The summer split is over and playoffs will begin next weekend. The final week was full of ups and downs, and the final day of the NA LCS was crazy, to say the least (tiebreaker game after tiebreaker game). Overall in my leagues (I participated in 6 this year, four 8-team, two 6-team) I won 2, finished middle of the pack in 3, and dead last in another. So my season was decent, but not as good as it should be. I had a strong finish to the season in my all-in or fold predictions going 15-8 the final 2 weeks. So overall I went 54-39-1, which put me just under my goal of 60% (57.5%). It was a fun year, and I look forward to providing more all-in or fold posts for the upcoming season. During the playoffs I will be doing some recap posts and maybe a few daily draft fantasy picks (alphadraft, vulcun). Here is the final outcome of the week 9 picks.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Balls 23 28.7 W
IWillDominate 28 46.63 W
Pepiinero 35 32.67 L
CoreJJ 31 36.33 W
Hylissang 20 10.14 L
TiP 19 34 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
WerlyB 31 37.26 L
Move 38 19.1 W
Ninja 36 52.83 L
Otter 38 20.11 W
Lustboy 39 23.94 W
Giants 30 32 L
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 54W-39L-1T

 

I will be posting an overview of my preseason rankings compared to the actual outcomes in the next few days. I’m still trying to figure out how to “score/grade” myself on the rankings. If you have any suggestions on how I should rate myself let me know in the comments below. Thanks again for reading during the split, thank you for the support I have received, and even thanks for the criticism, all of those things make me want to get better at both writing and the actual fantasy side of League of Legends.

The season is coming to an end. There have been some surprises (Gravity and Giants) and a fair share of disappointments (CW, C9, and TDK) which have all lead to another great year for the LCS. Week 8 was one of my better weeks for my picks and it would have been even better if Adrian would have been around for his 2nd game (I counted his as not available since it was an unforeseen circumstance that lead him to not playing). As of now I’m sitting at 57% right on my picks for the year, so I will need a big 9 win week to get to the 60% mark I was shooting for. Here are the results from last week followed by the picks for the final week of the LCS.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
CaboChard 25 37.71 W
Fr3deric 25 12.92 L
Ryu 36 50.87 W
Apollo 38 59.02 W
Adrian 29 NA NA
Giants 22 10 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Flarez 30 6.98 W
Move 42 22.58 W
Pobelter 41 37.95 W
Otter 35 14.94 W
Hylissang 31 33.8 L
Enemy 28 2 W
This Week W-L 8W-3L Total W-L 47W-34L-1T

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Balls (proj: 23pts) Cloud9 has looked better every week since Hai has returned. The last two weeks Balls has scored 47 and 39 points it is safe to say he will score close to that this week facing off against TSM and TDK.

Jung- IWillDominate (proj: 28pts) Dom has scored more than 28 points in every single week this fantasy season so that alone is enough to put him on the All-in list. He also seems to play well when facing tough competition so I like his chances to get near the 40’s this week against Team 8 and Impulse.

Mid- Pepiinero (proj: 35pts) Pepiinero has been a surprise fantasy option this year. He has had some of the best weeks of any midlaners, but he also has his moments where he can’t really get going. Even though the Giants will have another tough week, Pepii will have a new pair of carry pants on to keep his team in both of their games.

ADC- CoreJJ (proj: 31pts) CoreJJ may be one of the more underrated ADCs in the LCS he has performed well 5 of the 8 weeks. 31 points isn’t a hard number for ADCs to get to, and with the way Dig played last week it shows they have a little left in the tank for the final week of the season. Expect CoreJJ to be around 40 points when the week is done.

Supp- Hylissang (proj: 20pts) Hylissang has scored more than 20 points in all but 2 weeks this split and both were in the first half of the season. UoL is still fighting for a playoff spot so you can expect them to play well in both games. This is a no doubter all-in.

Team- TiP (proj: 19pts) Team Impulse’s lowest scoring week this split has been 23 points all the way back in week 2. They have 4 straight 30+ weeks. So even if they play poorly and split 1-1 they will most likely still score in the low to mid 20’s.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

 

Top- Werlyb (proj: 31pts) The Giants have been trying to fight for their playoff spot, but they have looked weaker as the season has progressed. When Werly plays well the Giants are a better team, but his inconsistency hurts them. Werly has only broken 30 points 3 times this split and facing off against UoL and CW it looks as though he will fall short again.

Jung- Move (proj: 38pts) Move has stolen 35 dragons and barons this year (approximately). Even though he seems to be able to out smite anyone he won’t be able to reach his projection again this week. Gravity has Impulse and TDK on the docket so he won’t have the opportunity to score big points since they will lose to Impulse and beat TDK in a timely manner.

