a bad feeling about Team 8 this week. I’m going to fold on Team 8 players this week.

ADC – CLG Doublelift (Projection: 40 pts) Doublelift has been averaging just under 20 points a game so far this split. Plus with two tough opponents in the upcoming week, I don’t think he will get to the 40 point mark. I would say he is a fold candidate if you have another good ADC on your team.

Support – TSM Lustboy (Projection: 41 pts) I love Lustboy. He has single handedly won some teamfights for TSM this split. I think he won’t quite be able to reach the 41 point mark this week though. TSM vs C9 has always been very 1 sided matches so no team scores tons of points and TSM’s game against Coast should be a sub 30 minute game which will also result in a low point total. I think Lustboy is amazing just not this week in Fantasy.

Team – CLG (Projection: 28 pts) CLG has once again had a 2nd half of the season that has been less than great. They are still winning more than they are losing, but they aren’t showing the same dominance they were early season. They have two tough matchups in Impulse and Team 8. So I expect them to lose 1 of those games, and if they do they won’t hit the 28 point mark.

 

As always thanks for reading, and don’t forget to follow me on twitter, facebook, or subscribe to the blog.

I also wanted to let you all know that this Saturday I will be doing a stream-a-thon on Twitch.TV to raise money for a Honduras Mission trip I am taking with some teens this summer (Remember I’m a youth minister). We are going to be helping build a school in Honduras this summer and would love for you all to come check out the stream this Saturday and if you feel inclined to give you can donate during the stream.

Have a wonderful day, and good luck in your final week of Fantasy LCS.

Last week four top-tier NA and EU teams competed in the final four of the San Jose IEM. TSM, UOL, ALL, and C9 were the four teams that will compete in the upcoming LCS season (should start late January-early February). Their were some very entertaining matches and some surprised during the games. If you want to see the matches click here. There will be some spoilers in the next few paragraphs so you have been warned. I’m going to give my recap on what I saw from those four teams and how it will apply to fantasy value for the upcoming LCS season.

TSM – Overall TSM was disappointing in the tournament. They lost in all phases of the game, early, mid, late, and in champ select. Despite them playing bad they still are going to be a top team in NA. Overall they just have really good players. WildTurtle and Lustboy finally look like they are getting some synergy and I think they will do great this season in Fantasy. Bjergsen and Santorin (TSM’s new jungler) played the worst of all 10 players during their games, but Bjergsen is still good and should be a high pick in your fantasy draft. Especially since he loves to makes plays and that will lead to fantasy points. I’m not sure how Santorin will be so I will probably be looking at other junglers in my drafts. Dyrus was his usual consistent self. Was able to CS and make impacts on the games like he always does, but was unable to go into carry mode like he did in the LCS finals last split. I would still say he is a top 5 top laner for the upcoming season.

Alliance – Alliance proved again they will be a force to be reckoned with in the EU LCS, but C9 showed they still have weakness in their shot calling, objective control, and their map rotations (MonteCristo’s favorite). I think they will be a team you should look for because they will win a lot of games on their ability to play the game. I also think all but one of the laners should be high priority picks in your draft. Wicked, played great the first two games than poorly the final game, but I do think he will most likely be a 2nd tier top laner once the season is over. In the new meta top laners will most likely be on an island so you want guys who can duel or survive well and I don’t think Wicked is great at either, but he will be able to score high because of his team fighting. I’ve never thought Shook (jungler) was that good, and in these three games he proved me right. I would say out of all of the players on Alliance Shook is just a mid to low tier jungler. Froggen is still a farming machine and is a high skill player he will be a great early pick in your draft. Rekkles was a man among boys in the three games, all three games he tried to keep his team in it, but C9 was too much. If Rekkles plays like he did that weekend during the season he will finish 1 or 2 in total points. Nyph will also benefit from Rekkles, and since supports won’t be high scorers in fantasy you want to get the supports of high scoring ADC’s to benefit from the high assist number.

UOL – Unicorns of Love were the team that created the most excitement during the tournament. They showed that they will be a good team in the EU LCS, and I even think they could potentially put a C9 2013 summer split type run this split. They are innovative and unafraid to take chances. That forces other teams to be reactive and usually teams aren’t good at reacting to new things. I might be looking to grab them as my team in this season’s fantasy draft. These were the first 5 games I have ever seen from UOL, so I don’t have a ton of stats or knowledge to back up my claims. It seems like all 5 of their players will be quality fantasy stars. The 2 that will probably rise above the rest is their Top laner, Vizicsacsi, and their jungler, Kikis. I think the EU has weaker top and junglers in comparison to NA so these two could be top 3 at those positions year one in the EU.

C9 – Cloud 9 continues to do what they have done since they arrived on the LCS scene back in early 2013, and that is win and win fairly convincingly. The one weakness I saw in them this tournament was they seemed to slow play their leads allowing for the other team to stick around longer than they should, and Balls wasn’t the same force we have seen from him. Every single one of their players is a great fantasy contributor because they are still the best team fighting team in NA and EU (in my opinion). Two of their players look like they will be fantasy stars this season and that is Meteos (jungler) and Sneaky (ADC). Meteos played as good as you can out of the Jungle and showed how to carry games on the new patch as junglers. He was putting early pressure in lanes, controlling objectives and because he is such a vision minded jungler he was able to gain more information on the enemy team because of the new jungle timers. Meteos was a complete beast and I’d expect him to be a top 2 jungler in overall points this season. Sneaky is continuing his rise as one of the best ADCs in the world. He probably isn’t there yet but he continues to makes plays, finish off kills, and farm at a high level. He should be a highly contested AD pick in your draft.

Overall, I think all four teams will have great fantasy potential and I would imagine will finish top 4 of the NA and EU respectively. Who do you think will bring the most fantasy value this upcoming year Sneaky or Rekkles? Will UOL be a force in the EU scene or just a flash in the pan? Let me know what you think in the comments below. Don’t forget to follow on Twitter, Facebook, or through WordPress to get notified when I post again. Have a great day.