First off here are my final results from my week 9 all-in and fold picks.

All-in Projected Actual W or L
Quas 33 31.71 L
Airwaks 30 49.02 W
Fenix 37 41.8 W
Woolite 34 32.3 L
Unlimited 31 46.81 W
CW 32 25 L
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Avalon 32 49.99 L
Kikis 31 10.36 W
Slooshi8 35 13.79 W
Doulbelift 40 45 L
Lustboy 41 18.96 W
CLG 28 20 W
This Week W-L 7W-5L Total W-L 41W-35L

Overall, I would give myself a B grade on my all-in and fold picks. I had a really good week 1, and then was right around .500% on my picks from there. Overall finished with a 41-35 record which is 54% correct. I plan on improving on that next split and I’m going to try and get a 60% win-rate next time. This was my first year participating in Fantasy LCS and I wanted to share my observations that I learned from this split. So without further a due, here…we…go!

One Team Gambles

I noticed throughout the split that it is OK to gamble on 1 team’s players if they have very favorable match-ups. Most sports don’t always give you 4-5 high scoring fantasy options. However, League of Legends relies so much on team fighting and when a team is doing well all the players benefit. So don’t be afraid to have 4-5 players/team from one team if you see they have two weak opponents for the week. Also, if a team shows they are at a higher level than their opponents (this split it was FNC, SK, and TSM) it is safe to have multiple players from their roster because they consistently scored at a high rate. This is something that I will be more comfortable doing during the Summer Split of Fantasy LCS and you should too.

Consistency Matters

This one should be a no-brainer for most, but it is worth noting. Some players score lots of points one week, but then don’t score as many the next (feast or famine as some would call them, Odoamne is an example). Some players always score below the average (Mancloud). And others always seem to put up above average points every single week. (Forg1venre, Yellowstar, Huni to name a few). The guys that win you the league are going to be the guys who can score slightly above their counterparts average every single week. For example, Wildturtle who I think was going in the 2nd-3rd round in most drafts to start the year never fell out of the top 10 in any week. As far as I can see he was the only ADC who can say that, even godgiven himself was out of the top 10 two weeks (Keith also pulled this off, but only played 3 weeks so doesn’t count). WildTurtle only finished top 3 in 3 weeks (still really good considering how good some ADCs played this split), but as I said before never fell out of the top 10. This is what you want out of your fantasy players someone who will consistently be in or around the top scorers at their position. This causes less dilemma when deciding on who you need to play week to week.

Ride the “Hot Hands”

This mantra can be true in almost all fantasy sports the person who is playing well should continue to be started until they come back down to earth. For example, in weeks 3-5 both Soren and Freeze for CW were in the top 5 scorers at their position for that stretch. If you picked them up after their first big week (week 3) and rode them the next 3 weeks, you probably won week 4 and 5 because of the points they put up. Or perhaps you jumped on the Impact bandwagon during week 6 and rode him to victories the next two weeks (50 points each week). This is something I didn’t do much this year, because I was afraid to drop a “bigger” name for someone who had a good week, but next split I think it is worth it to gamble on a guy who has a big week, and good match-ups the next week because you might get to ride their hot streak for a week or 2. Or you get super lucky and you grab Huni, or Steelback after week 1 and have a force practically every week from there on out.

Overall Fantasy LCS is a lot like other fantasy sports the people that pay attention and are willing to make moves are probably going to do well, but you also have those that just get a few “lucky” or “calculated” picks that work out perfectly for them. I was a feast or famine player my first year finishing 1st in 2 leagues and 7th in my other 2 (21-15 was my overall record in the 4 leagues). I am looking forward to the next split and know that I will do better because of the things I learned from this split. What is something you learned from this split that you would like to share with the community?

 

As always don’t forget to follow the blog (fantasy knowledge button on the left), or follow on Twitter or Facebook. I will post a few times during the playoffs with some Legendary and Shut Down posts. Have a wonderful day and see you next split!

Hello everyone. Its good to be back and writing about the fantasy LCS. I apologize again for my recent hiatus. Life got busy with work, and family in town as the wife and I prepare for our first baby. I didn’t get to watch all of the last two weeks, but it looked like there were some exciting games, and some teams continued their winning ways. Now onto my all-in and fold picks for the final week of the Spring Split

ALL-IN (These are players I expect to outperform their projections)

Top – TL Quas (Projection: 33pts) Team Liquid has one of the easiest schedules in the LCS this week. They play Dig and Winterfox. Even though they have been inconsistent especially when Piglett is their ADC. I expect them to win both of their games this week, and all of their players to perform well. I know they want to be in the playoffs and they will have to win both if they want to guarantee it.