Mid- Ninja (proj: 36pts) Ninja is a great player, but this game is a team game, and TDK isn’t working together at all. Ninja will have his moments this week, but don’t expect him to reach his projection.

ADC- Otter (proj: 38pts) NME is riding a tough losing stretch (momentum matters). They have guaranteed that they won’t be auto relegated (no real reason to win). Those factors and their match-ups (TSM and Dig) will result in another bad scoring week for NME players.

Supp- Lustboy (proj: 39pts) Lustboy has only surpassed 39 points once this season (week 3 with 42 points). TSM is really struggling and Lustboy hasn’t looked as confident or as dominant as he did last split. The last 4 weeks he is averaging just 25 points a week. Fold Lustboy for another option.

Team- Giants (proj: 30pts) Giants has been interesting all year they have been more competitive than most thought they would, but they haven’t been a great fantasy play. They have broken 30 points 3 times this season so they should be a safe fold.

 

Who are your all-in or fold candidates for the final week of the LCS? Leave a comment below.

There are just two weeks remaining in the summer split of the LCS. Some of you may be in a heated battle for first place in your league, maybe you just couldn’t string together enough wins so you are in the middle of the pack, or you are just trying to get out of last place with the final weeks. Either way the season has been an enjoyable one so far. Here are my results from last week (Had some really close calls on my support picks) and then my picks for week 8.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Viz 30 59.49 W
Helios 24 10.99 L
PowerofEvil 37 71.75 W
CandyPanda 42 20.79 L
Kasing 24 23.53 L
UoL 24 36 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Dyrus 35 20.51 W
Amazing 34 28.19 W
Febevin 42 61.53 L
Freeze 36 10.03 W
BunnyFuFu 45 44.26 W
CLG 34 38 L
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 39W-31L-1T

 

All-in (players that will score more than their projections)

Top- Cabochard (proj: 25pts) Cabo has scored more than 25 four times this split, and with match-ups against Origen and UoL (both teams are good) he will do just enough to get over the 25 point mark.

Jung- Fr3deric (proj: 25pts) Fr3deric has been neither a fantasy stud or a fantasy dud. He averages right at 28 points a week, and with match-ups against Roccat and H2K that is probably what he will end up with this week.

Mid- Ryu (proj: 36pts) H2K hasn’t been as dominant as of late, but their match-ups this week (giants and CW) are too good to pass up. Ryu will end up with just above his average of 40 points for week 7.

ADC- Apollo (proj: 38pts) Apollo has been one of the best ADC’s this split, his worst week was over 33 points and his best was 71. Match-ups against TSM and TDK don’t scream fantasy points, but he is a consistent scoring machine. Look for him to get in the mid 40’s this week.

Supp- Adrian (proj: 29pts) Who is the 2nd highest scoring support in the summer split? If you guessed Adrian you are right. The bot lane for TiP has quietly been one of the biggest reasons they are winning games, and you should expect that to continue.

Team- Giants (proj: 22pts) Giants average 24 points a week, and they have broken 30 the last two weeks. They won’t go 2-0 this week, but they will do enough to get in the mid 20’s.

 

Fold (players that will score less than their projections)

Top- Flarez (proj: 30pts) Flarez has managed a score of more than 30 only twice this split. If he was an option for you, he shouldn’t be.

Jung- Move (proj: 42pts) Move has been a consistent fantasy producer this split, but only breaking 42 points twice so far means he is a great fold option with that projection. He will probably finish right around his average of 37 points.

Mid- Pobelter (proj:41pts) 37, 19.5, 17.3 those are the last three weeks for Pobelter. He was the highest scoring mid laner after week 4, but he has now fallen to the 5th. He will still have a good week, but won’t quite hit the 40 point barrier.

ADC- Otter (proj: 35pts) When looking at the numbers this is a fair projection for Otter. However, given last week’s results and this weeks opponents it doesn’t look good for Enemy. 28 points is about where Otter will end up.

Supp- Hylissang (proj: 31pts) After 2 big weeks for Hylissang (and UoL), it seems as though he will come back down to the mean. He currently averages 28 points a week, but before the last 2 weeks he was closer to the 24 point mark. UoL probably won’t win both of their games given the jungle switch, therefore Hylissang will not prosper in week 7.

Team- Enemy (proj: 28pts) Enemy has only broken 20 points twice this split (22, 24). Don’t see why that would change this week against C9 and Liquid. Fold enemy if you were considering them.

 

Who are your week 8 All-in or Fold candidates?