Posts Tagged ‘Meteos’

This week will mark the halfway point of the season. Since each team has played 8 games there is a better picture of what each team does well and what each team does poorly. EU has a logjam at the middle and bottom of the standings, 6 teams at .500 or less, and NA is packed at the top of the standings, 5 teams at 5-3 or better. The rest of the season should have lots of entertaining games since so many teams will be fighting for a spot in the playoffs. Here is last weeks results (TSM would have been a win for me if Liquid didn’t throw that final fight, and Roccat let everyone down so don’t feel to bad about that pick) followed by my week 5 picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Odoamne 34 44.94 W
Diamond 28 5.42 L
Betsy 28  20.4 L
Altec 37 49.84 W
Mithy 30 32.9 W
Roccat 26 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Vizicsacsi 43 40.82 W
Airwaks 26 8.4 W
Ninja 35 NA NA
Adryh 37 15.93 W
Aphromoo 44 49.21 L
TSM 30 32 L
This Week W-L 6W-5L Total W-L 20W-15L

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Gamsu (proj: 31 points)  Gamsu had a monster week 4 and because of that and Dignitas’ easier schedule this week, he is a great option to beat out his projected total. He only had 85 points in the first 3 weeks which comes out to 28 points a week so the projection is fair. However, momentum is also a real thing and his near perfect performance in week 4 shows that he can be a fantasy monster. TDK and NME are on the docket for Dig so if you are a believer in the Dig magic, pick up any Dig players you can.

Jung- Kikis (proj: 34 points) Kikis is currently averaging 30 points a week. Based on that this is already an “easy” pick, but to take a deeper look into Kikis week we can see that he should beat that projection by 3-5 points. Giants are giving up roughly 19 points a game to enemy junlgers and Roccat is giving up 18 points a game to enemy junglers (this data is misisng week 3 so might be off a point or two). If we take those numbers we see that he should score around 37 points this week. UoL will have their first 2-0 week of the split.

Mid- Innox (proj: 33 points) Innox has played surprisingly well so far to start the season. This week he has two favorable match-ups against Dig, even though Dig has won a lot of games they are giving  up a decent chunk of fantasy points to their opponents, and Team 8. Innox has helped NME remain close in most of their games, and in a few has done just enough carrying to win them some games.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 41 points) Apollo has been the most consistent scorer for TiP so far this split. He scores 21.5 points a game and his two match-ups (Gravity and Cloud 9) haven’t been shutting down the enemy ADCs. So even with a high projection of 40, Apollo should get closer to the 42 point range because Gravity has allowed around 20 points a game and C9 has allowed around 22 points a game.

Supp- BunnyFuFu (proj: 26 points) All of the Gravity players have done better than most thought going into the split. In fact every player is averaging over 38 points a week. The match-ups are tough for Gravity this week (TiP and Liquid), but I don’t foresee either of them being blowouts in the enemy teams favor. If each game goes over 35 minutes Bunny should get closer to his average 38 points a week than his projection of 25. Go all-in on Bunny this week if you can.

Team- Elements (proj: 25 points) This could be a trap pick mid range point projection, easy match-ups, and a team that seems to be playing better. This should be the week that Elements goes 2-0 and potentially break the 30 point threshold since they face SK (allowing 15 points a game to enemy teams) and Giants ( allowing 13 points a game to enemy teams). Elements strategy is always get Froggen to late game carry mode and they have been performing a little better in the early game to help allow that to happen.

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top – Huni (proj: 35 points) You should never pick against FNC players, but its happening this week for Huni. Huni hasn’t been nearly as dominant this split as last, in fact if you take out his week 3 performance he would be averaging 18 points a game. FNC vs H2K is going to be a great game, it will most likely end up in a similar way that the Origen FNC game ended, in a blowout for either team. If H2K pulls off the win, and FNC rebounds and crushes GMB then Huni won’t have the chance to get a huge week. This is the big gamble of the week, look for Huni to end up with 32-34 points at the end.

