Posts Tagged ‘Soren’

First off here are my final results from my week 9 all-in and fold picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Quas 33 31.71 L
Airwaks 30 49.02 W
Fenix 37 41.8 W
Woolite 34 32.3 L
Unlimited 31 46.81 W
CW 32 25 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Avalon 32 49.99 L
Kikis 31 10.36 W
Slooshi8 35 13.79 W
Doulbelift 40 45 L
Lustboy 41 18.96 W
CLG 28 20 W
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 41W-35L

Overall, I would give myself a B grade on my all-in and fold picks. I had a really good week 1, and then was right around .500% on my picks from there. Overall finished with a 41-35 record which is 54% correct. I plan on improving on that next split and I’m going to try and get a 60% win-rate next time. This was my first year participating in Fantasy LCS and I wanted to share my observations that I learned from this split. So without further a due, here…we…go!

One Team Gambles

I noticed throughout the split that it is OK to gamble on 1 team’s players if they have very favorable match-ups. Most sports don’t always give you 4-5 high scoring fantasy options. However, League of Legends relies so much on team fighting and when a team is doing well all the players benefit. So don’t be afraid to have 4-5 players/team from one team if you see they have two weak opponents for the week. Also, if a team shows they are at a higher level than their opponents (this split it was FNC, SK, and TSM) it is safe to have multiple players from their roster because they consistently scored at a high rate. This is something that I will be more comfortable doing during the Summer Split of Fantasy LCS and you should too.

Consistency Matters

This one should be a no-brainer for most, but it is worth noting. Some players score lots of points one week, but then don’t score as many the next (feast or famine as some would call them, Odoamne is an example). Some players always score below the average (Mancloud). And others always seem to put up above average points every single week. (Forg1venre, Yellowstar, Huni to name a few). The guys that win you the league are going to be the guys who can score slightly above their counterparts average every single week. For example, Wildturtle who I think was going in the 2nd-3rd round in most drafts to start the year never fell out of the top 10 in any week. As far as I can see he was the only ADC who can say that, even godgiven himself was out of the top 10 two weeks (Keith also pulled this off, but only played 3 weeks so doesn’t count). WildTurtle only finished top 3 in 3 weeks (still really good considering how good some ADCs played this split), but as I said before never fell out of the top 10. This is what you want out of your fantasy players someone who will consistently be in or around the top scorers at their position. This causes less dilemma when deciding on who you need to play week to week.

Ride the “Hot Hands”

This mantra can be true in almost all fantasy sports the person who is playing well should continue to be started until they come back down to earth. For example, in weeks 3-5 both Soren and Freeze for CW were in the top 5 scorers at their position for that stretch. If you picked them up after their first big week (week 3) and rode them the next 3 weeks, you probably won week 4 and 5 because of the points they put up. Or perhaps you jumped on the Impact bandwagon during week 6 and rode him to victories the next two weeks (50 points each week). This is something I didn’t do much this year, because I was afraid to drop a “bigger” name for someone who had a good week, but next split I think it is worth it to gamble on a guy who has a big week, and good match-ups the next week because you might get to ride their hot streak for a week or 2. Or you get super lucky and you grab Huni, or Steelback after week 1 and have a force practically every week from there on out.

Overall Fantasy LCS is a lot like other fantasy sports the people that pay attention and are willing to make moves are probably going to do well, but you also have those that just get a few “lucky” or “calculated” picks that work out perfectly for them. I was a feast or famine player my first year finishing 1st in 2 leagues and 7th in my other 2 (21-15 was my overall record in the 4 leagues). I am looking forward to the next split and know that I will do better because of the things I learned from this split. What is something you learned from this split that you would like to share with the community?

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. I will post a few times during the playoffs with some Legendary and Shut Down posts. Have a wonderful day and see you next split!

Week 5 has come and gone, and what a great week of games. The powerhouse teams looked vulnerable, and the middle teams looked good. The final weeks of the season are going to be fun to watch to see what the final standings are going to be. It was hard to pick the games of the week this week, because at least 6 or 7 were worth watching from the competitive/upset nature of those games. So I ended up picking the ones that I enjoyed most. Also, I went 3-1 in my leagues this week first week not to go 2-2 (GO ME)!

Legendary

(Players that played well or scored much better than their fantasy projections)

Freeze, Airwaks, and Soren – These guys are carrying hard right now. They have now put together three straight really good weeks. If you happen to own them in Fantasy you have also been very happy with their performances. Great work by these three. I would assume going forward these are guys to own if they are available in your league.

WildTurtle – Just watch the TSM game in the games of the week below, and you will see why he was Legendary this week. Had 65 points and lost me one of my matches by 5 points because of his back to back Pentakill to Quadra kill. He had great positioning and aggressiveness when needed.

