Posts Tagged ‘Liquid’

We are 2/3 of the way through the split, and it has been an entertaining split. I have had mixed results in my fantasy leagues. Top 3 in 2 and bottom 4 in the other 2 (1 is a 6 man league so 4th in both). G2 and UoL have been a huge surprise throughout the entire split and NRG and FNC have been rather disappointing. Week 7 and 8 will have huge impacts on seeding for playoffs and who gets to go into the relegation tournament. Here are week 6’s results followed by week 7 picks.

Allin

All-in (players that will over perform their projections)

Top- KFO (17pts) Echo Fox has two really strong opponents this week (IMT and TSM), but they have shown they can play with their full roster. IMT has shown vulnerabilities in their last 3 games, and TSM still isn’t at their peak. For this reason I think KFO will far surpass his projection and could be worth a start if you are weak at top lane in an 8 team league.

Jungle- Svenskeren (24pts) Svens has played really well this entire split. His 24 points is way to low and when it is all said and done will end up right around the 30 point mark. So he is any easy all-in for me even facing off against Liquid and Echo Fox.

Mid- Froggen (26pts) Froggen is the 3rd highest scoring person in fantasy LCS right now (per game average) even though in his 6 games he has faced weaker competition that is still a good sign. I don’t think he will have a monster week, unless Echo Fox continues to sweep through the LCS with their full roster. You should expect in the low to mid 30’s for Froggen

ADC- Sneaky (36pts) Sneaky and Cloud9 have been on a pretty good run the last 3 weeks. Sneaky has been the highest scoring ADC in that time. With CLG and Dig on the rift this week, I expect continued dominance from C9 or at least some of their key players.

Support- Hylissang (31pts) Hylissang has been one of the main reasons UoL has looked so good. He is a great play making support, who is unafraid to initiate for his team even if it means him dying. As a result UoL has won many fights with great follow up from the rest of their team. He averages just over 32 points a week and I would expect him to get just above that this week with match-ups against Roc and SPY.

-Team- Fnatic (23pts) Fnatic has been exceptionally mediocre this split. They look great one game, awful the next, then middle of the pack the next three games. Overall they are still to inconsistent to be seen as a good team. With all that said they average 24 points a week and they face off against H2k and Roc which should allow them to get to that point total again.

 

Fold (players that will under perform their projections)

Top- Huni (39 pts) Huni and Reignover are the catalyst that allow IMT to dominate their opponents, but he still has a tendency to play a little overly reckless when he doesn’t have his teammates backing him up. Since IMT has shown some weaknesses the last 3 games, and face off against CLG and Echo Fox this week. I’m going to say Huni plays a little more safely and doesn’t quite get to his 39. He is still a must start in every league (except maybe a 4 team league)

Jungle-Trick (43 pts) This is my wildcard pick. G2 has had a great split so far, and I think this will be another good week for them. They play Elements and Origen, neither of those teams have shown they can really threaten the top tier teams. It is evident that G2 isn’t quite as dominant as they were their first 8 games. Also, Trick averages 40 points a week and has only scored more than 43 twice.

Mid- Nukeduck (46pts) Vitality will go 2-0 this week, but most of their players won’t be fantasy monsters because of the style of their play. Nukeduck averages 28 points a week. They play such a low kill map pressure game, that none of their players ever get to have monster fantasy weeks. The same will be true this week as they face off against Giants and Elements.

ADC- Hjarnan (44pts) Hjarnan averages 30 points a week, and see Nukeduck if you want more details on how I feel about Vitality this week.

Support-KonKwon (36pts) NRG has been riding the “struggle bus” the last few weeks, even though they will most likely bounce back this week against TiP and Ren. KonKwon has surpassed 36 points once this split (37 week 1), and I don’t think that will change this week against easier opponents.

Team- Liquid (29pts) Liquid started off slow, then blitz people for 5 games, and the last 4 have returned to earth. They are averaging just 10 points a game, and with the match-up against TSM they won’t go 2-0 which means they won’t be able to get over the 29 point threshold.

 

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The season is coming to an end. There have been some surprises (Gravity and Giants) and a fair share of disappointments (CW, C9, and TDK) which have all lead to another great year for the LCS. Week 8 was one of my better weeks for my picks and it would have been even better if Adrian would have been around for his 2nd game (I counted his as not available since it was an unforeseen circumstance that lead him to not playing). As of now I’m sitting at 57% right on my picks for the year, so I will need a big 9 win week to get to the 60% mark I was shooting for. Here are the results from last week followed by the picks for the final week of the LCS.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
CaboChard 25 37.71 W
Fr3deric 25 12.92 L
Ryu 36 50.87 W
Apollo 38 59.02 W
Adrian 29 NA NA
Giants 22 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Flarez 30 6.98 W
Move 42 22.58 W
Pobelter 41 37.95 W
Otter 35 14.94 W
Hylissang 31 33.8 L
Enemy 28 2 W
This Week W-L 8W-3L Total W-L 47W-34L-1T

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Balls (proj: 23pts) Cloud9 has looked better every week since Hai has returned. The last two weeks Balls has scored 47 and 39 points it is safe to say he will score close to that this week facing off against TSM and TDK.