Jung – Meteos (proj: 28 points) Meteos hasn’t found his groove just yet as shot-caller, and it has been taking his game performance down a bit too. He has only broken 30 points once this season (week 1), and it doesn’t appear this will be the week he does it again. C9 faces TDK and TiP, both games are winnable for C9, but just because C9 wins both doesn’t mean that Meteos will be a big scorer.

Mid – Nukeduck (proj: 39 points) A lot of Roccat players have big projections and because of what they did to the Fantasy LCS community last week, I have 2 on this list as fold candidates. Ok, so that isn’t the only reason. They face UoL and CW neither of those teams shut down their enemy teams in terms of fantasy points allowed, but UoL has done well keeping the enemy mid laner from getting out of hand (15 points allowed). If CW can keep Nukeduck from going into hard carry mode this should be an easy win.

ADC – Sneaky (proj: 38 points) Sneaky has been the most consistent scorer for C9 so far this split. He is averaging just over 18 points a game and playing TiP (who is always unpredictable) and TDK (who should allow C9 to get a win again). The real reason there are two C9 players on this list is personal. I want to jinx them back into winning ways, so I figure if I put two on this list RNG will prove me wrong. Go C9, but I’m folding your players this week.

Supp – Vander (proj: 36 points) CW have allowed 18 points a game to the enemy support and UoL is allowing 16 points a game. With that information and the fact that Vander has had 2 bad fantasy weeks he should be an easy fold candidate. Not much to say about this one really.

Team – Liquid (proj: 27 points) Liquid has looked really good this split, but it hasn’t resulted in as many wins as they probably hoped. They face off against Gravity and CLG. Both games should be fun to watch and very competitive, but 30 points is the number for teams that go 2-0 and based on their inconsistencies against the better teams in NA 2-0 seems very unlikely for Liquid this week. Expect them to get closer to the 26 point range on the week.

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live. Who are your all-in and fold candidates for week 5 are? Let me know in the comments below!

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The fantasy LCS season is finally upon us. I am very excited for the new season.  I personally can’t wait to see if FNC can carry their momentum from last split? If SK will fall off without “godgiven?” Will UoL continue their climb as one of the best European teams? Can Elements rebound from a disappointing season? Will the veterans of Origen be able to carry them to a top 3 finish? Can H2K capture their win streak from the end of last split and carry that momentum into the summer split? And all of this is just the EU LCS. In NA, I can’t wait to see if TSM can recapture their dominance of last split or if the MSI was what they will be know that teams have figured out how they work? Can C9 regain its former glory without Hai? Will either of the new LCS teams (TDK or NME) be able to make a splash in their first split i.e. Team 8, H2K, or UoL? Can Liquid finally start clicking on a week to week basis like they showed the last week of the spring split and in the playoffs? Will CLG finally get over the hump of a late season collapse? Is Team 8 a spring split fluke or a team to be reckoned with? So many questions going into this split which should make for an exciting year!

This is the first of a weekly series I like to call “all-in or fold.” The way it works is I give one person for each position that I think will outscore their projection, they will be the “all-in” candidates for the week. Then I will give one person for each position that I think will underscore their projection, they will be the “fold” candidates for the week. So know that we all know how it works lets get into the nitty-gritty!

All-in (players that I think will outscore their projections)

Top – GMB CaboChard (projection: 31pts) I’m really high on Gambit this year. I think with the progress they made the end of last split, and adding Forg1ven has made them very formidable. They also have decent match-ups in week 1 against Elements and Roccat. I would start any and all Gambit players if given the chance, but CaboChard is the most appealing based on his projection.

Jungle – Liquid IWillDominate (projection: 30pts) I think Dom could see a big week 1 much like last split. Liquid is up against TDK and T8. Even though Team 8 fared well against enemy junglers last split, I think he will do well enough against them, and score pretty big against TDK. I would guess he will get around 38-42 points this week so go all-in!

Mid – CLG Pobelter (projection: 35pts) I’ve always had high hopes for Pobelter and he has let me down more often that not. But I’m going to put myself out their again this week and assume he will be able to put up similar points as Link did last year (possibly more if “communication” isn’t an issue). We all know that Pobelter is a solo q monster and he gets the privilege of playing Dig and Impulse, which should allow room for him to surpass his projection.

