Posts Tagged ‘Team Liquid’

Week 2 had lots of surprises both in the games and some of the player switches and roster issues. It looks like those situations will continue into week 3 with more visa issues on some of the EU rosters, and a few more roster changes in NA. The echo fox NRG game getting cancelled cost me 2 players in my week 2 picks, but still ended with a good week. I look to continue my success in my week 3 picks.

allin

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projection)

Top – Vit CaboChard (30pts) Cabo hasn’t had the best season so far, but I think week 3 is where he finally puts it together. Vitality has another week of working together and they face Giants and H2k which should give Cabo some opportunities to shine.

Jungle – TSM Svenskeren (29pts) I’m high on TSM and CLG this week. So when I see Svens is under 30 points it was a no-brainer all-in for me. TSM has two tough opponents in NRG and C9 but they are the better team from top to bottom than both and have been able to win some games without playing well yet.

Mid – NRG GBM (30pts) We haven’t gotten to see a lot of GBM so far this season, but in his few games he has shown he can make some plays. His opponents are Bjergsen and Fenix both will challenge him in different ways. I do think that 30 points for him is too low. Even if NRG loses both games this week GBM and Impact will have good weeks.

ADC – CLG Stixxay (34pts) So far in the young season Stixxay has looked good then bad then good again. With matchups against Echo Fox and Renegades I expect the CLG bot lane to shine. I would expect a 2-0 week for them, and 40+ points for the young ADC.

Support – CLG Aphromoo (26pts) Aphromoo has always been a guy who can put up big points, but he also can be overly aggressive leading to tough weeks (last week). I do believe his playmaking will result in huge points for him and CLG.

Team – TSM (25pts) TSM is primed for a 2-0 week, even with tough opponents they have started to look a little better in their team play. I think another week of working together and learning to trust each other in team fights we will see a dominant TSM team. I think week 3 is the beginning of that.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projection)

Top – Odoamne (35pts) H2K has put more focus on their bot lane and mid lane this year than last. As a result Odoamne hasn’t been the fantasy monster we have come to expect. Even though he will still be a good top laner when the season is over I don’t see him having a big week against Vit and Roccat.

Jungle – FNC Spirit (37pts) Fnatic has a slightly easier schedule this week than their last two (Splyce and G2). I think FNC will go 2-0 but Spirit has two weeks of 30 points and until he shows he can be more than that I won’t go all-in on him this week.

Mid – UoL Fox (42pts) UoL has played really well to start the year, but not being able to have Diamond for the forseeable future hurts what they have been doing so far. As a result I don’t love UoL in week 3.

ADC – Dig Apollo (38pts) Dignitas plays Impulse and C9 in week 3 and they have done their usual surprise everyone to start the split. They could surprise us again and pull out a 2-0 week again, but I think C9 will beat them and who knows what will happen when they play TIP. Overall I see Apollo getting in the mid to low 30’s when the week 3 dust settles.

Support – UoL Hylissang (34pts) Hylissang hasn’t scored 32 points in either of the first 2 weeks. With the team being down a player and facing G2 and Elements (both teams have been playing well) Hylissang won’t be able to get that 34 points.

Team – Liquid (31pts) Liquid still hasn’t figured out their issues, but they have been competitive in all 4 games. Teams almost always have to go 2-0 to surpass 30 points. Liquid faces NRG and Impulse. This could be the week they could be 2-0 but I see them finishing 1-1 and around 25 points.

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. I also set up a Patreon page for anyone interested. Good luck to everyone week 3.

Week 1 of the LCS is in the past, and it was surprisingly anti-climatic. There were many lopsided games, and some games went way longer than many anticipated without great fantasy lines. This usually happens in week 1 as all the players and teams are getting used to playing with each other again, playing on the stage, and just getting used to the new patch and play styles. Don’t have major reactions to players and teams after one week, give the players and teams three weeks before making real judgments about what they will be this split. I had lots of success in week 1 going 3-1 in my fantasy leagues, making $5 in a daily league and going 9-3 on my picks, but that is in the past and we are on to week 2!

week 1 allin fold

All-in (players that will over perform their projections)

Top – IMT Huni (30 pts) Huni scored under 30 last week, but the beat down of TiP didn’t allow for many points for anyone on the team. I expect Huni to score in the high 30’s this week as IMT faces TSM and NRG.