Jungle – CW Airwaks (Projection: 30 pts) CW also has an easy schedule this week. They face Roccat and Giants in their final matchups. I fully expect them to end their losing skid the last two weeks and regain some of that midseason mojo when they won 5 in a row. I’m all-in on CW and Liquid players this week.

Mid – TL Fenix (Projection: 37 pts) See Quas’ description. Two good lane matchups, but Fenix does a lot for his team, and I like his champion pool.

ADC – Roc Woolite (Projection: 34 pts) Roccat has been very inconsistent this year. Their play has gotten a little better over the last 4 weeks though. I think with Woolite’s matchups against CW and MYM he can put up some good numbers. I think the CW game will be close with Roccat losing, but I think the MYM game could be a shootout with both teams trying to secure a win to ensure they get to stay in the LCS.

Support – CW Unlimited (Projection: 31 pts) See Airwaks description. Two good bot lane matchups for CW and I expect him and freeze to put up BIG numbers.

Team – CW (Projection: 32 pts) My rule for teams has been if they are going to win both games they will most likely break the 30 point mark and if they are going to lose one, they won’t break the 30 point mark. I expect CW to win both games, and perform well in both. I think a 36 point week is in their future.

FOLD (These are players I think will do worse than their projections)

Top – WFX Avalon (Projection: 32 pts) Winterfox has been 0-6 in the last 3 weeks. They face team Liquid in their first game and Team Coast in their 2nd. They should win the 2nd game against Coast, but I don’t think they will do enough for Avalon to break the 30 point barrier. A lot of the Winterfox players have high projections this week and I would say beware of starting any of them because of their inconsistency this split.

Jungle – UOL Kikis (Projection: 31 pts) Kikis has averaged just over 20 points a game this split, but for the most part he has been more of a feast or famine jungler (4 weeks over 40 points 3 weeks under 30 points). The matchups this week make me hesitant to start him (Gambit and SK). If he is your only jungler he won’t drop a sub 15 week, but I really don’t think he will break the 30 point mark this week. SO I’m folding Kikis this week.

Mid – Team8 Slooshi8(Projection: 35 pts) Team 8 has been on a roll as of late, but I think this is the week it comes to a crashing halt. Slooshi’s per game average would put him at 36 points for the week, but again I have a bad feeling about Team 8 this week. I’m going to fold on Team 8 players this week.

ADC – CLG Doublelift (Projection: 40 pts) Doublelift has been averaging just under 20 points a game so far this split. Plus with two tough opponents in the upcoming week, I don’t think he will get to the 40 point mark. I would say he is a fold candidate if you have another good ADC on your team.

Support – TSM Lustboy (Projection: 41 pts) I love Lustboy. He has single handedly won some teamfights for TSM this split. I think he won’t quite be able to reach the 41 point mark this week though. TSM vs C9 has always been very 1 sided matches so no team scores tons of points and TSM’s game against Coast should be a sub 30 minute game which will also result in a low point total. I think Lustboy is amazing just not this week in Fantasy.

Team – CLG (Projection: 28 pts) CLG has once again had a 2nd half of the season that has been less than great. They are still winning more than they are losing, but they aren’t showing the same dominance they were early season. They have two tough matchups in Impulse and Team 8. So I expect them to lose 1 of those games, and if they do they won’t hit the 28 point mark.

 

As always thanks for reading, and don’t forget to follow me on twitter, facebook, or subscribe to the blog.

I also wanted to let you all know that this Saturday I will be doing a stream-a-thon on Twitch.TV to raise money for a Honduras Mission trip I am taking with some teens this summer (Remember I’m a youth minister). We are going to be helping build a school in Honduras this summer and would love for you all to come check out the stream this Saturday and if you feel inclined to give you can donate during the stream.

Have a wonderful day, and good luck in your final week of Fantasy LCS.

I want to apologize that I won’t be able to do things for week 7 and week 8. I have been sick this whole week and will be out of town skiing next week. I’m sorry for those of you that have been using me as another guideline in picking some of your players each week. I will post more as soon as I am back from Colorado. Good luck over the next two weeks! Here is the results from my picks last week.

 

All-in Projected Actual W or L
CaliTrlolz8 22 48.71 W
Saintvicious 28 18 L
Fox 33 32.98 L
CoreJJ 36 12.41 L
Edward 26 40.52 W
H2K 31 35 W
Fold Projected Actual W or L
Quas 31 56.57 L
IWillDominate 32 40.36 L
NukeDuck 29 16.32 W
Altec 33 11.15 W
Hylissang 27 39.31 L
Gravity 26 22 W
This Week W-L 6W-6L Total W-L 34W-30L