ADC – OG Niels (projection: 36pts) I’m still really unsure what to expect out of Origen. They have 4 players that have been there and then Niels who was a monster throughout the CS scene. If Origen didn’t have favorable match-ups for week 1 (Giants and H2K) I would say wait and see with most of their team, but instead I’m saying go all-in on Niels!

Support – FNC Yellowstar (projection: 25pts) I think FNC could have a disappointing week in comparison to some of the weeks they had last split, but 25 pts from Yellowstar is just too low. This one was too easy! Go all-in on Yellowstar.

Team – H2K (projection: 29pts) H2K is the other team that I think very highly of this Fantasy split. They face Origen and Roccat this week, which could very easily be 2 wins. If there is anything I learned from last split is that when a team goes 2-0 in a week they almost always break the 30 point threshold. H2K is a go for week 1.

 

Fold (players that I think will underscore their projections)

Top – T8 CaliTrlolz (projection: 27pts) Cali is the shot caller and one of the main play-makers for Team 8 and that lead them to a surprising late season surge last split. I think he could have some big weeks again this split, but I don’t think week 1 will be that week. He plays against Impact and Quas (arguably the two best top laners in NA). Because of the match-ups I am going to fold on Cali this week.

Jungle – C9 Meteos (projection: 40pts) C9 is the team that got me interested in the LCS 2 years ago so I always want to see them succeed. But week 1 for Meteos will be hard to get to the 40 point mark. Even though he was one of the better fantasy options from C9 last split he still didn’t exceed his projections consistently. Because of that and facing TSM in the first match-up I have to say 40 points is too much.

Mid – FNC Febiven (projection: 40pts) Febiven was a fantasy surprise (much like his entire team last split). He is able to play safe enough to not give up any advantages in lane, but has the ability to outplay most mid laners in EU. I normally would be high on Febiven, but 40 points is a big number especially when he is facing PowerofEvil and Fox week 1. I think he will still be a good fantasy option but it will probably be more in the 35-37 point range.

ADC – Ele Tabzz (projection: 35pts) Elements did a complete team overhaul, but Tabzz is a familiar face for Froggen. Tabzz is a great ADC and will probably be an excellent option most weeks. However he goes up against 2 of the top 4 teams in UoL and Gambit. I don’t think this will be a breakout week for Tabzz so I’m going to say fold him for week 1.

Support – GV BunnyFuFu (projection: 35pts) BunnyFuFu might be my favorite support in the entire League scene right now. He is able to make plays during all parts of the game, and it seems like he hardly ever makes mistakes. Overall he is a great support, but sometimes he doesn’t always get the most from a fantasy perspective. I think with a change at ADC and Jungle Gravity will have some struggles the first few weeks until they figure each other out. So I don’t think Bunny can reach that 35 point projection,

Team – Dignitas (projection: 18pts) I usually try to pick higher point totals for my fold candidates (gotta be smart about my picks), but Dig has a rough schedule week 1 (CLG and C9). I think Dig will do their normal thing this split win some games here and there but overall be a bottom 3 team. This week I think they will be the lowest scoring team in Fantasy LCS so I would give them a hard fold in week 1.

 

Last split I got 54% of my picks right in my all-in and fold posts. This split I’m shooting for 60% right. I will keep track and post the results in next weeks post so you can see how well I did. Remember these picks aren’t who I think is going to do best or worst at their positions. But it is simply who I think will over perform or under perform their projections. Good luck to all of you in the opening week of the summer split, may your picks be “Legendary” and your opponents get “Shut Down.” As always don’t forget to  follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live.

 

Last week four top-tier NA and EU teams competed in the final four of the San Jose IEM. TSM, UOL, ALL, and C9 were the four teams that will compete in the upcoming LCS season (should start late January-early February). Their were some very entertaining matches and some surprised during the games. If you want to see the matches click here. There will be some spoilers in the next few paragraphs so you have been warned. I’m going to give my recap on what I saw from those four teams and how it will apply to fantasy value for the upcoming LCS season.

