Posts Tagged ‘Pobelter’

Group A plays this Thursday, which means every team plays three games. In your daily league you will get the choice of 4 players at each position. This group was the most competitive group of all the groups the first weekend. Every team got at least one win and no team went undefeated. The choices are smaller each day, but knowing the strengths of the teams helps us decide on whom we should pick. Here is a quick breakdown of each team, and who should be the best bang for their buck (I will be using Alphadraft’s salary for my examples of this post)

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Pain Gaming – Even though they did beat Flash Wolves in a game, they will have the lowest fantasy point total of the 4 teams. The one thing that Pain has done well in their games is group and get picks. They have the highest kill participation of their members of every team (all 5 players are in the top 20 of Kill Participation). However they didn’t have a single person in the top 20 of kills or assists. For that reason I don’t think any of the pain members are worth buying for this group. If you have to buy someone for cheap Kami is your best bet.

 

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Flash Wolves – The Flash Wolves were never out of a game the first weekend. They were upset by Pain, but they were winning most of the game. They didn’t have any huge performances from their players, at least no one player had a 40-50 point game. They did have a few that showed they could be worth getting when the price is right. The ones to look out for are Steak, Karsa, and Swordart. Steak has particularly good value for these match-ups, and played even with Smeb and Zion the opening games.

 

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Counter Logic Gaming – CLG is tied for first, but showed that they are beatable. They had some fantasy studs the first weekend though. If you take away the Koo game Doublelift and Pobelter had 1 death between them. Doublelift had 14 kills in the three games (13 in the two games against FW and PNG) and Pobelter had 27 assists in the three games (he had 2 in the game against Koo). These are the two that I think are worth owning in any lineup you make. If you don’t end up with both of them than Doublelift should be given the edge because he will usually lead the team in kills. Both Zion and Aphro are great pickups too, but I think you can get more value from the other team’s top and support.

 

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Koo Tigers – Even though Koo lost their first match-up against FW it appears that they are the best team out of the four. I would be comfortable with owning any of the Koo players for the three games this Thursday, but if you want to hedge your bet with some other team’s players than these are the three that should perform best. Gorilla had 2 great games and 1 mediocre game, but since he is $400 cheaper than Aphro and the same price as Swordart I think you get the most value with him as your support. Pray is also a great buy. Pray is $600 cheaper than Doublelift and the same price as NL/Kkramer, even though he finished with only 1 less kill, and 3 more assists than Double. The bot lane for Koo could be a steal. The last buy should be Hojin. He is the best jungler of all the group A teams and is only a little more expensive despite putting up much bigger numbers throughout the games.

 

Here is a lineup that I’m running

Top – FW Steak $6900

Jung – Koo Hojin $7600

Mid – CLG Pobelter $7900

ADC – Koo Pray $8000

Support –  Koo Gorilla $7100

Flex – CLG Doublelift $8600

Team – Koo Tigers $3800

 

Who do you think will break out on day 1? let us know in the comments below or tweet us @FANTASYRIFTcom. Good luck to you all this week, and enjoy the games.

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There are just two weeks remaining in the summer split of the LCS. Some of you may be in a heated battle for first place in your league, maybe you just couldn’t string together enough wins so you are in the middle of the pack, or you are just trying to get out of last place with the final weeks. Either way the season has been an enjoyable one so far. Here are my results from last week (Had some really close calls on my support picks) and then my picks for week 8.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Viz 30 59.49 W
Helios 24 10.99 L
PowerofEvil 37 71.75 W
CandyPanda 42 20.79 L
Kasing 24 23.53 L
UoL 24 36 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Dyrus 35 20.51 W
Amazing 34 28.19 W
Febevin 42 61.53 L
Freeze 36 10.03 W
BunnyFuFu 45 44.26 W
CLG 34 38 L
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 39W-31L-1T

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Cabochard (proj: 25pts) Cabo has scored more than 25 four times this split, and with match-ups against Origen and UoL (both teams are good) he will do just enough to get over the 25 point mark.

