We are now over half way through the Spring Split of the LCS. The first half had some great games, big upsets, and some teams we thought would be at the top that have struggled some (Roccat, Elements, C9, Liquid). There have also been a few teams that had big question marks around their teams that have exceeded expectations so far (Winterfox, CW, FNC, Gravity). The next 4 weeks should have lots of great games, and the playoff push will be fun to watch for teams trying to miss relegation tournaments for the summer split. I think with this added pressure some of the teams will play “tighter” than usual, so we could see some lower scoring games the next few weeks. We also could see some of the teams at the bottom play with no pressure and score huge points. So pay attention to some of those lower team guys and keep them on your watch list. Enough of all my talking (or typing whatever you want to call it), here are my week 5 results followed by my week 6 picks.
|All-in||Projected||Actual||W or L|
|Fold||Projected||Actual||W or L|
|This Week W-L||4W-2L||Total W-L||28W-24L|
All-In (players that I think will exceed their projections)
Top – CaliTrlolz8 (Projected: 22pts) Cali has struggled and put up great points in the first 5 weeks. Team 8 plays Dig and Impulse so I expect both games to be competitive and could potentially be blood baths. I expect Cali to easily suppress his projection this week. So all-in for me.
Jungle- Saintvicious (Projected: 28pts) Saint hasn’t had a “big” week yet, and I don’t think he will have one this week. However I do think he will be able to create some opportunities for his team this week playing against Liquid and Coast. My guess is around the 34-36 point range for Saint.
Mid – Fox (Projected: 33pts) SK had its first bad week last week, and I don’t think that it will be a trend. I fully expect them to bounce back this week and all of their players will score good points this week. Fox has done well all year, and playing against (UoL and Elements) tough competition I don’t think that will stop him from being able to score some points.
ADC – CoreJJ (Projected: 36pts) Dig has been playing much better since Crumbzz stepped down. They are playing more aggressive and you can tell they are enjoying playing together. They still have communication issues and they aren’t really all that good from top to bottom. However, I think they have quite a few options that can score points this week, and as a result I’m all-in on CoreJJ.
Support – Edward (Projected: 26pts) Gambit plays Roccat and CW this week, and they way Gambit has been playing the last 2 weeks, I don’t see them slowing down much. Edward has been back to his old ways of creating options and making plays for his team, and because of that I foresee another 30+ week from him.
Team – H2K (Projected: 31pts) H2K is on a roll, and even when they don’t win they score points. It seems like they know who they are and are trusting each other in the game. With match-ups against Roccat and Giants this week. I can easily see a 2-0 week for them and with 2 wins means likely that they break the 30 point mark.
Fold (players that I think will score less than their projections)
Top – Quas (Projected: 31pts) Quas has been a consistent scorer if you remove the week 2 result, scoring about 32 points a week. I think this week will be one of those weeks that he goes below the 30 mark threshold. He faces Hauntzer(gravity) and Zion(CLG) this week so with two tough opponents I think one of those games will force Quas to make a mistake or get starved of resources and limit his ability to help carry Liquid. I’m going to fold Quas this week.
Jungle- IWillDominate (Projected: 32pts) I love the way Dominate plays, but I think this week he will struggle a little. He is aggressive and sometimes reckless and when facing teams that are willing to counter that aggression with map pressure or with traps he will struggle. So because of the match-ups this week I wouldn’t feel comfortable with him being my option at Jungle.
Mid – NukeDuck (Projected: 29pts) I think NukeDuck has been over-hyped and over talked about when Roccat plays. He always seems to be behind, and always tries to pick assassin champs that limit his ability in team fights. All in all I don’t think NukeDuck is worth owning unless Roccat really figures it out, but I don’t foresee that happening this week against Gambit and H2K. I don’t own him in any of my leagues and if I did I would drop him for someone else.
ADC – Altec (Projected: 33pts) Last time I put Altec here he put up 60+ points, but I think with games against C9 and CLG that won’t happen. Winterfox has played better than most expected so far, but CLG and C9 have also played well and are arguably the best team in NA. I think this is the week Winterfox struggles.
Support – Hylissang (Projected: 27pts) Unicorns play Sk and MYM so one game will probably be close (SK) and the other will probably be an easy win for UoL (MYM). Hylissang is a great team fighting support, but outside of his one 40+ week he averages right around 27 points. I think this week he won’t quite get there. I would fold Hylissang if he is your support.
Team – Gravity (Projected: 26pts) Gravity has only put up two weeks of 26 points are more this season. Because of that stat I can’t see them breaking that threshold this week. They are 5-5 which means they will probably go 1-1 again since they are playing Liquid and Coast (the Liquid game is the one I think they will lose). This is a gamble because it could very easily be a 2-0 week for them, but I’m trusting my guy here and folding on Gravity.
Let me know who your all-in and fold candidates will be for week 6 in the comments below? As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. Have a wonderful day and good luck fellow fantasy LCS players!