We are now over half way through the Spring Split of the LCS. The first half had some great games, big upsets, and some teams we thought would be at the top that have struggled some (Roccat, Elements, C9, Liquid). There have also been a few teams that had big question marks around their teams that have exceeded expectations so far (Winterfox, CW, FNC, Gravity). The next 4 weeks should have lots of great games, and the playoff push will be fun to watch for teams trying to miss relegation tournaments for the summer split. I think with this added pressure some of the teams will play “tighter” than usual, so we could see some lower scoring games the next few weeks. We also could see some of the teams at the bottom play with no pressure and score huge points. So pay attention to some of those lower team guys and keep them on your watch list. Enough of all my talking (or typing whatever you want to call it), here are my week 5 results followed by my week 6 picks.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
ZionSpartan 31 34.91 W
Fenix 28 27.73 L
Nrated 25 25.62 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Dyrus 33 16.41 W
XiaoWeiXiao 38 28.62 W
Liquid 27 40 L
This Week W-L 4W-2L Total W-L 28W-24L

 

All-In (players that I think will exceed their projections)

Top – CaliTrlolz8 (Projected: 22pts) Cali has struggled and put up great points in the first 5 weeks. Team 8 plays Dig and Impulse so I expect both games to be competitive and could potentially be blood baths. I expect Cali to easily suppress his projection this week. So all-in for me.

Jungle- Saintvicious (Projected: 28pts) Saint hasn’t had a “big” week yet, and I don’t think he will have one this week. However I do think he will be able to create some opportunities for his team this week playing against Liquid and Coast. My guess is around the 34-36 point range for Saint.

Mid – Fox (Projected: 33pts) SK had its first bad week last week, and I don’t think that it will be a trend. I fully expect them to bounce back this week and all of their players will score good points this week. Fox has done well all year, and playing against (UoL and Elements) tough competition I don’t think that will stop him from being able to score some points.

ADC – CoreJJ (Projected: 36pts) Dig has been playing much better since Crumbzz stepped down. They are playing more aggressive and you can tell they are enjoying playing together. They still have communication issues and they aren’t really all that good from top to bottom. However, I think they have quite a few options that can score points this week, and as a result I’m all-in on CoreJJ.

Support – Edward (Projected: 26pts) Gambit plays Roccat and CW this week, and they way Gambit has been playing the last 2 weeks, I don’t see them slowing down much. Edward has been back to his old ways of creating options and making plays for his team, and because of that I foresee another 30+ week from him.

Team – H2K (Projected: 31pts) H2K is on a roll, and even when they don’t win they score points. It seems like they know who they are and are trusting each other in the game. With match-ups against Roccat and Giants this week. I can easily see a 2-0 week for them and with 2 wins means likely that they break the 30 point mark.

 

Fold (players that I think will score less than their projections)

Top – Quas (Projected: 31pts) Quas has been a consistent scorer if you remove the week 2 result, scoring about 32 points a week. I think this week will be one of those weeks that he goes below the 30 mark threshold. He faces Hauntzer(gravity) and Zion(CLG) this week so with two tough opponents I think one of those games will force Quas to make a mistake or get starved of resources and limit his ability to help carry Liquid. I’m going to fold Quas this week.

Jungle- IWillDominate (Projected: 32pts) I love the way Dominate plays, but I think this week he will struggle a little. He is aggressive and sometimes reckless and when facing teams that are willing to counter that aggression with map pressure or with traps he will struggle. So because of the match-ups this week I wouldn’t feel comfortable with him being my option at Jungle.

Mid – NukeDuck (Projected: 29pts) I think NukeDuck has been over-hyped and over talked about when Roccat plays. He always seems to be behind, and always tries to pick assassin champs that limit his ability in team fights. All in all I don’t think NukeDuck is worth owning unless Roccat really figures it out, but I don’t foresee that happening this week against Gambit and H2K. I don’t own him in any of my leagues and if I did I would drop him for someone else.

ADC – Altec (Projected: 33pts) Last time I put Altec here he put up 60+ points, but I think with games against C9 and CLG that won’t happen. Winterfox has played better than most expected so far, but CLG and C9 have also played well and are arguably the best team in NA. I think this is the week Winterfox struggles.

Support – Hylissang (Projected: 27pts) Unicorns play Sk and MYM so one game will probably be close (SK) and the other will probably be an easy win for UoL (MYM). Hylissang is a great team fighting support, but outside of his one 40+ week he averages right around 27 points. I think this week he won’t quite get there. I would fold Hylissang if he is your support.

Team – Gravity (Projected: 26pts) Gravity has only put up two weeks of 26 points are more this season. Because of that stat I can’t see them breaking that threshold this week. They are 5-5 which means they will probably go 1-1 again since they are playing Liquid and Coast (the Liquid game is the one I think they will lose). This is a gamble because it could very easily be a 2-0 week for them, but I’m trusting my guy here and folding on Gravity.

 

Let me know who your all-in and fold candidates will be for week 6 in the comments below? As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. Have a wonderful day and good luck fellow fantasy LCS players!