Jung- IWillDominate (proj: 28pts) Dom has scored more than 28 points in every single week this fantasy season so that alone is enough to put him on the All-in list. He also seems to play well when facing tough competition so I like his chances to get near the 40’s this week against Team 8 and Impulse.

Mid- Pepiinero (proj: 35pts) Pepiinero has been a surprise fantasy option this year. He has had some of the best weeks of any midlaners, but he also has his moments where he can’t really get going. Even though the Giants will have another tough week, Pepii will have a new pair of carry pants on to keep his team in both of their games.

ADC- CoreJJ (proj: 31pts) CoreJJ may be one of the more underrated ADCs in the LCS he has performed well 5 of the 8 weeks. 31 points isn’t a hard number for ADCs to get to, and with the way Dig played last week it shows they have a little left in the tank for the final week of the season. Expect CoreJJ to be around 40 points when the week is done.

Supp- Hylissang (proj: 20pts) Hylissang has scored more than 20 points in all but 2 weeks this split and both were in the first half of the season. UoL is still fighting for a playoff spot so you can expect them to play well in both games. This is a no doubter all-in.

Team- TiP (proj: 19pts) Team Impulse’s lowest scoring week this split has been 23 points all the way back in week 2. They have 4 straight 30+ weeks. So even if they play poorly and split 1-1 they will most likely still score in the low to mid 20’s.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

 

Top- Werlyb (proj: 31pts) The Giants have been trying to fight for their playoff spot, but they have looked weaker as the season has progressed. When Werly plays well the Giants are a better team, but his inconsistency hurts them. Werly has only broken 30 points 3 times this split and facing off against UoL and CW it looks as though he will fall short again.

Jung- Move (proj: 38pts) Move has stolen 35 dragons and barons this year (approximately). Even though he seems to be able to out smite anyone he won’t be able to reach his projection again this week. Gravity has Impulse and TDK on the docket so he won’t have the opportunity to score big points since they will lose to Impulse and beat TDK in a timely manner.

Mid- Ninja (proj: 36pts) Ninja is a great player, but this game is a team game, and TDK isn’t working together at all. Ninja will have his moments this week, but don’t expect him to reach his projection.

ADC- Otter (proj: 38pts) NME is riding a tough losing stretch (momentum matters). They have guaranteed that they won’t be auto relegated (no real reason to win). Those factors and their match-ups (TSM and Dig) will result in another bad scoring week for NME players.

Supp- Lustboy (proj: 39pts) Lustboy has only surpassed 39 points once this season (week 3 with 42 points). TSM is really struggling and Lustboy hasn’t looked as confident or as dominant as he did last split. The last 4 weeks he is averaging just 25 points a week. Fold Lustboy for another option.

Team- Giants (proj: 30pts) Giants has been interesting all year they have been more competitive than most thought they would, but they haven’t been a great fantasy play. They have broken 30 points 3 times this season so they should be a safe fold.

 

Who are your all-in or fold candidates for the final week of the LCS? Leave a comment below.

This week will mark the halfway point of the season. Since each team has played 8 games there is a better picture of what each team does well and what each team does poorly. EU has a logjam at the middle and bottom of the standings, 6 teams at .500 or less, and NA is packed at the top of the standings, 5 teams at 5-3 or better. The rest of the season should have lots of entertaining games since so many teams will be fighting for a spot in the playoffs. Here is last weeks results (TSM would have been a win for me if Liquid didn’t throw that final fight, and Roccat let everyone down so don’t feel to bad about that pick) followed by my week 5 picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Odoamne 34 44.94 W
Diamond 28 5.42 L
Betsy 28  20.4 L
Altec 37 49.84 W
Mithy 30 32.9 W
Roccat 26 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Vizicsacsi 43 40.82 W
Airwaks 26 8.4 W
Ninja 35 NA NA
Adryh 37 15.93 W
Aphromoo 44 49.21 L
TSM 30 32 L
This Week W-L 6W-5L Total W-L 20W-15L

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Gamsu (proj: 31 points)  Gamsu had a monster week 4 and because of that and Dignitas’ easier schedule this week, he is a great option to beat out his projected total. He only had 85 points in the first 3 weeks which comes out to 28 points a week so the projection is fair. However, momentum is also a real thing and his near perfect performance in week 4 shows that he can be a fantasy monster. TDK and NME are on the docket for Dig so if you are a believer in the Dig magic, pick up any Dig players you can.