Jung- Fr3deric (proj: 25pts) Fr3deric has been neither a fantasy stud or a fantasy dud. He averages right at 28 points a week, and with match-ups against Roccat and H2K that is probably what he will end up with this week.

Mid- Ryu (proj: 36pts) H2K hasn’t been as dominant as of late, but their match-ups this week (giants and CW) are too good to pass up. Ryu will end up with just above his average of 40 points for week 7.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 38pts) Apollo has been one of the best ADC’s this split, his worst week was over 33 points and his best was 71. Match-ups against TSM and TDK don’t scream fantasy points, but he is a consistent scoring machine. Look for him to get in the mid 40’s this week.

Supp- Adrian (proj: 29pts) Who is the 2nd highest scoring support in the summer split? If you guessed Adrian you are right. The bot lane for TiP has quietly been one of the biggest reasons they are winning games, and you should expect that to continue.

Team- Giants (proj: 22pts) Giants average 24 points a week, and they have broken 30 the last two weeks. They won’t go 2-0 this week, but they will do enough to get in the mid 20’s.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top- Flarez (proj: 30pts) Flarez has managed a score of more than 30 only twice this split. If he was an option for you, he shouldn’t be.

Jung- Move (proj: 42pts) Move has been a consistent fantasy producer this split, but only breaking 42 points twice so far means he is a great fold option with that projection. He will probably finish right around his average of 37 points.

Mid- Pobelter (proj:41pts) 37, 19.5, 17.3 those are the last three weeks for Pobelter. He was the highest scoring mid laner after week 4, but he has now fallen to the 5th. He will still have a good week, but won’t quite hit the 40 point barrier.

ADC- Otter (proj: 35pts) When looking at the numbers this is a fair projection for Otter. However, given last week’s results and this weeks opponents it doesn’t look good for Enemy. 28 points is about where Otter will end up.

Supp- Hylissang (proj: 31pts) After 2 big weeks for Hylissang (and UoL), it seems as though he will come back down to the mean. He currently averages 28 points a week, but before the last 2 weeks he was closer to the 24 point mark. UoL probably won’t win both of their games given the jungle switch, therefore Hylissang will not prosper in week 7.

Team- Enemy (proj: 28pts) Enemy has only broken 20 points twice this split (22, 24). Don’t see why that would change this week against C9 and Liquid. Fold enemy if you were considering them.

 

Who are your week 8 All-in or Fold candidates?

The fantasy LCS season is finally upon us. I am very excited for the new season.  I personally can’t wait to see if FNC can carry their momentum from last split? If SK will fall off without “godgiven?” Will UoL continue their climb as one of the best European teams? Can Elements rebound from a disappointing season? Will the veterans of Origen be able to carry them to a top 3 finish? Can H2K capture their win streak from the end of last split and carry that momentum into the summer split? And all of this is just the EU LCS. In NA, I can’t wait to see if TSM can recapture their dominance of last split or if the MSI was what they will be know that teams have figured out how they work? Can C9 regain its former glory without Hai? Will either of the new LCS teams (TDK or NME) be able to make a splash in their first split i.e. Team 8, H2K, or UoL? Can Liquid finally start clicking on a week to week basis like they showed the last week of the spring split and in the playoffs? Will CLG finally get over the hump of a late season collapse? Is Team 8 a spring split fluke or a team to be reckoned with? So many questions going into this split which should make for an exciting year!

This is the first of a weekly series I like to call “all-in or fold.” The way it works is I give one person for each position that I think will outscore their projection, they will be the “all-in” candidates for the week. Then I will give one person for each position that I think will underscore their projection, they will be the “fold” candidates for the week. So know that we all know how it works lets get into the nitty-gritty!

All-in (players that I think will outscore their projections)

Top – GMB CaboChard (projection: 31pts) I’m really high on Gambit this year. I think with the progress they made the end of last split, and adding Forg1ven has made them very formidable. They also have decent match-ups in week 1 against Elements and Roccat. I would start any and all Gambit players if given the chance, but CaboChard is the most appealing based on his projection.