Hai – Hai hasn’t had the best few weeks of the LCS, but this week he seemed to be his old self. Playing aggressively, trying to cause havoc in other lanes and the jungle, and initiating team fights. He was allowed to play one of his best and most comfortable champs in both games (Zed) so not surprised C9 went 2-0 this week.

 

Shut Down

(Players that played poorly or scored lower than their fantasy projections)

Nyph – I’m officially saying Nyph isn’t worth owning unless there are absolutely no other supports. This is three weeks now where he has gone less than 25 (2 of them he scored less than 11). Until Elements shows they can get their stuff together I’m willing to sell him. Plus, with how Rekkles plays, I don’t think it allows much play-making for Nyph which hurts his fantasy value.

SK and UoL Teams – The individual players played good from a fantasy perspective, but they were either behind in their games, or got meaningless kills which lead to no towers, objectives, or objective control. They both scored WAY lower than they should of, and I’d imagine they lost some people their matchups.

Coast (all players) – Every Coast player scored in the bottom 6 this week, it would have been bottom 5 if not for Nyph. No one scored more than 16 points on their team this week. They got DESTROYED (surrendered at 23 min) in their first game, and then followed it up by getting Crushed in the 2nd game (32 min game). None of their players are worth owning at this point.

Games of the Week

TSM vs Liquid (This was the game that wouldn’t end. The game should have been over 3 different times. By far the most fun game of the week)

Elements vs Giants (I didn’t know what to think at the end of this one. When the game is over look at Froggen’s face)

C9 vs TiP (Classic C9 game, objective control, getting early leads, and pushing their advantages. The other C9 game is also good, but the first win was how C9 used to dominate the mediocre or bad teams in the LCS)

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog via WordPress, Facebook, or Twitter. How did your team(s) do in week 5? Let me know in the comments below.

Week 3 was unkind to me. I managed another 2-2, but my 2 losses were pretty bad. I made some bad calls in my all-in and fold, and I was really busy so didn’t get to watch the games as closely as I typically like to. I think after next week we will finally be able to see some real trends from teams, players, and how they will score for us in fantasy. And it is looking like some teams are really starting to show their dominance over their regions (SK, FNC, TSM, and CLG). I’m really looking forward to see how things play out the next few weeks in the LCS.

Legendary

(Players that played well or scored much better than their fantasy projections)

Gambit Gaming – I thought Gambit looked a little better last week even though they went 0-2. Then I call out their bot lane in my week 3 All-in and Fold post, and their team scored points, and then some more points. They had 4 of the top 6 point scorers this week. Overall fun games, and got their first win of the split.

Link – CLG has looked like a machine so far this season (except that week 1 hiccup) and a big part of it is how well Link has played. He put up another big week and so far has scored 60 pts (week 3), 40 pts (week 2), and 50 pts (week 1). So if you took a gamble on Link then he is paying big dividends for you. I thought he would do well this year because of CLG’s team and coach, and so far he is doing just that.

EU Junglers – EU Junglers outplayed the NA Junglers in week 3. In fact EU had the top 7 scoring Junglers this week. EU pulled out the jungle Nidalee (which I don’t know why Riot continues to buff and allow her to be so strong after they nerf her a little). I thought EU junglers were more impressive early game than NA this week too. They created kills and pressure for their laners which results in lots of points for them and their teams. EU is probably going to be kills, kills, and more kills. So invest in EU players from here on out.

Soren and Freeze – CW went 2-0 this week and these two guys played out of their minds. Highest scorers of week 3, and both were making plays. They both played great and as a result led their team to wins, and most likely led your fantasy team to a win if you played them.

Shut Down

(Players that played poorly or scored lower than their fantasy projections)

Rydle, Nisbeth, and Voidle– the life of a support can be hard, especially if you team falls behind early. All three of these guys were victims of their team falling behind and they tried to make plays, sometimes went in by themselves and other times they just got instakilled. All three of these guys scored less than 10 points. Support is hard. (unless you are Aprhomoo, then it is easy)

NA – NA had a lot of low kill quick games this week, and very one sided games. So for the most part NA players scored worse than their projections. NA teams seem to play more “calculated” and careful, which leads to low kill games, and frankly games that are a little more boring to watch for the common fan. But when you are a fan of methodically winning a game, there were some fun ones from the NA this week. From a fantasy perspective though. NA was BAD this week.

Team Coast – Coast had some of the highest scoring players at each position coming into the week, and then this week they played terrible. All 5 of their players were in the bottom 14 of points scored this week. Sorry if you owned and started any of these guys this week, because if you did you probably didn’t win.

Games of the Week

Dig vs. Team Liquid (Dig came to play in week 3. Looked good early in both games, and took it to Liquid)

UoL vs. FNC (great back and forth game, had a nidalee jungle, and a top lane fizz. Crazy game)

UoL vs. CW (Another high scoring game, lots of action, and a surprising ending)

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog via WordPress, Facebook, or Twitter. How did your team(s) do in week 3? Let me know in the comments below.