Week 5 has come and gone, and what a great week of games. The powerhouse teams looked vulnerable, and the middle teams looked good. The final weeks of the season are going to be fun to watch to see what the final standings are going to be. It was hard to pick the games of the week this week, because at least 6 or 7 were worth watching from the competitive/upset nature of those games. So I ended up picking the ones that I enjoyed most. Also, I went 3-1 in my leagues this week first week not to go 2-2 (GO ME)!

Legendary

(Players that played well or scored much better than their fantasy projections)

Freeze, Airwaks, and Soren – These guys are carrying hard right now. They have now put together three straight really good weeks. If you happen to own them in Fantasy you have also been very happy with their performances. Great work by these three. I would assume going forward these are guys to own if they are available in your league.

WildTurtle – Just watch the TSM game in the games of the week below, and you will see why he was Legendary this week. Had 65 points and lost me one of my matches by 5 points because of his back to back Pentakill to Quadra kill. He had great positioning and aggressiveness when needed.

Hai – Hai hasn’t had the best few weeks of the LCS, but this week he seemed to be his old self. Playing aggressively, trying to cause havoc in other lanes and the jungle, and initiating team fights. He was allowed to play one of his best and most comfortable champs in both games (Zed) so not surprised C9 went 2-0 this week.

 

Shut Down

(Players that played poorly or scored lower than their fantasy projections)

Nyph – I’m officially saying Nyph isn’t worth owning unless there are absolutely no other supports. This is three weeks now where he has gone less than 25 (2 of them he scored less than 11). Until Elements shows they can get their stuff together I’m willing to sell him. Plus, with how Rekkles plays, I don’t think it allows much play-making for Nyph which hurts his fantasy value.

SK and UoL Teams – The individual players played good from a fantasy perspective, but they were either behind in their games, or got meaningless kills which lead to no towers, objectives, or objective control. They both scored WAY lower than they should of, and I’d imagine they lost some people their matchups.

Coast (all players) – Every Coast player scored in the bottom 6 this week, it would have been bottom 5 if not for Nyph. No one scored more than 16 points on their team this week. They got DESTROYED (surrendered at 23 min) in their first game, and then followed it up by getting Crushed in the 2nd game (32 min game). None of their players are worth owning at this point.

Games of the Week

TSM vs Liquid (This was the game that wouldn’t end. The game should have been over 3 different times. By far the most fun game of the week)

Elements vs Giants (I didn’t know what to think at the end of this one. When the game is over look at Froggen’s face)

C9 vs TiP (Classic C9 game, objective control, getting early leads, and pushing their advantages. The other C9 game is also good, but the first win was how C9 used to dominate the mediocre or bad teams in the LCS)

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog via WordPress, Facebook, or Twitter. How did your team(s) do in week 5? Let me know in the comments below.

Sorry for the delay in the post. Internet was cutting in and out yesterday, but it seems to have corrected itself. As a result of the delay I’m going to do a shorter post for this week. Week 4 was a really good week for the LCS, lots of upsets, awesome CLG TSM game, and just some fun games to watch. It also was a really low scoring week in comparison to the last two weeks. As a result of that I had another off week in my projections. I am slightly above .500 so this week I’m going to get that winning record much higher. Here are my week 5 All-in and Fold candidates.

 

All-In

Top- ZionSpartan (Projection: 31pts) Zion is averaging 17 pts a game for a total of 34 pts a week. He has a easy game against Dig, and a tougher matchup against C9. C9 hasn’t been their usual self so I think Zion is capable of scoring some points against them, but he may not have to if he puts up big numbers against Dig. The main thing I have to worry about here is that the Dignitas game isn’t a 25 min blowout win by CLG.

Mid- Fenix (Projection: 28pts) I’m not sure why Fenix is projected so low, he is averaging 34 pts a week. He does face two tough opponents in Pobelter and Bjergsen, but I think he has the ability to play with both of those guys. I think he will come up with a few big plays this week, which will result in him getting to his average of 34 pts.

Support- NRated (Projection: 25pts) NRated plays with the best ADC in Europe right now. Even though NRated hasn’t played as well the last two weeks, he still gets to play with a very aggressive AD and team, which will result in him putting up well over his projected 25 pts. He is a sure fire All-in in my opinion.

 

Fold

Top- Dyrus (Projetion: 33pts) Dyrus has scored better each week of the split, but I think this week he will score just below his projected 33pts. He typically isn’t one to get big kill numbers, but he is a good team fighter which results in high assist numbers. I don’t think either of their games will be 45+ min games, so I don’t expect him to have big numbers. They play Coast and Liquid, who both have good top laners too.

Mid- XiaoWeiXiao (Projection: 38pts) I am a fan of XWX, but I think 38 is to high this week. I’m thinking closer to the 34 mark for him. He plays C9 and Gravity, both have competent mid laners, and so far Impulse has looked good when Impact and Rush get going XWX has been more of a support player this split. That is another factor in why I think he is a fold candidate this week.

Team- Team Liquid (Projection: 27pts) I think Liquid will win their first game against Winterfox, but I expect them to lose to TSM. Most teams don’t break the 25 point mark unless they go 2-0. Plus changing their ADC another time won’t go as seemless as their first week with Keith. Liquid has some great players, but they haven’t been consistent enough in their play for me to trust their team this week.

 

Let me know who your all-in and fold candidates will be for week 5 in the comments below? As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. Have a wonderful day and good luck fellow fantasy LCS players!