Jungle – Liquid IWillDominate (projection: 30pts) I think Dom could see a big week 1 much like last split. Liquid is up against TDK and T8. Even though Team 8 fared well against enemy junglers last split, I think he will do well enough against them, and score pretty big against TDK. I would guess he will get around 38-42 points this week so go all-in!

Mid – CLG Pobelter (projection: 35pts) I’ve always had high hopes for Pobelter and he has let me down more often that not. But I’m going to put myself out their again this week and assume he will be able to put up similar points as Link did last year (possibly more if “communication” isn’t an issue). We all know that Pobelter is a solo q monster and he gets the privilege of playing Dig and Impulse, which should allow room for him to surpass his projection.

ADC – OG Niels (projection: 36pts) I’m still really unsure what to expect out of Origen. They have 4 players that have been there and then Niels who was a monster throughout the CS scene. If Origen didn’t have favorable match-ups for week 1 (Giants and H2K) I would say wait and see with most of their team, but instead I’m saying go all-in on Niels!

Support – FNC Yellowstar (projection: 25pts) I think FNC could have a disappointing week in comparison to some of the weeks they had last split, but 25 pts from Yellowstar is just too low. This one was too easy! Go all-in on Yellowstar.

Team – H2K (projection: 29pts) H2K is the other team that I think very highly of this Fantasy split. They face Origen and Roccat this week, which could very easily be 2 wins. If there is anything I learned from last split is that when a team goes 2-0 in a week they almost always break the 30 point threshold. H2K is a go for week 1.

 

Fold (players that I think will underscore their projections)

Top – T8 CaliTrlolz (projection: 27pts) Cali is the shot caller and one of the main play-makers for Team 8 and that lead them to a surprising late season surge last split. I think he could have some big weeks again this split, but I don’t think week 1 will be that week. He plays against Impact and Quas (arguably the two best top laners in NA). Because of the match-ups I am going to fold on Cali this week.

Jungle – C9 Meteos (projection: 40pts) C9 is the team that got me interested in the LCS 2 years ago so I always want to see them succeed. But week 1 for Meteos will be hard to get to the 40 point mark. Even though he was one of the better fantasy options from C9 last split he still didn’t exceed his projections consistently. Because of that and facing TSM in the first match-up I have to say 40 points is too much.

Mid – FNC Febiven (projection: 40pts) Febiven was a fantasy surprise (much like his entire team last split). He is able to play safe enough to not give up any advantages in lane, but has the ability to outplay most mid laners in EU. I normally would be high on Febiven, but 40 points is a big number especially when he is facing PowerofEvil and Fox week 1. I think he will still be a good fantasy option but it will probably be more in the 35-37 point range.

ADC – Ele Tabzz (projection: 35pts) Elements did a complete team overhaul, but Tabzz is a familiar face for Froggen. Tabzz is a great ADC and will probably be an excellent option most weeks. However he goes up against 2 of the top 4 teams in UoL and Gambit. I don’t think this will be a breakout week for Tabzz so I’m going to say fold him for week 1.

Support – GV BunnyFuFu (projection: 35pts) BunnyFuFu might be my favorite support in the entire League scene right now. He is able to make plays during all parts of the game, and it seems like he hardly ever makes mistakes. Overall he is a great support, but sometimes he doesn’t always get the most from a fantasy perspective. I think with a change at ADC and Jungle Gravity will have some struggles the first few weeks until they figure each other out. So I don’t think Bunny can reach that 35 point projection,

Team – Dignitas (projection: 18pts) I usually try to pick higher point totals for my fold candidates (gotta be smart about my picks), but Dig has a rough schedule week 1 (CLG and C9). I think Dig will do their normal thing this split win some games here and there but overall be a bottom 3 team. This week I think they will be the lowest scoring team in Fantasy LCS so I would give them a hard fold in week 1.

 

Last split I got 54% of my picks right in my all-in and fold posts. This split I’m shooting for 60% right. I will keep track and post the results in next weeks post so you can see how well I did. Remember these picks aren’t who I think is going to do best or worst at their positions. But it is simply who I think will over perform or under perform their projections. Good luck to all of you in the opening week of the summer split, may your picks be “Legendary” and your opponents get “Shut Down.” As always don’t forget to  follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live.