Jungle – REN Crumbz (26 pts) Usually Crumbz isn’t going to be a great pick in fantasy since his play style is more controlled and calculated, but he had a good week last week and this week Renegades faces Dig and TiP because of those match=ups I see another 30 point performance from the seasoned veteran.

Mid – Fox Froggen (32 pts) Froggen only mustered 23 points last week, but he had a tough game 2. This week he faces NRG and Liquid. I don’t think he will blow this projection out of the water, but I see him finishing the week around the 35 point mark.

ADC – NRG Altec (37 pts) I’m still skeptical on how good NRG will actually be this split, but one thing is for sure at this point, Altec is the most consistent ADC out there. Altec only has 2 weeks of under 37 points in his last 10 weeks of the LCS. Even though I think NRG will go 1-1 this week I expect Altec to end the week with his usual 44 point week.

Support – REN Remi (26 pts) Remi showed some jitters in week 1 with a few misplays, but overall she performed really well. Since Renegades has an easier week, and they seem to play well together, Remi should have another strong fantasy week.

Team – Immortals (26 pts) Going into the season I though IMT would be a top 3 LCS team, and after week 1 I feel pretty good about that. Even though they face tough competition this week, I still expect them to win both games.

 

Fold (players that will under perform their projections)

Top – H2K Odoamne (37 pts) Odo has been one of my favorite top laners since his first appearance in the LCS. He is consistent and can be a huge threat when given the resources. I think he will have a good week, but not quite 37 points. FNC knows how to alter their tactics to their opponent, and kikis might have some crazy pick that Odo isn’t ready for. These factors make me think a 32 point week is in the works for Odo.

Jungle – C9 Rush (44 pts) We all know that Rush can go off in any given moment, but I don’t think this will be that week. CLG and Impulse are his match-ups, so 1 game will be methodical and low kills (CLG) the other will probably be a 30 minute win (impulse). Because of those factors 44 seems a bit to steep for Rush to get.

Mid – TSM Bjergsen (49 pts) TSM still has to figure out who gets what resources and how they are going to play before I see Bjerg getting 50 point weeks. I wouldn’t say sit him but I 49 is too many points against IMT and Dig.

ADC – C9 Sneaky (48 pts) The main reason I have Sneaky here is the same as Bjerg and Rush, the point projection is just to high to get to. Sneaky will end up in the low 40’s but don’t foresee him getting to the 50 point mark.

Support – TL Smoothie (31 pts) I would imagine this projection will drop since Matt will probably start at least one game. Even if Smoothie does play both I don’t think a 30+ week is in the works. TL played well both games, and they face CLG and Fox which both are winnable games but I’m not ready to go all-in on Team Liquid players that aren’t Piglet.

Team – Liquid (29 pts) Over the last 2 LCS splits teams don’t usually break 28 points unless the go 2-0. Obviously there have been some exceptions, but it is too hard to score big points if you don’t win. Although Liquid has winnable games, I don’t see a 2-0 week for them.

As always, don’t forget to follow the blog, follow me on twitter, or like me on facebook so you can be informed when a new article goes live. I also set up a Patreon page for anyone interested. Good luck to everyone week 2.

 

 

 

Week 1 was rather anti-climatic featuring far more blowouts than close games. There were a few surprises that came out of week 1 though. Origen dominating both of their games, Dig getting shut out and then shutting out C9, NME beating Gravity, and Gambit looking terrible in their first two games. My picks from last week weren’t quite what I expected. I had a really good chance after the 1st day for my EU picks and the 1st day of my NA picks, but day 2 ruined quite a few of my picks (Dig, Cali, Febiven, and H2K). That is the beauty of fantasy sports, we can look at all the data and sometimes it doesn’t work out how you expect. Here are my results from week 1.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
CaboChard 31 16.75 L
IWillDominate 30 57.5 W
Pobelter 35 64.44 W
Niels 36 53.52 W
YellowStar 25 47.85 W
H2K 29 22 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Calitrlolz 27 31.34 L
Meteos 40 31.77 W
Febiven 40 55.22 L
Tabzz 35 49.13 L
BunnyFuFu 35 47.1 L
Dignitas 18 24 L
This Week W-L 5W-7L Total W-L 5W-7L