Jung- Kikis (proj: 34 points) Kikis is currently averaging 30 points a week. Based on that this is already an “easy” pick, but to take a deeper look into Kikis week we can see that he should beat that projection by 3-5 points. Giants are giving up roughly 19 points a game to enemy junlgers and Roccat is giving up 18 points a game to enemy junglers (this data is misisng week 3 so might be off a point or two). If we take those numbers we see that he should score around 37 points this week. UoL will have their first 2-0 week of the split.

Mid- Innox (proj: 33 points) Innox has played surprisingly well so far to start the season. This week he has two favorable match-ups against Dig, even though Dig has won a lot of games they are giving  up a decent chunk of fantasy points to their opponents, and Team 8. Innox has helped NME remain close in most of their games, and in a few has done just enough carrying to win them some games.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 41 points) Apollo has been the most consistent scorer for TiP so far this split. He scores 21.5 points a game and his two match-ups (Gravity and Cloud 9) haven’t been shutting down the enemy ADCs. So even with a high projection of 40, Apollo should get closer to the 42 point range because Gravity has allowed around 20 points a game and C9 has allowed around 22 points a game.

Supp- BunnyFuFu (proj: 26 points) All of the Gravity players have done better than most thought going into the split. In fact every player is averaging over 38 points a week. The match-ups are tough for Gravity this week (TiP and Liquid), but I don’t foresee either of them being blowouts in the enemy teams favor. If each game goes over 35 minutes Bunny should get closer to his average 38 points a week than his projection of 25. Go all-in on Bunny this week if you can.

Team- Elements (proj: 25 points) This could be a trap pick mid range point projection, easy match-ups, and a team that seems to be playing better. This should be the week that Elements goes 2-0 and potentially break the 30 point threshold since they face SK (allowing 15 points a game to enemy teams) and Giants ( allowing 13 points a game to enemy teams). Elements strategy is always get Froggen to late game carry mode and they have been performing a little better in the early game to help allow that to happen.

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top – Huni (proj: 35 points) You should never pick against FNC players, but its happening this week for Huni. Huni hasn’t been nearly as dominant this split as last, in fact if you take out his week 3 performance he would be averaging 18 points a game. FNC vs H2K is going to be a great game, it will most likely end up in a similar way that the Origen FNC game ended, in a blowout for either team. If H2K pulls off the win, and FNC rebounds and crushes GMB then Huni won’t have the chance to get a huge week. This is the big gamble of the week, look for Huni to end up with 32-34 points at the end.

Jung – Meteos (proj: 28 points) Meteos hasn’t found his groove just yet as shot-caller, and it has been taking his game performance down a bit too. He has only broken 30 points once this season (week 1), and it doesn’t appear this will be the week he does it again. C9 faces TDK and TiP, both games are winnable for C9, but just because C9 wins both doesn’t mean that Meteos will be a big scorer.

Mid – Nukeduck (proj: 39 points) A lot of Roccat players have big projections and because of what they did to the Fantasy LCS community last week, I have 2 on this list as fold candidates. Ok, so that isn’t the only reason. They face UoL and CW neither of those teams shut down their enemy teams in terms of fantasy points allowed, but UoL has done well keeping the enemy mid laner from getting out of hand (15 points allowed). If CW can keep Nukeduck from going into hard carry mode this should be an easy win.

ADC – Sneaky (proj: 38 points) Sneaky has been the most consistent scorer for C9 so far this split. He is averaging just over 18 points a game and playing TiP (who is always unpredictable) and TDK (who should allow C9 to get a win again). The real reason there are two C9 players on this list is personal. I want to jinx them back into winning ways, so I figure if I put two on this list RNG will prove me wrong. Go C9, but I’m folding your players this week.

Supp – Vander (proj: 36 points) CW have allowed 18 points a game to the enemy support and UoL is allowing 16 points a game. With that information and the fact that Vander has had 2 bad fantasy weeks he should be an easy fold candidate. Not much to say about this one really.

Team – Liquid (proj: 27 points) Liquid has looked really good this split, but it hasn’t resulted in as many wins as they probably hoped. They face off against Gravity and CLG. Both games should be fun to watch and very competitive, but 30 points is the number for teams that go 2-0 and based on their inconsistencies against the better teams in NA 2-0 seems very unlikely for Liquid this week. Expect them to get closer to the 26 point range on the week.

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live. Who are your all-in and fold candidates for week 5 are? Let me know in the comments below!