TSM – Overall TSM was disappointing in the tournament. They lost in all phases of the game, early, mid, late, and in champ select. Despite them playing bad they still are going to be a top team in NA. Overall they just have really good players. WildTurtle and Lustboy finally look like they are getting some synergy and I think they will do great this season in Fantasy. Bjergsen and Santorin (TSM’s new jungler) played the worst of all 10 players during their games, but Bjergsen is still good and should be a high pick in your fantasy draft. Especially since he loves to makes plays and that will lead to fantasy points. I’m not sure how Santorin will be so I will probably be looking at other junglers in my drafts. Dyrus was his usual consistent self. Was able to CS and make impacts on the games like he always does, but was unable to go into carry mode like he did in the LCS finals last split. I would still say he is a top 5 top laner for the upcoming season.

Alliance – Alliance proved again they will be a force to be reckoned with in the EU LCS, but C9 showed they still have weakness in their shot calling, objective control, and their map rotations (MonteCristo’s favorite). I think they will be a team you should look for because they will win a lot of games on their ability to play the game. I also think all but one of the laners should be high priority picks in your draft. Wicked, played great the first two games than poorly the final game, but I do think he will most likely be a 2nd tier top laner once the season is over. In the new meta top laners will most likely be on an island so you want guys who can duel or survive well and I don’t think Wicked is great at either, but he will be able to score high because of his team fighting. I’ve never thought Shook (jungler) was that good, and in these three games he proved me right. I would say out of all of the players on Alliance Shook is just a mid to low tier jungler. Froggen is still a farming machine and is a high skill player he will be a great early pick in your draft. Rekkles was a man among boys in the three games, all three games he tried to keep his team in it, but C9 was too much. If Rekkles plays like he did that weekend during the season he will finish 1 or 2 in total points. Nyph will also benefit from Rekkles, and since supports won’t be high scorers in fantasy you want to get the supports of high scoring ADC’s to benefit from the high assist number.

UOL – Unicorns of Love were the team that created the most excitement during the tournament. They showed that they will be a good team in the EU LCS, and I even think they could potentially put a C9 2013 summer split type run this split. They are innovative and unafraid to take chances. That forces other teams to be reactive and usually teams aren’t good at reacting to new things. I might be looking to grab them as my team in this season’s fantasy draft. These were the first 5 games I have ever seen from UOL, so I don’t have a ton of stats or knowledge to back up my claims. It seems like all 5 of their players will be quality fantasy stars. The 2 that will probably rise above the rest is their Top laner, Vizicsacsi, and their jungler, Kikis. I think the EU has weaker top and junglers in comparison to NA so these two could be top 3 at those positions year one in the EU.

C9 – Cloud 9 continues to do what they have done since they arrived on the LCS scene back in early 2013, and that is win and win fairly convincingly. The one weakness I saw in them this tournament was they seemed to slow play their leads allowing for the other team to stick around longer than they should, and Balls wasn’t the same force we have seen from him. Every single one of their players is a great fantasy contributor because they are still the best team fighting team in NA and EU (in my opinion). Two of their players look like they will be fantasy stars this season and that is Meteos (jungler) and Sneaky (ADC). Meteos played as good as you can out of the Jungle and showed how to carry games on the new patch as junglers. He was putting early pressure in lanes, controlling objectives and because he is such a vision minded jungler he was able to gain more information on the enemy team because of the new jungle timers. Meteos was a complete beast and I’d expect him to be a top 2 jungler in overall points this season. Sneaky is continuing his rise as one of the best ADCs in the world. He probably isn’t there yet but he continues to makes plays, finish off kills, and farm at a high level. He should be a highly contested AD pick in your draft.

Overall, I think all four teams will have great fantasy potential and I would imagine will finish top 4 of the NA and EU respectively. Who do you think will bring the most fantasy value this upcoming year Sneaky or Rekkles? Will UOL be a force in the EU scene or just a flash in the pan? Let me know what you think in the comments below. Don’t forget to follow on Twitter, Facebook, or through WordPress to get notified when I post again. Have a great day.