Here are my week 2 picks (better than week 1 I’m hoping):

All-in (the players I think will score more than their projections)

Top – Huni (proj: 32 pts) I typically don’t like putting the person who is usually the best at their position as my all-in candidate, but Fanatic is facing the 2 teams that gave up the most fantasy points in Gambit and Giants. As a result, I would expect between 50-60 points for Huni this week.

Jungle – IWillDominate (proj: 32pts) Dom played fantastic in week 1 and faces two weak opponents in week 2 (NME and Gravity). Dominate is a high pressure jungler and that creates opportunities for him and his laners to get fantasy points. I fully expect Liquid to have another 2-0 week, but even if they don’t I think they will all put up some pretty big numbers.

Mid – Fenix (proj: 37pts) NME and Gravity both allowed over 22 points a game to the opponent’s mid laner in week 1. Because of that and Fenix’s ability I fully expect him to be one of the top scorers this week from the mid lane.

ADC – Niels (proj: 36pts) I’m riding the Niels train at least one more week. Origen was picked by many to have a really good split, and they didn’t disappoint in week 1. They face SK and CW who both give up points to the opponents ADC. Expect another BIG week from Niels.

Support – Hylissang (proj: 33pts) I think UoL will have a better week 2 than they had week 1. They have been a very inconsistent team since they have joined the LCS (six 1-1 weeks, and two 0-2 weeks), but they have the team play and ability to have 2-0 weeks. I think Hylissang will have a few big initiations against CW and Roc that will lead to a big week from a fantasy perspective.

Team – FNC (proj: 31pts) See Huni’s description for this pick. I would guess 34-36 points, unless one of the games ends in just over 30 min to negate the advantages FNC has over their opponents. My other pick here was going to be UoL.

Fold (the players I think will score less than their projection)

Top – Freddy122 (proj: 34pts) I thought SK was going to drop off hard after their disappointing end to the Spring split, and they didn’t show much of anything week 1. Even though Giants doesn’t shut down enemy top laners, I don’t think Freddy will score enough against them to overcome what could happen in the Origen game. I would fold Freddy if he is on your team.

Jungle – Diamond (proj: 29pts) I was really high on GMB coming into the split, and I still think they will be a good team, but my expectations have been altered (I try not to overreact too much from one week’s results). Diamond is a player who can be the best jungler for 3 weeks in a row (think week 5-7 of last split) then he will look like one of the worst for a 2 week stretch (see the first 2 weeks from last split). The matchups against H2K and FNC don’t excite me very much for the GMB players.

Mid – Slooshi8 (proj:38pts) Team 8 did a few things right in week 1, but they did more things wrong. I think they will get beat fairly easily against CLG and will probably win against Dig. I don’t foresee Slooshi being able to pick up 35+ points from those two match-ups.

ADC – CoreJJ (proj: 36pts) Even though Dig won their game against C9. I still think they will be some of the worst fantasy options all season. They play Team 8 and TDK, which may be enough to make some of their players fantasy relevant but I’m not going to be making that gamble.

Support – nRated (proj: 39pts) nRated is a good support, but SK looked lost in their week 1 matchups. On top of that nRated only broke 35 pts scored 4 times last split with a better ADC. I was tempted to put a few more SK players on my fold list, but I will keep it at 2 for the week.

Team – Gambit (proj: 24pts) Are you seeing a trend? I don’t like Gambit or SK this week. And probably as a result both will play great and make me eat my words. Hey, that’s the fun in trying to make weekly picks you either look brilliant or you look like a chump.

 

As always don’t forget to  follow the blog, follow on Twitter, or “like” H2hhombre on Facebook so you can get updated as soon as a new post goes live.Who are your All-in or Fold picks for week 2? Let me know in the comments below.